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Sociotechnical convex hulls and the evolution of transportation activity: A method and application to US travel survey data

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  • Mulrow, John
  • Derrible, Sybil
  • Samaras, Constantine

Abstract

•Sociotechnical hull metrics show good correlation with overall transportation activity.•The method could be useful in forecasting Airplane, Bike, and Hired mode shifts.•The auto overlap relationship was strongest for Airplane, Bike, and Hired modes.•As Hired modes capture more auto sociotechnical space, usage will increase.•The Hired OTB indicates longer trip durations becoming normalized for this mode.

Suggested Citation

  • Mulrow, John & Derrible, Sybil & Samaras, Constantine, 2019. "Sociotechnical convex hulls and the evolution of transportation activity: A method and application to US travel survey data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:149:y:2019:i:c:s0040162519309059
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2019.119789
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    References listed on IDEAS

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