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Projections of seasonal patterns in temperature- related deaths for Manhattan, New York

Author

Listed:
  • Tiantian Li

    (Institute for Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention)

  • Radley M. Horton

    (Center for Climate Systems Research, Columbia University)

  • Patrick L. Kinney

    (Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University)

Abstract

Rising temperatures may alter the proportions of both heat- and cold-related deaths, leaving the net impact on annual mortality uncertain. Current and future seasonal patterns of temperature-related mortality in Manhattan, New York, are estimated, showing warm season increases and cold season decreases in temperature-related mortality, with positive net annual deaths in all cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Tiantian Li & Radley M. Horton & Patrick L. Kinney, 2013. "Projections of seasonal patterns in temperature- related deaths for Manhattan, New York," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(8), pages 717-721, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:8:d:10.1038_nclimate1902
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate1902
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    Cited by:

    1. Elisaveta P. Petkova & Daniel A. Bader & G. Brooke Anderson & Radley M. Horton & Kim Knowlton & Patrick L. Kinney, 2014. "Heat-Related Mortality in a Warming Climate: Projections for 12 U.S. Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-13, October.
    2. Christofer Åström & Daniel Oudin Åström & Camilla Andersson & Kristie L. Ebi & Bertil Forsberg, 2017. "Vulnerability Reduction Needed to Maintain Current Burdens of Heat-Related Mortality in a Changing Climate—Magnitude and Determinants," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-10, July.
    3. Vinod Thomas & Jose Albert & Cameron Hepburn, 2014. "Contributors to the frequency of intense climate disasters in Asia-Pacific countries," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(3), pages 381-398, October.
    4. Jae Young Lee & Martin Röösli & Martina S. Ragettli, 2021. "Estimation of Heat-Attributable Mortality Using the Cross-Validated Best Temperature Metric in Switzerland and South Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(12), pages 1-9, June.
    5. Aleš Urban & Hana Hanzlíková & Jan Kyselý & Eva Plavcová, 2017. "Impacts of the 2015 Heat Waves on Mortality in the Czech Republic—A Comparison with Previous Heat Waves," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-19, December.
    6. Ru Cao & Yuxin Wang & Jing Huang & Jie He & Pitakchon Ponsawansong & Jianbo Jin & Zhihu Xu & Teng Yang & Xiaochuan Pan & Tippawan Prapamontol & Guoxing Li, 2021. "The Mortality Effect of Apparent Temperature: A Multi-City Study in Asia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-12, April.
    7. Tao Liu & Zhoupeng Ren & Yonghui Zhang & Baixiang Feng & Hualiang Lin & Jianpeng Xiao & Weilin Zeng & Xing Li & Zhihao Li & Shannon Rutherford & Yanjun Xu & Shao Lin & Philip C. Nasca & Yaodong Du & J, 2019. "Modification Effects of Population Expansion, Ageing, and Adaptation on Heat-Related Mortality Risks Under Different Climate Change Scenarios in Guangzhou, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-17, January.
    8. Tamás Hajdu & Gábor Hajdu, 2021. "Post-conception heat exposure increases clinically unobserved pregnancy losses," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 2104, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    9. Jean C. Bikomeye & Sima Namin & Chima Anyanwu & Caitlin S. Rublee & Jamie Ferschinger & Ken Leinbach & Patricia Lindquist & August Hoppe & Lawrence Hoffman & Justin Hegarty & Dwayne Sperber & Kirsten , 2021. "Resilience and Equity in a Time of Crises: Investing in Public Urban Greenspace Is Now More Essential Than Ever in the US and Beyond," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(16), pages 1-39, August.
    10. Dholakia, Hem H. & Mishra, Vimal & Garg, Amit, 2015. "Predicted Increases in Heat related Mortality under Climate Change in Urban India," IIMA Working Papers WP2015-05-02, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    11. Richard S. J. Tol, 2016. "The Impacts Of Climate Change According To The Ipcc," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 1-20, February.
    12. Tao Liu & Weilin Zeng & Hualiang Lin & Shannon Rutherford & Jianpeng Xiao & Xing Li & Zhihao Li & Zhengmin Qian & Baixiang Feng & Wenjun Ma, 2016. "Tempo-Spatial Variations of Ambient Ozone-Mortality Associations in the USA: Results from the NMMAPS Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, August.
    13. Michael T Schmeltz & Grace Sembajwe & Peter J Marcotullio & Jean A Grassman & David U Himmelstein & Stephanie Woolhandler, 2015. "Identifying Individual Risk Factors and Documenting the Pattern of Heat-Related Illness through Analyses of Hospitalization and Patterns of Household Cooling," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15, March.
    14. Jae Young Lee, 2022. "A Subgroup Method of Projecting Future Vulnerability and Adaptation to Extreme Heat," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Hildegaard D. Link & José Pillich & Yehuda L. Klein, 2014. "Peak Electric Load Relief in Northern Manhattan," SAGE Open, , vol. 4(3), pages 21582440145, August.
    16. Elisaveta P. Petkova & Radley M. Horton & Daniel A. Bader & Patrick L. Kinney, 2013. "Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-14, December.
    17. Pan Ma & Shigong Wang & Xingang Fan & Tanshi Li, 2016. "The Impacts of Air Temperature on Accidental Casualties in Beijing, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-13, November.
    18. Tahseen Ajaz & Muhammad Tariq Majeed, 2018. "Changing Climate Patterns and Women Health: An Empirical Analysis of District Rawalpindi Pakistan," Global Social Sciences Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(4), pages 320-342, December.

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