IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v283y2023ics0360544223025653.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-term wind power forecasting model based on temporal convolutional network and Informer

Author

Listed:
  • Gong, Mingju
  • Yan, Changcheng
  • Xu, Wei
  • Zhao, Zhixuan
  • Li, Wenxiang
  • Liu, Yan
  • Li, Sheng

Abstract

Wind power forecast remains challenging owing to the unpredictable peculiarity of wind. The accuracy of wind power predictions is critical to the stability of the whole system. This research proposes a hybrid prediction model based on a temporal convolutional network and an Informer to increase the accuracy of wind power forecasting. The hidden temporal features in the dataset are first extracted using TCN, and the Informer is then employed to predict wind power. Additionally, a cutting-edge AdaBelief optimizer is used to boost prediction accuracy even more. The validity of the model is verified by comparing with other wind speed prediction methods. The findings reveal that the proposed model has the highest prediction accuracy and the best forecast effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Gong, Mingju & Yan, Changcheng & Xu, Wei & Zhao, Zhixuan & Li, Wenxiang & Liu, Yan & Li, Sheng, 2023. "Short-term wind power forecasting model based on temporal convolutional network and Informer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:283:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223025653
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.129171
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223025653
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.129171?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jiang, Ping & Wang, Yun & Wang, Jianzhou, 2017. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using a hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 561-577.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Moreno, Sinvaldo Rodrigues & Seman, Laio Oriel & Stefenon, Stefano Frizzo & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos & Mariani, Viviana Cocco, 2024. "Enhancing wind speed forecasting through synergy of machine learning, singular spectral analysis, and variational mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    2. Meng, Anbo & Zhang, Haitao & Dai, Zhongfu & Xian, Zikang & Xiao, Liexi & Rong, Jiayu & Li, Chen & Zhu, Jianbin & Li, Hanhong & Yin, Yiding & Liu, Jiawei & Tang, Yanshu & Zhang, Bin & Yin, Hao, 2024. "An adaptive distribution-matched recurrent network for wind power prediction using time-series distribution period division," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mojtaba Qolipour & Ali Mostafaeipour & Mohammad Saidi-Mehrabad & Hamid R Arabnia, 2019. "Prediction of wind speed using a new Grey-extreme learning machine hybrid algorithm: A case study," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(1), pages 44-62, February.
    2. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    3. Sizhou Sun & Jingqi Fu & Ang Li, 2019. "A Compound Wind Power Forecasting Strategy Based on Clustering, Two-Stage Decomposition, Parameter Optimization, and Optimal Combination of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-22, September.
    4. Yulong Bai & Lihong Tang & Manhong Fan & Xiaoyan Ma & Yang Yang, 2020. "Fuzzy First-Order Transition-Rules-Trained Hybrid Forecasting System for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-21, June.
    5. Korprasertsak, Natapol & Leephakpreeda, Thananchai, 2019. "Robust short-term prediction of wind power generation under uncertainty via statistical interpretation of multiple forecasting models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 387-397.
    6. Aasim, & Singh, S.N. & Mohapatra, Abheejeet, 2019. "Repeated wavelet transform based ARIMA model for very short-term wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 758-768.
    7. Jiang, Ping & Yang, Hufang & Heng, Jiani, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on fuzzy time series and multi-objective optimization for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 786-801.
    8. Wu, Chunying & Wang, Jianzhou & Chen, Xuejun & Du, Pei & Yang, Wendong, 2020. "A novel hybrid system based on multi-objective optimization for wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 149-165.
    9. Vadim Manusov & Pavel Matrenin & Muso Nazarov & Svetlana Beryozkina & Murodbek Safaraliev & Inga Zicmane & Anvari Ghulomzoda, 2023. "Short-Term Prediction of the Wind Speed Based on a Learning Process Control Algorithm in Isolated Power Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-12, January.
    10. He, Qingqing & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan, 2018. "A hybrid system for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 756-771.
    11. Wang, Yun & Wang, Haibo & Srinivasan, Dipti & Hu, Qinghua, 2019. "Robust functional regression for wind speed forecasting based on Sparse Bayesian learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 43-60.
    12. Hao Zhen & Dongxiao Niu & Min Yu & Keke Wang & Yi Liang & Xiaomin Xu, 2020. "A Hybrid Deep Learning Model and Comparison for Wind Power Forecasting Considering Temporal-Spatial Feature Extraction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-24, November.
    13. Weide Li & Demeng Kong & Jinran Wu, 2017. "A Novel Hybrid Model Based on Extreme Learning Machine, k-Nearest Neighbor Regression and Wavelet Denoising Applied to Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-16, May.
    14. Xiaohan Huang & Aihua Jiang, 2022. "Wind Power Generation Forecast Based on Multi-Step Informer Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-17, September.
    15. Chiou-Jye Huang & Ping-Huan Kuo, 2018. "A Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Model by Using Artificial Neural Networks with Stochastic Optimization for Renewable Energy Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-20, October.
    16. Nathan Oaks Farrar & Mohd Hasan Ali & Dipankar Dasgupta, 2023. "Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Grid Connected Wind Turbine Control Systems: A Comprehensive Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-25, February.
    17. Sun, Zexian & Zhao, Mingyu & Zhao, Guohong, 2022. "Hybrid model based on VMD decomposition, clustering analysis, long short memory network, ensemble learning and error complementation for short-term wind speed forecasting assisted by Flink platform," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    18. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    19. Muhammad Shahzad Nazir & Fahad Alturise & Sami Alshmrany & Hafiz. M. J Nazir & Muhammad Bilal & Ahmad N. Abdalla & P. Sanjeevikumar & Ziad M. Ali, 2020. "Wind Generation Forecasting Methods and Proliferation of Artificial Neural Network: A Review of Five Years Research Trend," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-27, May.
    20. Niu, Zhewen & Yu, Zeyuan & Tang, Wenhu & Wu, Qinghua & Reformat, Marek, 2020. "Wind power forecasting using attention-based gated recurrent unit network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:283:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223025653. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.