IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v364y2024ics0306261924005105.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stochastic optimization of system configurations and operation of hybrid cascade hydro-wind-photovoltaic with battery for uncertain medium- and long-term load growth

Author

Listed:
  • Shi, Yunhong
  • Wang, Honglei
  • Li, Chengjiang
  • Negnevitsky, Michael
  • Wang, Xiaolin

Abstract

The implementation of a large-scale energy infrastructure, relying exclusively on 100% clean and renewable sources, effectively meets the rising regional energy demands and mitigates climate change impacts stemming from fossil fuel consumption. However, challenges arise due to uncertainties in renewable energy outputs and the dynamic nature of medium- and long-term electricity demands, affecting energy supply reliability, as well as considerations of investment and economic performance. To tackle these issues, a stochastic two-stage optimization method is proposed for refining system configurations in a hybrid cascade hydro-wind-photovoltaic system with a battery. This approach includes optimizing the scheduling and management of energy production plants. Uncertainties related to water inflows, wind and solar powers, and electric demands are modeled using a scenario generation method. Temporal correlation degrees are introduced to improve the precision of Latin hypercube sampling. Addressing nonlinear aspects, the linear relaxation method, based on the McCormick envelope, deals with nonlinear elements in cascade hydro power plants. A mixed-integer linear programming approach is then used to obtain optimal solutions for the hybrid system. Results show that the proposed scenario generation method enhances computational efficiency. Cover ratios for sampling and clustering improve by 2.24% and 3.60%, respectively, and average errors of temporal correlations decrease by 0.81% for sampling and 0.52% for clustering. Key parameters like electric growth, cost parameters, and initial battery state, be considered for optimal system configurations and strategies. The levelized cost of electricity of the optimum system configurations is about 0.060$/kWh when the peak electric load is 10,000 MW. The life cycle CO2 emission is about 9.49 kg CO2-eq/MWh. Both electricity cost and environmental impact will have dramatic growth because of the integration of EES with large capacity when the electric load continuously increases.

Suggested Citation

  • Shi, Yunhong & Wang, Honglei & Li, Chengjiang & Negnevitsky, Michael & Wang, Xiaolin, 2024. "Stochastic optimization of system configurations and operation of hybrid cascade hydro-wind-photovoltaic with battery for uncertain medium- and long-term load growth," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:364:y:2024:i:c:s0306261924005105
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123127
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924005105
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123127?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sameti, Mohammad & Haghighat, Fariborz, 2018. "Integration of distributed energy storage into net-zero energy district systems: Optimum design and operation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 575-591.
    2. Wang, Jiangjiang & Huo, Shuojie & Yan, Rujing & Cui, Zhiheng, 2022. "Leveraging heat accumulation of district heating network to improve performances of integrated energy system under source-load uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    3. Wang, Zizhao & Wu, Feng & Li, Yang & Li, Jingyan & Liu, Ying & Liu, Wenge, 2023. "Day-ahead dispatch approach for cascaded hydropower-photovoltaic complementary system based on two-stage robust optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    4. Wang, Zizhao & Wu, Feng & Li, Yang & Shi, Linjun & Lee, Kwang Y. & Wu, Jiawei, 2023. "Itô-theory-based multi-time scale dispatch approach for cascade hydropower-photovoltaic complementary system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 127-142.
    5. Lu, Na & Wang, Guangyan & Su, Chengguo & Ren, Zaimin & Peng, Xiaoyue & Sui, Quan, 2024. "Medium- and long-term interval optimal scheduling of cascade hydropower-photovoltaic complementary systems considering multiple uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    6. Guo, Yi & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Liu, Pan & Wang, Yimin & Fang, Wei & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Evaluating effects of battery storage on day-ahead generation scheduling of large hydro–wind–photovoltaic complementary systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    7. Tan, Qiaofeng & Wen, Xin & Sun, Yuanliang & Lei, Xiaohui & Wang, Zhenni & Qin, Guanghua, 2021. "Evaluation of the risk and benefit of the complementary operation of the large wind-photovoltaic-hydropower system considering forecast uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    8. Perera, A.T.D. & Wickremasinghe, D.M.I.J. & Mahindarathna, D.V.S. & Attalage, R.A. & Perera, K.K.C.K. & Bartholameuz, E.M., 2012. "Sensitivity of internal combustion generator capacity in standalone hybrid energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 403-411.
    9. Zhang, Juntao & Cheng, Chuntian & Yu, Shen & Su, Huaying, 2022. "Chance-constrained co-optimization for day-ahead generation and reserve scheduling of cascade hydropower–variable renewable energy hybrid systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    10. Huang, Mengdi & Chang, Jianxia & Guo, Aijun & Zhao, Mingzhe & Ye, Xiangmin & Lei, Kaixuan & Peng, Zhiwen & Wang, Yimin, 2023. "Cascade hydropower stations optimal dispatch considering flexible margin in renewable energy power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    11. Yan, Rujing & Wang, Jiangjiang & Huo, Shuojie & Qin, Yanbo & Zhang, Jing & Tang, Saiqiu & Wang, Yuwei & Liu, Yan & Zhou, Lin, 2023. "Flexibility improvement and stochastic multi-scenario hybrid optimization for an integrated energy system with high-proportion renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    12. Wang, Zizhao & Li, Yang & Wu, Feng & Wu, Jiawei & Shi, Linjun & Lin, Keman, 2024. "Multi-objective day-ahead scheduling of cascade hydropower-photovoltaic complementary system with pumping installation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    13. Tan, Qiaofeng & Zhang, Ziyi & Wen, Xin & Fang, Guohua & Xu, Shuo & Nie, Zhuang & Wang, Yanling, 2024. "Risk control of hydropower-photovoltaic multi-energy complementary scheduling based on energy storage allocation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    14. Wang, Like & Wang, Yuan & Du, Huibin & Zuo, Jian & Yi Man Li, Rita & Zhou, Zhihua & Bi, Fenfen & Garvlehn, McSimon P., 2019. "A comparative life-cycle assessment of hydro-, nuclear and wind power: A China study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 37-45.
    15. Zhang, Yusheng & Ma, Chao & Yang, Yang & Pang, Xiulan & Liu, Lu & Lian, Jijian, 2021. "Study on short-term optimal operation of cascade hydro-photovoltaic hybrid systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    16. Su, Chengguo & Wang, Peilin & Yuan, Wenlin & Wu, Yang & Jiang, Feng & Wu, Zening & Yan, Denghua, 2022. "Short-term optimal scheduling of cascade hydropower plants with reverse-regulating effects," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 395-406.
    17. Huang, Kangdi & Luo, Peng & Liu, Pan & KIM, Jong Suk & Wang, Yintang & Xu, Weifeng & Li, He & Gong, Yu, 2022. "Improving complementarity of a hybrid renewable energy system to meet load demand by using hydropower regulation ability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    18. Feng, Zhong-kai & Huang, Qing-qing & Niu, Wen-jing & Su, Hua-ying & Li, Shu-shan & Wu, Hui-jun & Wang, Jia-yang, 2024. "Peak operation optimization of cascade hydropower reservoirs and solar power plants considering output forecasting uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    19. Han, Shuo & Yuan, Yifan & He, Mengjiao & Zhao, Ziwen & Xu, Beibei & Chen, Diyi & Jurasz, Jakub, 2024. "A novel day-ahead scheduling model to unlock hydropower flexibility limited by vibration zones in hydropower-variable renewable energy hybrid system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    20. Kumar, K. Prakash & Saravanan, B., 2017. "Recent techniques to model uncertainties in power generation from renewable energy sources and loads in microgrids – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 348-358.
    21. Ju, Liwei & Tan, Zhongfu & Yuan, Jinyun & Tan, Qingkun & Li, Huanhuan & Dong, Fugui, 2016. "A bi-level stochastic scheduling optimization model for a virtual power plant connected to a wind–photovoltaic–energy storage system considering the uncertainty and demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 184-199.
    22. Tan, Qiaofeng & Nie, Zhuang & Wen, Xin & Su, Huaying & Fang, Guohua & Zhang, Ziyi, 2024. "Complementary scheduling rules for hybrid pumped storage hydropower-photovoltaic power system reconstructing from conventional cascade hydropower stations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    23. Wang, Jin & Zhao, Zhipeng & Zhou, Jinglin & Cheng, Chuntian & Su, Huaying, 2024. "Developing operating rules for a hydro–wind–solar hybrid system considering peak-shaving demands," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    24. Yan, Rujing & Wang, Jiangjiang & Wang, Jiahao & Tian, Lei & Tang, Saiqiu & Wang, Yuwei & Zhang, Jing & Cheng, Youliang & Li, Yuan, 2022. "A two-stage stochastic-robust optimization for a hybrid renewable energy CCHP system considering multiple scenario-interval uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    25. He, Yaoyao & Hong, Xiaoyu & Wang, Chao & Qin, Hui, 2023. "Optimal capacity configuration of the hydro-wind-photovoltaic complementary system considering cascade reservoir connection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    26. Guo, Yi & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Wang, Yimin & Zheng, Xudong & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Risk-averse day-ahead generation scheduling of hydro–wind–photovoltaic complementary systems considering the steady requirement of power delivery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lu Xiao & Feiyue Yang & Yong Yang & Che Chen & Wuer Ha, 2024. "A Sustainable Production Planning Scheme for New Energy Vehicles in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-24, September.
    2. Mehrdad Ghahramani & Daryoush Habibi & Seyyedmorteza Ghamari & Asma Aziz, 2024. "Addressing Uncertainty in Renewable Energy Integration for Western Australia’s Mining Sector: A Robust Optimization Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(22), pages 1-35, November.
    3. Liang Liang & Qian Mei & Chengjiang Li, 2024. "Does “Dual Credit Policy” Really Matter in Corporate Competitiveness?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-16, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Xia, Qian & Cheng, Lei & Ming, Bo & Zhang, Wei & Xu, Weifeng & Zheng, Yalian & Han, Dongyang & Xia, Jun, 2023. "An analytical method to evaluate curtailment of hydro–photovoltaic hybrid energy systems and its implication under climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Lu, Na & Wang, Guangyan & Su, Chengguo & Ren, Zaimin & Peng, Xiaoyue & Sui, Quan, 2024. "Medium- and long-term interval optimal scheduling of cascade hydropower-photovoltaic complementary systems considering multiple uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    3. Cheng, Qian & Liu, Pan & Feng, Maoyuan & Cheng, Lei & Ming, Bo & Luo, Xinran & Liu, Weibo & Xu, Weifeng & Huang, Kangdi & Xia, Jun, 2023. "Complementary operation with wind and photovoltaic power induces the decrease in hydropower efficiency," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    4. Yuanyuan Liu & Hao Zhang & Pengcheng Guo & Chenxi Li & Shuai Wu, 2024. "Optimal Scheduling of a Cascade Hydropower Energy Storage System for Solar and Wind Energy Accommodation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-23, June.
    5. Li, Xudong & Yang, Weijia & Liao, Yiwen & Zhang, Shushu & Zheng, Yang & Zhao, Zhigao & Tang, Maojia & Cheng, Yongguang & Liu, Pan, 2024. "Short-term risk-management for hydro-wind-solar hybrid energy system considering hydropower part-load operating characteristics," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    6. Yan, Yixian & Huang, Chang & Guan, Junquan & Zhang, Qi & Cai, Yang & Wang, Weiliang, 2024. "Stochastic optimization of solar-based distributed energy system: An error-based scenario with a day-ahead and real-time dynamic scheduling approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    7. Ma, Chao & Xu, Ximeng & Pang, Xiulan & Li, Xiaofeng & Zhang, Pengfei & Liu, Lu, 2024. "Scenario-based ultra-short-term rolling optimal operation of a photovoltaic-energy storage system under forecast uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    8. Jiang, Jianhua & Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Huang, Qiang & Guo, Yi & Chang, Jianxia & Zhang, Wei, 2023. "Refining long-term operation of large hydro–photovoltaic–wind hybrid systems by nesting response functions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 359-371.
    9. Li, Yuxuan & Zhang, Junli & Wu, Xiao & Shen, Jiong & Maréchal, François, 2023. "Stochastic-robust planning optimization method based on tracking-economy extreme scenario tradeoff for CCHP multi-energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    10. Feng, Zhong-kai & Huang, Qing-qing & Niu, Wen-jing & Su, Hua-ying & Li, Shu-shan & Wu, Hui-jun & Wang, Jia-yang, 2024. "Peak operation optimization of cascade hydropower reservoirs and solar power plants considering output forecasting uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    11. Zhou, Siyu & Han, Yang & Zalhaf, Amr S. & Chen, Shuheng & Zhou, Te & Yang, Ping & Elboshy, Bahaa, 2023. "A novel multi-objective scheduling model for grid-connected hydro-wind-PV-battery complementary system under extreme weather: A case study of Sichuan, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 818-833.
    12. Han, Shuo & Yuan, Yifan & He, Mengjiao & Zhao, Ziwen & Xu, Beibei & Chen, Diyi & Jurasz, Jakub, 2024. "A novel day-ahead scheduling model to unlock hydropower flexibility limited by vibration zones in hydropower-variable renewable energy hybrid system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    13. Guo, Yi & Ming, Bo & Huang, Qiang & Liu, Pan & Wang, Yimin & Fang, Wei & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Evaluating effects of battery storage on day-ahead generation scheduling of large hydro–wind–photovoltaic complementary systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 324(C).
    14. Han, Fengwu & Zeng, Jianfeng & Lin, Junjie & Zhao, Yunlong & Gao, Chong, 2023. "A stochastic hierarchical optimization and revenue allocation approach for multi-regional integrated energy systems based on cooperative games," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    15. Liu, Jiejie & Li, Yao & Ma, Yanan & Qin, Ruomu & Meng, Xianyang & Wu, Jiangtao, 2023. "Two-layer multiple scenario optimization framework for integrated energy system based on optimal energy contribution ratio strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    16. Zhang, Yusheng & Ma, Chao & Yang, Yang & Pang, Xiulan & Lian, Jijian & Wang, Xin, 2022. "Capacity configuration and economic evaluation of a power system integrating hydropower, solar, and wind," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    17. Yan, Rujing & Wang, Jiangjiang & Wang, Jiahao & Tian, Lei & Tang, Saiqiu & Wang, Yuwei & Zhang, Jing & Cheng, Youliang & Li, Yuan, 2022. "A two-stage stochastic-robust optimization for a hybrid renewable energy CCHP system considering multiple scenario-interval uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    18. Wang, Zizhao & Li, Yang & Wu, Feng & Wu, Jiawei & Shi, Linjun & Lin, Keman, 2024. "Multi-objective day-ahead scheduling of cascade hydropower-photovoltaic complementary system with pumping installation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    19. Ma, Chao & Liu, Lu, 2022. "Optimal capacity configuration of hydro-wind-PV hybrid system and its coordinative operation rules considering the UHV transmission and reservoir operation requirements," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 637-653.
    20. Xu, Xun & Shao, Zhenguo & Chen, Feixiong & Cheng, Guoyang, 2024. "Multi-game optimization operation strategy for integrated energy system considering spatiotemporal correlation of renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:364:y:2024:i:c:s0306261924005105. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.