IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v241y2024ics095183202300621x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A hybrid CNN-LSTM model for joint optimization of production and imperfect predictive maintenance planning

Author

Listed:
  • Dehghan Shoorkand, Hassan
  • Nourelfath, Mustapha
  • Hajji, Adnène

Abstract

This paper deals with the problem of dynamically integrating tactical production planning and predictive maintenance in the context of a rolling horizon approach. At the production level, a set of items need to be produced in lots over a finite planning horizon. It is assumed that the system is in as-good-as-new condition at the beginning, and then it is degraded over time because of operating. The system operating state is predicted by a data-driven predictive maintenance approach. The system can be maintained at the beginning of each period. We introduce a novel hybrid deep learning method based on a combination of a convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) to improve the prediction accuracy of the remaining useful life. The CNN-LSTM method is used to determine the optimal maintenance action based on the data collected by sensors. A maintenance action is assumed to be perfect or imperfect. Imperfect maintenance places the manufacturing system in an operating state that lies between ‘as-bad-as-old’ and ‘as-good-as-new’. A benchmarking dataset is used to validate the proposed integrated production and predictive maintenance planning approach. Comparison results highlight the advantages of the proposed framework in reducing the total production and maintenance cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Dehghan Shoorkand, Hassan & Nourelfath, Mustapha & Hajji, Adnène, 2024. "A hybrid CNN-LSTM model for joint optimization of production and imperfect predictive maintenance planning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s095183202300621x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109707
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183202300621X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109707?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fitouhi, Mohamed-Chahir & Nourelfath, Mustapha, 2014. "Integrating noncyclical preventive maintenance scheduling and production planning for multi-state systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 175-186.
    2. Zhu, Rong & Chen, Yuan & Peng, Weiwen & Ye, Zhi-Sheng, 2022. "Bayesian deep-learning for RUL prediction: An active learning perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    3. Wang, Jiantai & Longyan, Tan & Ma, Xiaobing & Gao, Kaiye & Jia, Heping & Yang, Li, 2023. "Prognosis-driven reliability analysis and replacement policy optimization for two-phase continuous degradation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    4. Berthaut, F. & Gharbi, A. & Kenné, J.-P. & Boulet, J.-F., 2010. "Improved joint preventive maintenance and hedging point policy," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 60-72, September.
    5. Arias Chao, Manuel & Kulkarni, Chetan & Goebel, Kai & Fink, Olga, 2022. "Fusing physics-based and deep learning models for prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    6. Lee, Juseong & Mitici, Mihaela, 2023. "Deep reinforcement learning for predictive aircraft maintenance using probabilistic Remaining-Useful-Life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    7. Suresh Chand & Vernon Ning Hsu & Suresh Sethi, 2002. "Forecast, Solution, and Rolling Horizons in Operations Management Problems: A Classified Bibliography," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 4(1), pages 25-43, September.
    8. Ding, Fangfang & Tian, Zhigang, 2012. "Opportunistic maintenance for wind farms considering multi-level imperfect maintenance thresholds," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 175-182.
    9. Li, Xiang & Ding, Qian & Sun, Jian-Qiao, 2018. "Remaining useful life estimation in prognostics using deep convolution neural networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1-11.
    10. Zhuang, Liangliang & Xu, Ancha & Wang, Xiao-Lin, 2023. "A prognostic driven predictive maintenance framework based on Bayesian deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    11. Minhee Kim & Kaibo Liu, 2020. "A Bayesian deep learning framework for interval estimation of remaining useful life in complex systems by incorporating general degradation characteristics," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(3), pages 326-340, December.
    12. Nguyen, Khanh T.P. & Medjaher, Kamal, 2019. "A new dynamic predictive maintenance framework using deep learning for failure prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 251-262.
    13. Tambe, Pravin P. & Kulkarni, Makarand S., 2022. "A reliability based integrated model of maintenance planning with quality control and production decision for improving operational performance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    14. Aizpurua, J.I. & Stewart, B.G. & McArthur, S.D.J. & Penalba, M. & Barrenetxea, M. & Muxika, E. & Ringwood, J.V., 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting informed failure prognostics framework for improved RUL prediction under uncertainty: A transformer case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    15. Listou Ellefsen, André & Bjørlykhaug, Emil & Æsøy, Vilmar & Ushakov, Sergey & Zhang, Houxiang, 2019. "Remaining useful life predictions for turbofan engine degradation using semi-supervised deep architecture," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 240-251.
    16. Nguyen, Van-Thai & Do, Phuc & Vosin, Alexandre & Iung, Benoit, 2022. "Artificial-intelligence-based maintenance decision-making and optimization for multi-state component systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    17. Zhou, Yifan & Li, Bangcheng & Lin, Tian Ran, 2022. "Maintenance optimisation of multicomponent systems using hierarchical coordinated reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    18. Xiang, Yisha, 2013. "Joint optimization of X¯ control chart and preventive maintenance policies: A discrete-time Markov chain approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 382-390.
    19. de Pater, Ingeborg & Reijns, Arthur & Mitici, Mihaela, 2022. "Alarm-based predictive maintenance scheduling for aircraft engines with imperfect Remaining Useful Life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Saeed, Adnan & Li, Chaoshun & Gan, Zhenhao, 2024. "Short-term wind speed interval prediction using improved quality-driven loss based gated multi-scale convolutional sequence model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhuang, Liangliang & Xu, Ancha & Wang, Xiao-Lin, 2023. "A prognostic driven predictive maintenance framework based on Bayesian deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    2. Kamariotis, Antonios & Tatsis, Konstantinos & Chatzi, Eleni & Goebel, Kai & Straub, Daniel, 2024. "A metric for assessing and optimizing data-driven prognostic algorithms for predictive maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Xiong, Jiawei & Zhou, Jian & Ma, Yizhong & Zhang, Fengxia & Lin, Chenglong, 2023. "Adaptive deep learning-based remaining useful life prediction framework for systems with multiple failure patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    4. Li, Yuanfu & Chen, Yao & Hu, Zhenchao & Zhang, Huisheng, 2023. "Remaining useful life prediction of aero-engine enabled by fusing knowledge and deep learning models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    5. Keshun, You & Guangqi, Qiu & Yingkui, Gu, 2024. "Optimizing prior distribution parameters for probabilistic prediction of remaining useful life using deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    6. Lin, Yan-Hui & Chang, Liang & Guan, Lu-Xin, 2024. "Enhanced stochastic recurrent hybrid model for RUL Predictions via Semi-supervised learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    7. Ferreira Neto, Waldomiro Alves & Virgínio Cavalcante, Cristiano Alexandre & Do, Phuc, 2024. "Deep reinforcement learning for maintenance optimization of a scrap-based steel production line," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    8. Lee, Juseong & Mitici, Mihaela, 2023. "Deep reinforcement learning for predictive aircraft maintenance using probabilistic Remaining-Useful-Life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    9. He, Yuxuan & Su, Huai & Zio, Enrico & Peng, Shiliang & Fan, Lin & Yang, Zhaoming & Yang, Zhe & Zhang, Jinjun, 2023. "A systematic method of remaining useful life estimation based on physics-informed graph neural networks with multisensor data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    10. Mitici, Mihaela & de Pater, Ingeborg & Barros, Anne & Zeng, Zhiguo, 2023. "Dynamic predictive maintenance for multiple components using data-driven probabilistic RUL prognostics: The case of turbofan engines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    11. de Pater, Ingeborg & Reijns, Arthur & Mitici, Mihaela, 2022. "Alarm-based predictive maintenance scheduling for aircraft engines with imperfect Remaining Useful Life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    12. Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Prognostics and Health Management (PHM): Where are we and where do we (need to) go in theory and practice," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    13. Xiao, Lei & Tang, Junxuan & Zhang, Xinghui & Bechhoefer, Eric & Ding, Siyi, 2021. "Remaining useful life prediction based on intentional noise injection and feature reconstruction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    14. Zhou, Kai-Li & Cheng, De-Jun & Zhang, Han-Bing & Hu, Zhong-tai & Zhang, Chun-Yan, 2023. "Deep learning-based intelligent multilevel predictive maintenance framework considering comprehensive cost," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    15. Xu, Dan & Xiao, Xiaoqi & Liu, Jie & Sui, Shaobo, 2023. "Spatio-temporal degradation modeling and remaining useful life prediction under multiple operating conditions based on attention mechanism and deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    16. Xu, Zhaoyi & Saleh, Joseph Homer, 2021. "Machine learning for reliability engineering and safety applications: Review of current status and future opportunities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    17. He, Rui & Tian, Zhigang & Wang, Yifei & Zuo, Mingjian & Guo, Ziwei, 2023. "Condition-based maintenance optimization for multi-component systems considering prognostic information and degraded working efficiency," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    18. Ye, Zhenggeng & Cai, Zhiqiang & Yang, Hui & Si, Shubin & Zhou, Fuli, 2023. "Joint optimization of maintenance and quality inspection for manufacturing networks based on deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    19. Costa, Nahuel & Sánchez, Luciano, 2022. "Variational encoding approach for interpretable assessment of remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    20. Fu, Song & Lin, Lin & Wang, Yue & Guo, Feng & Zhao, Minghang & Zhong, Baihong & Zhong, Shisheng, 2024. "MCA-DTCN: A novel dual-task temporal convolutional network with multi-channel attention for first prediction time detection and remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s095183202300621x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.