IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i11p2981-d559213.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short Term Active Power Load Prediction on A 33/11 kV Substation Using Regression Models

Author

Listed:
  • Venkataramana Veeramsetty

    (Center for Artificial Intelligence and Deep Learning, Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, S R Engineering College, Warangal 506371, India)

  • Arjun Mohnot

    (Department of Computer Science Engineering, Bennett University, Greater Noida 201310, India)

  • Gaurav Singal

    (Department of Computer Science Engineering, Bennett University, Greater Noida 201310, India)

  • Surender Reddy Salkuti

    (Department of Railroad and Electrical Engineering, Woosong University, Daejeon 34606, Korea)

Abstract

Electric power load forecasting is an essential task in the power system restructured environment for successful trading of power in energy exchange and economic operation. In this paper, various regression models have been used to predict the active power load. Model optimization with dimensionality reduction has been done by observing correlation among original input features. Load data has been collected from a 33/11 kV substation near Kakathiya University in Warangal. The regression models with available load data have been trained and tested using Microsoft Azure services. Based on the results analysis it has been observed that the proposed regression models predict the demand on substation with better accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Venkataramana Veeramsetty & Arjun Mohnot & Gaurav Singal & Surender Reddy Salkuti, 2021. "Short Term Active Power Load Prediction on A 33/11 kV Substation Using Regression Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:11:p:2981-:d:559213
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/11/2981/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/11/2981/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mirosław Parol & Paweł Piotrowski & Piotr Kapler & Mariusz Piotrowski, 2021. "Forecasting of 10-Second Power Demand of Highly Variable Loads for Microgrid Operation Control," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-29, February.
    2. S. M. Mahfuz Alam & Mohd. Hasan Ali, 2020. "Equation Based New Methods for Residential Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-22, December.
    3. Panapakidis, Ioannis P. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2016. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting via the application of artificial neural network based models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 132-151.
    4. Jieyun Zheng & Linyao Zhang & Jinpeng Chen & Guilian Wu & Shiyuan Ni & Zhijian Hu & Changhong Weng & Zhi Chen, 2021. "Multiple-Load Forecasting for Integrated Energy System Based on Copula-DBiLSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-14, April.
    5. Jianwei Mi & Libin Fan & Xuechao Duan & Yuanying Qiu, 2018. "Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on Improved Exponential Smoothing Grey Model," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-11, March.
    6. Odin Foldvik Eikeland & Filippo Maria Bianchi & Harry Apostoleris & Morten Hansen & Yu-Cheng Chiou & Matteo Chiesa, 2021. "Predicting Energy Demand in Semi-Remote Arctic Locations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-17, February.
    7. Xue-Bo Jin & Wei-Zhen Zheng & Jian-Lei Kong & Xiao-Yi Wang & Yu-Ting Bai & Ting-Li Su & Seng Lin, 2021. "Deep-Learning Forecasting Method for Electric Power Load via Attention-Based Encoder-Decoder with Bayesian Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hao Yang & Maoyu Ran & Chaoqun Zhuang, 2022. "Prediction of Building Electricity Consumption Based on Joinpoint−Multiple Linear Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-19, November.
    2. Venkataramana Veeramsetty & Pravallika Jadhav & Eslavath Ramesh & Srividya Srinivasula, 2024. "Zero crossing point detection in a distorted sinusoidal signal using random forest classifier," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 15(10), pages 4806-4824, October.
    3. Amrutha Raju Battula & Sandeep Vuddanti & Surender Reddy Salkuti, 2021. "Review of Energy Management System Approaches in Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-32, September.
    4. Surender Reddy Salkuti, 2022. "Emerging and Advanced Green Energy Technologies for Sustainable and Resilient Future Grid," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-7, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shao, Zhen & Zheng, Qingru & Yang, Shanlin & Gao, Fei & Cheng, Manli & Zhang, Qiang & Liu, Chen, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting the electricity clearing price: A novel BELM based pattern classification framework and a comparative analytic study on multi-layer BELM and LSTM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    2. Peng Song & Zhisheng Zhang, 2023. "Research on Multiple Load Short-Term Forecasting Model of Integrated Energy Distribution System Based on Mogrifier-Quantum Weighted MELSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-13, April.
    3. Yuriy Zhukovskiy & Pavel Tsvetkov & Aleksandra Buldysko & Yana Malkova & Antonina Stoianova & Anastasia Koshenkova, 2021. "Scenario Modeling of Sustainable Development of Energy Supply in the Arctic," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-25, December.
    4. Bento, P.M.R. & Pombo, J.A.N. & Calado, M.R.A. & Mariano, S.J.P.S., 2018. "A bat optimized neural network and wavelet transform approach for short-term price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C), pages 88-97.
    5. Umut Ugurlu & Ilkay Oksuz & Oktay Tas, 2018. "Electricity Price Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-23, May.
    6. Alexandre Lucas & Konstantinos Pegios & Evangelos Kotsakis & Dan Clarke, 2020. "Price Forecasting for the Balancing Energy Market Using Machine-Learning Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-16, October.
    7. Bobinaite Viktorija & Zuters Jānis, 2016. "Modelling Electricity Price Expectations in a Day-Ahead Market: A Case of Latvia," Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 29(1), pages 12-26, August.
    8. Wei, Nan & Li, Changjun & Peng, Xiaolong & Li, Yang & Zeng, Fanhua, 2019. "Daily natural gas consumption forecasting via the application of a novel hybrid model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 358-368.
    9. Alfredo Candela Esclapez & Miguel López García & Sergio Valero Verdú & Carolina Senabre Blanes, 2022. "Automatic Selection of Temperature Variables for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-22, October.
    10. Namrye Son, 2021. "Comparison of the Deep Learning Performance for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-25, November.
    11. Xue-Bo Jin & Wen-Tao Gong & Jian-Lei Kong & Yu-Ting Bai & Ting-Li Su, 2022. "PFVAE: A Planar Flow-Based Variational Auto-Encoder Prediction Model for Time Series Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-17, February.
    12. Lei Dai & Haiying Wang, 2024. "An Improved WOA (Whale Optimization Algorithm)-Based CNN-BIGRU-CBAM Model and Its Application to Short-Term Power Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-24, May.
    13. Zeng, Sheng & Su, Bin & Zhang, Minglong & Gao, Yuan & Liu, Jun & Luo, Song & Tao, Qingmei, 2021. "Analysis and forecast of China's energy consumption structure," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    14. Díaz, Guzmán & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2019. "Prediction and explanation of the formation of the Spanish day-ahead electricity price through machine learning regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 610-625.
    15. Akash Kumar & Bing Yan & Ace Bilton, 2022. "Machine Learning-Based Load Forecasting for Nanogrid Peak Load Cost Reduction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-23, September.
    16. Wang, Xinlin & Yao, Zhihao & Papaefthymiou, Marios, 2023. "A real-time electrical load forecasting and unsupervised anomaly detection framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(PA).
    17. Dounia El Bourakadi & Hiba Ramadan & Ali Yahyaouy & Jaouad Boumhidi, 2023. "A robust energy management approach in two-steps ahead using deep learning BiLSTM prediction model and type-2 fuzzy decision-making controller," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 645-667, December.
    18. Wang, Qiang & Jiang, Feng, 2019. "Integrating linear and nonlinear forecasting techniques based on grey theory and artificial intelligence to forecast shale gas monthly production in Pennsylvania and Texas of the United States," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 781-803.
    19. Liu, Yanxin & Li, Huajiao & Guan, Jianhe & Liu, Xueyong & Guan, Qing & Sun, Qingru, 2019. "Influence of different factors on prices of upstream, middle and downstream products in China's whole steel industry chain: Based on Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 134-142.
    20. Vladimir Franki & Darin Majnarić & Alfredo Višković, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies in the Power Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:11:p:2981-:d:559213. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.