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Some young people have all the luck! The duration dependence of the school-to-work transition in Europe

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  • Pastore, Francesco
  • Quintano, Claudio
  • Rocca, Antonella

Abstract

This paper provides sound, comparative empirical evidence on the duration of the school-to-work-transition (STWT) across 14 European countries using information available in the EU-SILC database. We define the duration of the STWT as the time needed for young people to secure their first regular job (at least six months) after completing their studies. We highlight the existence of dramatic inequality both across and within countries, namely by education level. The duration ranges on average from 13 (UK) to 34 months (Italy) and the gap still remains after 10 years. We then study the determinants of the duration by means of parametric survival models, with the distribution of hazard rates for finding a regular job being proxied by a Weibull distribution, which reveals the best fit based on a number of statistical tests. We test for omitted heterogeneity by means of the frailty survival model and find consistent evidence of positive duration dependence, suggesting that, as times passes, young people increase their hazard rate for finding a regular job as soon as they gain work experience and accumulate work-related competences.

Suggested Citation

  • Pastore, Francesco & Quintano, Claudio & Rocca, Antonella, 2021. "Some young people have all the luck! The duration dependence of the school-to-work transition in Europe," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:labeco:v:70:y:2021:i:c:s0927537121000178
    DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2021.101982
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    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Pastore, 2023. "Covid-19 and the youth-to-adult unemployment gap," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 500-500, January.
    2. Esposito, Piero & Scicchitano, Sergio, 2022. "Educational mismatch and labour market transitions in Italy: Is there an unemployment trap?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 138-155.
    3. Francisco Simões & Jale Tosun & Antonella Rocca, 2022. "Determinants of Job-Finding Intentions Among Young Adults from 11 European Countries," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 164(2), pages 623-648, November.
    4. Berigel, Muhammet & Boztaş, Gizem Dilan & Rocca, Antonella & Neagu, Gabriela, 2023. "A model for predicting determinants factors for NEETs rates: Support for the decision-makers," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    5. Giuseppe Croce & Emanuela Ghignoni, 2024. "The Multifaceted Impact of Erasmus Programme on the School-to-Work Transition: A Matching Sensitivity Analysis," Research in Higher Education, Springer;Association for Institutional Research, vol. 65(4), pages 732-754, June.
    6. Maria Diacon & Liena Hačatrjana & Victor Juc & Victoria Lisnic & Antonella Rocca, 2023. "National Level Support Programs for Youth in Relation to Effective School-to-Work Transition: Examples of Italy, Moldova, and Latvia," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, September.
    7. Davide Fiaschi & Cristina Tealdi, 2022. "Young people between education and the labour market during the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 43(7), pages 1719-1757, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    School-to-work transition; Duration; Survival analysis; Hazard rate; Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe
    • P52 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies

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