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Co-optimization for day-ahead scheduling and flexibility response mode of a hydro–wind–solar hybrid system considering forecast uncertainty of variable renewable energy

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  • Wang, Jin
  • Zhao, Zhipeng
  • Zhou, Jinglin
  • Cheng, Chuntian
  • Su, Huaying

Abstract

Hydropower, characterized by its quick ramping speed and energy buffering capacity, has the ability to respond to the flexibility demand caused by the forecast uncertainty of variable renewable energy (VRE). However, how to determine the flexibility supply of each hydropower station to ensure the reliable execution of the day-ahead scheduling in the intraday operation is a challenging issue for a hydro–wind–solar hybrid system (HWSHS). Due to complex characteristics of cascade hydropower stations, there is a mutual influence between the day-ahead scheduling and its execution. Therefore, flexibility response mode (FRM) is proposed to determine the flexibility supply of each hydropower station according to the flexibility demand of VRE, and a co-optimization model is constructed to optimize the day-ahead scheduling and the parameters of FRM considering the forecast uncertainty of VRE. A HWSHS in Guizhou province, China, is employed as a case study. The results suggest that the FRM can ensure the reliable execution of the day-ahead scheduling in the intraday operation. Compared to a contrast model without FRM, the execution deviation and its duration are decreased by more than 22% and 37%, respectively, in both long-run and out-of-sample analyses.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Jin & Zhao, Zhipeng & Zhou, Jinglin & Cheng, Chuntian & Su, Huaying, 2024. "Co-optimization for day-ahead scheduling and flexibility response mode of a hydro–wind–solar hybrid system considering forecast uncertainty of variable renewable energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:311:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224031554
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133379
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