IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v225y2022ics0951832022002460.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A predictive sliding local outlier correction method with adaptive state change rate determining for bearing remaining useful life estimation

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Han
  • Wang, Dongdong
  • Liu, Haoxiang
  • Tang, Gang

Abstract

The accurate estimation of remaining useful life (RUL) is significant for the operation, maintenance, and avoidance of unplanned downtime of rotating machinery. To improve the prediction accuracy of RUL, this paper proposes a predictive sliding local outlier correction (PSLOC) method with adaptive state change rate (SCR) determining algorithm for bearing RUL prediction. The proposed method addresses some key issues in existing bearing health prognosis methods that affect the prognostic performance. First, the PSLOC method is proposed, which can eliminate the random spurious fluctuations in the degradation process. It not only ensures the integrity of the degradation trend, but also avoids the influence of abnormal fluctuations in the time-series data on the judgment of the first predicting time (FPT) and the RUL prediction accuracy. Second, the proposed SCR algorithm can be actively adjusted according to the changes in the degradation process to achieve an accurate FPT determination. Finally, the simulated degradation algorithm is used to improve the exponential model to reduce the random errors in the degradation process and improve the prediction accuracy. The PRONOSTIA dataset is used as a case study to illustrate the superiority and effectiveness of the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Han & Wang, Dongdong & Liu, Haoxiang & Tang, Gang, 2022. "A predictive sliding local outlier correction method with adaptive state change rate determining for bearing remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:225:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022002460
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108601
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832022002460
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108601?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Han & Liao, Haitao & Ma, Xiaobing & Bao, Rui, 2021. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction and Optimal Maintenance Time Determination for a Single Unit Using Isotonic Regression and Gamma Process Model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    2. An, Dawn & Choi, Joo-Ho & Kim, Nam Ho, 2013. "Prognostics 101: A tutorial for particle filter-based prognostics algorithm using Matlab," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 161-169.
    3. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Chen, Mao-Yin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2013. "A degradation path-dependent approach for remaining useful life estimation with an exact and closed-form solution," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 53-66.
    4. Cao, Yudong & Ding, Yifei & Jia, Minping & Tian, Rushuai, 2021. "A novel temporal convolutional network with residual self-attention mechanism for remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearings," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    5. Ding, Yifei & Jia, Minping & Miao, Qiuhua & Huang, Peng, 2021. "Remaining useful life estimation using deep metric transfer learning for kernel regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    6. Chen, Zhen & Li, Yaping & Zhou, Di & Xia, Tangbin & Pan, Ershun, 2021. "Two-phase degradation data analysis with change-point detection based on Gaussian process degradation model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    7. Ahmad, Wasim & Khan, Sheraz Ali & Islam, M M Manjurul & Kim, Jong-Myon, 2019. "A reliable technique for remaining useful life estimation of rolling element bearings using dynamic regression models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 67-76.
    8. Jain, Amit Kumar & Lad, Bhupesh Kumar, 2020. "Prognosticating RULs while exploiting the future characteristics of operating profiles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    9. Liu, Shujie & Fan, Lexian, 2022. "An adaptive prediction approach for rolling bearing remaining useful life based on multistage model with three-source variability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    10. de Pater, Ingeborg & Reijns, Arthur & Mitici, Mihaela, 2022. "Alarm-based predictive maintenance scheduling for aircraft engines with imperfect Remaining Useful Life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    11. Hu, Tao & Guo, Yiming & Gu, Liudong & Zhou, Yifan & Zhang, Zhisheng & Zhou, Zhiting, 2022. "Remaining useful life prediction of bearings under different working conditions using a deep feature disentanglement based transfer learning method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hou, WanJun & Peng, Yizhen, 2023. "Adaptive ensemble gaussian process regression-driven degradation prognosis with applications to bearing degradation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    2. Yao, Jinyong & Gao, Zhanfei & He, Yihai & Peng, Chong, 2024. "Integrated mission reliability modeling for multistate manufacturing systems considering heterogeneous feedstocks based on extended stochastic flow manufacturing network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Gu, Bingmei & Liu, Jiaguo & Ye, Xiaoheng & Gong, Yu & Chen, Jihong, 2024. "Data-driven approach for port resilience evaluation," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    4. Li, Guofa & Wei, Jingfeng & He, Jialong & Yang, Haiji & Meng, Fanning, 2023. "Implicit Kalman filtering method for remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing with adaptive detection of degradation stage transition point," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    5. Xiong, Jiawei & Zhou, Jian & Ma, Yizhong & Zhang, Fengxia & Lin, Chenglong, 2023. "Adaptive deep learning-based remaining useful life prediction framework for systems with multiple failure patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    6. Ding, Wanmeng & Li, Jimeng & Mao, Weilin & Meng, Zong & Shen, Zhongjie, 2023. "Rolling bearing remaining useful life prediction based on dilated causal convolutional DenseNet and an exponential model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    7. Bermeo-Ayerbe, Miguel Angel & Cocquempot, Vincent & Ocampo-Martinez, Carlos & Diaz-Rozo, Javier, 2023. "Remaining useful life estimation of ball-bearings based on motor current signature analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Chuanhai & Li, Bowen & Guo, Jinyan & Liu, Zhifeng & Qi, Baobao & Hua, Chunlei, 2022. "Bearing life prediction method based on the improved FIDES reliability model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    2. Cai, Xiao & Li, Naipeng & Xie, Min, 2024. "RUL prediction for two-phase degrading systems considering physical damage observations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    3. Yu, Wennian & Shao, Yimin & Xu, Jin & Mechefske, Chris, 2022. "An adaptive and generalized Wiener process model with a recursive filtering algorithm for remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    4. Li, Guofa & Wei, Jingfeng & He, Jialong & Yang, Haiji & Meng, Fanning, 2023. "Implicit Kalman filtering method for remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearing with adaptive detection of degradation stage transition point," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    5. Hu, Tao & Guo, Yiming & Gu, Liudong & Zhou, Yifan & Zhang, Zhisheng & Zhou, Zhiting, 2022. "Remaining useful life estimation of bearings under different working conditions via Wasserstein distance-based weighted domain adaptation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    6. Xiang, Sheng & Qin, Yi & Luo, Jun & Pu, Huayan & Tang, Baoping, 2021. "Multicellular LSTM-based deep learning model for aero-engine remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    7. Wu, Jingyao & Zhao, Zhibin & Sun, Chuang & Yan, Ruqiang & Chen, Xuefeng, 2021. "Learning from Class-imbalanced Data with a Model-Agnostic Framework for Machine Intelligent Diagnosis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Lyu, Dongzhen & Niu, Guangxing & Liu, Enhui & Zhang, Bin & Chen, Gang & Yang, Tao & Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Time space modelling for fault diagnosis and prognosis with uncertainty management: A general theoretical formulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    9. Hai-Kun Wang & Yan-Feng Li & Yu Liu & Yuan-Jian Yang & Hong-Zhong Huang, 2015. "Remaining useful life estimation under degradation and shock damage," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(3), pages 200-208, June.
    10. Liu, Junqiang & Yu, Zhuoqian & Zuo, Hongfu & Fu, Rongchunxue & Feng, Xiaonan, 2022. "Multi-stage residual life prediction of aero-engine based on real-time clustering and combined prediction model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    11. Ma, Chenyang & Li, Yongbo & Wang, Xianzhi & Cai, Zhiqiang, 2023. "Early fault diagnosis of rotating machinery based on composite zoom permutation entropy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    12. Wang, Yu & Liu, Qiufa & Lu, Wenjian & Peng, Yizhen, 2023. "A general time-varying Wiener process for degradation modeling and RUL estimation under three-source variability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    13. Long, Junqi & Chen, Chuanhai & Liu, Zhifeng & Guo, Jinyan & Chen, Weizheng, 2022. "Stochastic hybrid system approach to task-orientated remaining useful life prediction under time-varying operating conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    14. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Li, Tianmei & Zhang, Jianxun & Lei, Yaguo, 2022. "Nonlinear degradation modeling and prognostics: A Box-Cox transformation perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    15. Zhou, Hang & Farsi, Maryam & Harrison, Andrew & Parlikad, Ajith Kumar & Brintrup, Alexandra, 2023. "Civil aircraft engine operation life resilient monitoring via usage trajectory mapping on the reliability contour," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    16. Ta, Yuntian & Li, Yanfeng & Cai, Wenan & Zhang, Qianqian & Wang, Zhijian & Dong, Lei & Du, Wenhua, 2023. "Adaptive staged remaining useful life prediction method based on multi-sensor and multi-feature fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    17. Yang, Ningning & Wang, Zhijian & Cai, Wenan & Li, Yanfeng, 2023. "Data Regeneration Based on Multiple Degradation Processes for Remaining Useful Life Estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    18. Cheng, Han & Kong, Xianguang & Wang, Qibin & Ma, Hongbo & Yang, Shengkang, 2022. "The two-stage RUL prediction across operation conditions using deep transfer learning and insufficient degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    19. Bermeo-Ayerbe, Miguel Angel & Cocquempot, Vincent & Ocampo-Martinez, Carlos & Diaz-Rozo, Javier, 2023. "Remaining useful life estimation of ball-bearings based on motor current signature analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    20. Lin, Wenyi & Chai, Yi & Fan, Linchuan & Zhang, Ke, 2024. "Remaining useful life prediction using nonlinear multi-phase Wiener process and variational Bayesian approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:225:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022002460. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.