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Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: The case of developed countries

Author

Listed:
  • Afonso, António
  • Alves, José
  • Beck, Krzysztof
  • Jackson, Karen

Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of financial equity flows to investigate the role played by business cycles, government debt and sovereign rating scores, and whether the impact depends on the magnitude and direction of the flows. Using a new, richer dataset of flows among developed countries over 2001–2018, our key findings are as follows: (i) equity flows are more intense among countries at the same stage of the business cycle (ii) equity flows are higher to countries with a relatively lower debt to GDP ratio (iii) financial and macroeconomic variables are important for big equity flows, while institutional variables are important for the small flows. Overall, considering a wider range of factors under-explored in the literature, we provide a stronger understanding of the development of risks in the financial sector as well as the linkages with other sectors of the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Afonso, António & Alves, José & Beck, Krzysztof & Jackson, Karen, 2024. "Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: The case of developed countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:141:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324002591
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106902
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    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso & José Alves & Lucas Menescal & Sofia Monteiro, 2024. "Determinants of Trade Partner Concentration: An Analysis for European Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 11481, CESifo.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    OECD countries; Business cycle; Sovereign ratings; Government debt; Semi-parametric regressions; Quantile regressions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

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