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Development of parametric fragility curves for storage tanks: A Natech approach

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  • Zuluaga Mayorga, Santiago
  • Sánchez-Silva, Mauricio
  • Ramírez Olivar, Oscar J.
  • Muñoz Giraldo, Felipe

Abstract

Natural hazards impose great distresses on many type of structures, which leads to large economic, environmental, and human losses. Large storage areas, in which large cylindrical storage tanks are used, are particularly vulnerable to certain natural events such as earthquakes, tsunami, and storms. This vulnerability can result in technological accidents (also known as Natech) such as the release of hazardous materials or the loss of valuable resources. The objective of this paper is to present a Natech-based approach for the development of fragility curves that can be used in the performance analysis and the design of storage tanks, for a large variety of tank configurations, and for various types of storage park/area setups. This is achieved through a parametric methodology that allows for specific tank modelling, instead of more traditional approaches (i.e., historical records). Furthermore, a formulation for the analysis of tank groups subjected to extreme events is presented. The model for isolated and grouped tanks, and its applications, are illustrated through several examples. This analysis is restricted to the case of ground supported, liquid-atmospheric storage tanks. Specifications for other tank geometries and operation conditions (e.g., elevated, rectangular or pressurized tanks) can be found elsewhere.

Suggested Citation

  • Zuluaga Mayorga, Santiago & Sánchez-Silva, Mauricio & Ramírez Olivar, Oscar J. & Muñoz Giraldo, Felipe, 2019. "Development of parametric fragility curves for storage tanks: A Natech approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 1-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:189:y:2019:i:c:p:1-10
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.04.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mauricio Sánchez-Silva & Georgia-Ann Klutke, 2016. "Reliability and Life-Cycle Analysis of Deteriorating Systems," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, number 978-3-319-20946-3, February.
    2. Elisabeth Krausmann & Elisabetta Renni & Michela Campedel & Valerio Cozzani, 2011. "Industrial accidents triggered by earthquakes, floods and lightning: lessons learned from a database analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(1), pages 285-300, October.
    3. Khakzad, Nima & Van Gelder, Pieter, 2018. "Vulnerability of industrial plants to flood-induced natechs: A Bayesian network approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 403-411.
    4. Landucci, Gabriele & Antonioni, Giacomo & Tugnoli, Alessandro & Cozzani, Valerio, 2012. "Release of hazardous substances in flood events: Damage model for atmospheric storage tanks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 200-216.
    5. Salzano, Ernesto & Garcia Agreda, Anita & Di Carluccio, Antonio & Fabbrocino, Giovanni, 2009. "Risk assessment and early warning systems for industrial facilities in seismic zones," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(10), pages 1577-1584.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Yunfeng & Chen, Guohua & Reniers, Genserik, 2020. "Vulnerability assessment of atmospheric storage tanks to floods based on logistic regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    2. Lan, Meng & Gardoni, Paolo & Qin, Rongshui & Zhang, Xiao & Zhu, Jiping & Lo, Siuming, 2022. "Modeling NaTech-related domino effects in process clusters: A network-based approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Misuri, Alessio & Landucci, Gabriele & Cozzani, Valerio, 2021. "Assessment of safety barrier performance in the mitigation of domino scenarios caused by Natech events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    4. Bernier, Carl & Padgett, Jamie E., 2019. "Fragility and risk assessment of aboveground storage tanks subjected to concurrent surge, wave, and wind loads," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Marroni, Giulia & Casini, Leonardo & Bartolucci, Andrea & Kuipers, Sanneke & Casson Moreno, Valeria & Landucci, Gabriele, 2024. "Development of fragility models for process equipment affected by physical security attacks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    6. Khakzad, Nima & Cozzani, Valerio, 2020. "Special issue: Quantitative assessment and risk management of Natech accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).

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