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Multicellular LSTM-based deep learning model for aero-engine remaining useful life prediction

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  • Xiang, Sheng
  • Qin, Yi
  • Luo, Jun
  • Pu, Huayan
  • Tang, Baoping

Abstract

The prediction of aero-engine remaining useful life (RUL) is helpful for its operation and maintenance. Aiming at the challenge that most neural networks (NNs), including long short-term memory (LSTM), cannot process the input data in different update modes based on its importance degree, a novel variant of LSTM named multicellular LSTM (MCLSTM) is constructed. The level division unit is proposed to determine the importance degree of input data, and then multiple cellular units are designed to update the cell states according to the data level. Thus, MCLSTM can well mine different levels of degradation trends. Based on MCLSTM and a deep NN (DNN), a deep learning model for RUL prediction is set up, where MCLSTM and a branch of the DNN is used to extract health indicators (HIs) of aero-engine from raw data, and the other part of the DNN is applied to generate the HIs from human-made features and predict the RUL based on the concatenated HIs. The proposed RUL prediction model is successfully applied to predict the RULs of aero-engines via the Commercial Modular Aero Propulsion System Simulation datasets, and the comparative results show that it has a better comprehensive prediction performance than the commonly-used machine learning methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiang, Sheng & Qin, Yi & Luo, Jun & Pu, Huayan & Tang, Baoping, 2021. "Multicellular LSTM-based deep learning model for aero-engine remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:216:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021004439
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107927
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Gao, Zhan & Jiang, Weixiong & Wu, Jun & Dai, Tianjiao & Zhu, Haiping, 2024. "Nonlinear slow-varying dynamics-assisted temporal graph transformer network for remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    3. Yang, Shilong & Tang, Baoping & Wang, Weiying & Yang, Qichao & Hu, Cheng, 2024. "Physics-informed multi-state temporal frequency network for RUL prediction of rolling bearings," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    4. Wan, Shaoke & Li, Xiaohu & Zhang, Yanfei & Liu, Shijie & Hong, Jun & Wang, Dongfeng, 2022. "Bearing remaining useful life prediction with convolutional long short-term memory fusion networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    5. Nguyen, Khanh T.P. & Medjaher, Kamal & Gogu, Christian, 2022. "Probabilistic deep learning methodology for uncertainty quantification of remaining useful lifetime of multi-component systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    6. Xu, Dan & Xiao, Xiaoqi & Liu, Jie & Sui, Shaobo, 2023. "Spatio-temporal degradation modeling and remaining useful life prediction under multiple operating conditions based on attention mechanism and deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    7. Chen, Dingliang & Qin, Yi & Qian, Quan & Wang, Yi & Liu, Fuqiang, 2023. "Transfer life prediction of gears by cross-domain health indicator construction and multi-hierarchical long-term memory augmented network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    8. Xiao, Dasheng & Lin, Zhifu & Yu, Aiyang & Tang, Ke & Xiao, Hong, 2024. "Data-driven method embedded physical knowledge for entire lifecycle degradation monitoring in aircraft engines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    9. Kumar, Anil & Parkash, Chander & Vashishtha, Govind & Tang, Hesheng & Kundu, Pradeep & Xiang, Jiawei, 2022. "State-space modeling and novel entropy-based health indicator for dynamic degradation monitoring of rolling element bearing," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    10. Liu, Lu & Song, Xiao & Zhou, Zhetao, 2022. "Aircraft engine remaining useful life estimation via a double attention-based data-driven architecture," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    11. Zhang, Yong & Xin, Yuqi & Liu, Zhi-wei & Chi, Ming & Ma, Guijun, 2022. "Health status assessment and remaining useful life prediction of aero-engine based on BiGRU and MMoE," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    12. Li, Xin & Yang, Yu & Wu, Zhantao & Yan, Ke & Shao, Haidong & Cheng, Junsheng, 2022. "High-accuracy gearbox health state recognition based on graph sparse random vector functional link network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    13. Kamei, Sayaka & Taghipour, Sharareh, 2023. "A comparison study of centralized and decentralized federated learning approaches utilizing the transformer architecture for estimating remaining useful life," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    14. Huang, Zhifu & Yang, Yang & Hu, Yawei & Ding, Xiang & Li, Xuanlin & Liu, Yongbin, 2023. "Attention-augmented recalibrated and compensatory network for machine remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    15. Wang, Jiaolong & Zhang, Fode & Zhang, Jianchuan & Liu, Wen & Zhou, Kuang, 2023. "A flexible RUL prediction method based on poly-cell LSTM with applications to lithium battery data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    16. He, Yuxuan & Su, Huai & Zio, Enrico & Peng, Shiliang & Fan, Lin & Yang, Zhaoming & Yang, Zhe & Zhang, Jinjun, 2023. "A systematic method of remaining useful life estimation based on physics-informed graph neural networks with multisensor data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    17. Chang, Yuanhong & Li, Fudong & Chen, Jinglong & Liu, Yulang & Li, Zipeng, 2022. "Efficient temporal flow Transformer accompanied with multi-head probsparse self-attention mechanism for remaining useful life prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    18. Costa, Nahuel & Sánchez, Luciano, 2022. "Variational encoding approach for interpretable assessment of remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    19. Zhou, Zhihao & Zhang, Wei & Yao, Peng & Long, Zhenhua & Bai, Mingling & Liu, Jinfu & Yu, Daren, 2024. "More realistic degradation trend prediction for gas turbine based on factor analysis and multiple penalty mechanism loss function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    20. Zhu, Rong & Chen, Yuan & Peng, Weiwen & Ye, Zhi-Sheng, 2022. "Bayesian deep-learning for RUL prediction: An active learning perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    21. Zhuang, Liangliang & Xu, Ancha & Wang, Xiao-Lin, 2023. "A prognostic driven predictive maintenance framework based on Bayesian deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    22. Dayo-Olupona, Oluwatobi & Genc, Bekir & Celik, Turgay & Bada, Samson, 2023. "Adoptable approaches to predictive maintenance in mining industry: An overview," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    23. Liu, Junqiang & Yu, Zhuoqian & Zuo, Hongfu & Fu, Rongchunxue & Feng, Xiaonan, 2022. "Multi-stage residual life prediction of aero-engine based on real-time clustering and combined prediction model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    24. González-Muñiz, Ana & Díaz, Ignacio & Cuadrado, Abel A. & García-Pérez, Diego, 2022. "Health indicator for machine condition monitoring built in the latent space of a deep autoencoder," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    25. Zhang, Yuru & Su, Chun & Wu, Jiajun & Liu, Hao & Xie, Mingjiang, 2024. "Trend-augmented and temporal-featured Transformer network with multi-sensor signals for remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

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