IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v135y2014icp234-246.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sensitivity of the WRF model wind simulation and wind energy production estimates to planetary boundary layer parameterizations for onshore and offshore areas in the Iberian Peninsula

Author

Listed:
  • Carvalho, D.
  • Rocha, A.
  • Gómez-Gesteira, M.
  • Silva Santos, C.

Abstract

This work aims to assess the Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) model wind simulation and wind energy production estimates sensitivity to different planetary boundary layer parameterization schemes. Five WRF simulations considering different sets of planetary boundary layer (PBL) and surface layer (SL) parameterization schemes were performed, and their results compared to measured wind data collected at five offshore buoys and thirteen onshore wind measuring stations located in the Iberian Peninsula. The objective is to determine which of these model configurations produces wind simulations and wind energy productions estimates closest to measured wind data and wind energy production estimates derived from measurements, aiming to provide guidelines for onshore and offshore wind energy assessment studies focused on areas where measured wind data is not available and numerical modelling is necessary. This work focuses on the Iberian Peninsula, an area with intensive wind energy penetration due to its favourable wind conditions, which combined with its large coastline makes this area a promising one for the future installation of offshore wind farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "Sensitivity of the WRF model wind simulation and wind energy production estimates to planetary boundary layer parameterizations for onshore and offshore areas in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 234-246.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:135:y:2014:i:c:p:234-246
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.082
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261914008939
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.082?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Neill, Simon P. & Hashemi, M. Reza, 2013. "Wave power variability over the northwest European shelf seas," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 31-46.
    2. Krajacic, Goran & Duic, Neven & Carvalho, Maria da Graça, 2011. "How to achieve a 100% RES electricity supply for Portugal?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 508-517, February.
    3. Fyrippis, Ioannis & Axaopoulos, Petros J. & Panayiotou, Gregoris, 2010. "Wind energy potential assessment in Naxos Island, Greece," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 577-586, February.
    4. Chen, Kuilin & Yu, Jie, 2014. "Short-term wind speed prediction using an unscented Kalman filter based state-space support vector regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 690-705.
    5. Ucar, Aynur & Balo, Figen, 2009. "Investigation of wind characteristics and assessment of wind-generation potentiality in Uludag-Bursa, Turkey," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(3), pages 333-339, March.
    6. Poncela, Marta & Poncela, Pilar & Perán, José Ramón, 2013. "Automatic tuning of Kalman filters by maximum likelihood methods for wind energy forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 349-362.
    7. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "WRF wind simulation and wind energy production estimates forced by different reanalyses: Comparison with observed data for Portugal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 116-126.
    8. Morales, J.M. & Mínguez, R. & Conejo, A.J., 2010. "A methodology to generate statistically dependent wind speed scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 843-855, March.
    9. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Santos, C. Silva & Pereira, R., 2013. "Wind resource modelling in complex terrain using different mesoscale–microscale coupling techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 493-504.
    10. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing, 2010. "On comparing three artificial neural networks for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(7), pages 2313-2320, July.
    11. Gallego, C. & Pinson, P. & Madsen, H. & Costa, A. & Cuerva, A., 2011. "Influence of local wind speed and direction on wind power dynamics – Application to offshore very short-term forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 4087-4096.
    12. Thiaw, L. & Sow, G. & Fall, S.S. & Kasse, M. & Sylla, E. & Thioye, S., 2010. "A neural network based approach for wind resource and wind generators production assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(5), pages 1744-1748, May.
    13. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "Offshore wind energy resource simulation forced by different reanalyses: Comparison with observed data in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 57-64.
    14. Kou, Peng & Gao, Feng & Guan, Xiaohong, 2013. "Sparse online warped Gaussian process for wind power probabilistic forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 410-428.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yanling & Xiao, Xia & Wang, Jianzhou & Chi, Dezhong & Guo, Zhenhai, 2017. "Multi-step wind speed and power forecasts based on a WRF simulation and an optimized association method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 183-202.
    2. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "Offshore wind energy resource simulation forced by different reanalyses: Comparison with observed data in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 57-64.
    3. Deep, Sneh & Sarkar, Arnab & Ghawat, Mayur & Rajak, Manoj Kumar, 2020. "Estimation of the wind energy potential for coastal locations in India using the Weibull model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 319-339.
    4. Giannaros, Theodore M. & Melas, Dimitrios & Ziomas, Ioannis, 2017. "Performance evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for assessing wind resource in Greece," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PA), pages 190-198.
    5. Alain Ulazia & Ander Nafarrate & Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegi & Jon Sáenz & Sheila Carreno-Madinabeitia, 2019. "The Consequences of Air Density Variations over Northeastern Scotland for Offshore Wind Energy Potential," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    6. Mohandes, M. & Rehman, S. & Rahman, S.M., 2011. "Estimation of wind speed profile using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 4024-4032.
    7. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2017. "Offshore winds and wind energy production estimates derived from ASCAT, OSCAT, numerical weather prediction models and buoys – A comparative study for the Iberian Peninsula Atlantic coast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PB), pages 433-444.
    8. Ulazia, Alain & Saenz, Jon & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel, 2016. "Sensitivity to the use of 3DVAR data assimilation in a mesoscale model for estimating offshore wind energy potential. A case study of the Iberian northern coastline," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 617-627.
    9. González-Alonso de Linaje, N. & Mattar, C. & Borvarán, D., 2019. "Quantifying the wind energy potential differences using different WRF initial conditions on Mediterranean coast of Chile," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    10. Yu, Jie & Chen, Kuilin & Mori, Junichi & Rashid, Mudassir M., 2013. "A Gaussian mixture copula model based localized Gaussian process regression approach for long-term wind speed prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 673-686.
    11. Yuan, Renyu & Ji, Wenju & Luo, Kun & Wang, Jianwen & Zhang, Sanxia & Wang, Qiang & Fan, Jianren & Ni, MingJiang & Cen, Kefa, 2017. "Coupled wind farm parameterization with a mesoscale model for simulations of an onshore wind farm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 113-125.
    12. Carvalho, D. & Rocha, A. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Silva Santos, C., 2014. "WRF wind simulation and wind energy production estimates forced by different reanalyses: Comparison with observed data for Portugal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 116-126.
    13. Erdem, Ergin & Shi, Jing, 2011. "ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1405-1414, April.
    14. Zhang, Yao & Wang, Jianxue & Wang, Xifan, 2014. "Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 255-270.
    15. Feng, Cong & Cui, Mingjian & Hodge, Bri-Mathias & Zhang, Jie, 2017. "A data-driven multi-model methodology with deep feature selection for short-term wind forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1245-1257.
    16. Chen, Kuilin & Yu, Jie, 2014. "Short-term wind speed prediction using an unscented Kalman filter based state-space support vector regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 690-705.
    17. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Zhen-Hai & Su, Zhong-Yue & Zhao, Zhi-Yuan & Xiao, Xia & Liu, Feng, 2016. "An improved multi-step forecasting model based on WRF ensembles and creative fuzzy systems for wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 808-826.
    18. Ulazia, Alain & Sáenz, Jon & Ibarra-Berastegi, Gabriel & González-Rojí, Santos J. & Carreno-Madinabeitia, Sheila, 2019. "Global estimations of wind energy potential considering seasonal air density changes," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    19. Wang, H.Z. & Wang, G.B. & Li, G.Q. & Peng, J.C. & Liu, Y.T., 2016. "Deep belief network based deterministic and probabilistic wind speed forecasting approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 80-93.
    20. Ulazia, Alain & Sáenz, Jon & Ibarra-Berastegui, Gabriel & González-Rojí, Santos J. & Carreno-Madinabeitia, Sheila, 2017. "Using 3DVAR data assimilation to measure offshore wind energy potential at different turbine heights in the West Mediterranean," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1232-1245.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:135:y:2014:i:c:p:234-246. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.