IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v311y2024ics0360544224031311.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimization strategies for green power and certificate trading in China considering seasonality: An evolutionary game-based system dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Yue, Tingyi
  • Wang, Honglei
  • Li, Chengjiang
  • Hu, Yu-jie

Abstract

China has adopted renewable portfolio standards and tradable green certificates (including hydropower) to increase the proportion of green power used and reduce carbon emissions. However, hydropower generation is affected by seasonal factors, making it difficult to increase green power consumption in water-scarce areas. Trading electricity and green certificates in regions with different resource endowments can effectively solve this problem. Therefore, this study uses evolutionary game theory to explore the impact of the change in the policy of issuing green certificates for hydropower on the strategic choices of the trading parties. Based on the evolutionary game model, a system dynamics model is established to explore the optimization strategies of green power and certificate trading under the influence of seasonal factors. The results of the case study show that (1) the price of green certificates varies with seasonal changes. (2) Sellers with abundant hydropower resources should increase the amount of hydropower connected to the grid during the water-abundant period to help deficit areas achieve their consumption targets (3) Expanding the scope of green certificates can gradually eliminate government subsidies and incentives and reduce the government's financial pressure.

Suggested Citation

  • Yue, Tingyi & Wang, Honglei & Li, Chengjiang & Hu, Yu-jie, 2024. "Optimization strategies for green power and certificate trading in China considering seasonality: An evolutionary game-based system dynamics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:311:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224031311
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133355
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224031311
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.133355?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feng, Huchen & Hu, Yu-Jie & Li, Chengjiang & Wang, Honglei, 2023. "Rolling horizon optimisation strategy and initial carbon allowance allocation model to reduce carbon emissions in the power industry: Case of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    2. Dong, Jingya & Song, Chunhe & Liu, Shuo & Yin, Huanhuan & Zheng, Hao & Li, Yuanjian, 2022. "Decentralized peer-to-peer energy trading strategy in energy blockchain environment: A game-theoretic approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    3. Feng, Zhong-kai & Niu, Wen-jing & Cheng, Chun-tian, 2018. "Optimal allocation of hydropower and hybrid electricity injected from inter-regional transmission lines among multiple receiving-end power grids in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 444-452.
    4. Shi, Yunhong & Wang, Honglei & Li, Chengjiang & Negnevitsky, Michael & Wang, Xiaolin, 2024. "Stochastic optimization of system configurations and operation of hybrid cascade hydro-wind-photovoltaic with battery for uncertain medium- and long-term load growth," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    5. Wang, Hongye & Su, Bin & Mu, Hailin & Li, Nan & Gui, Shusen & Duan, Ye & Jiang, Bo & Kong, Xue, 2020. "Optimal way to achieve renewable portfolio standard policy goals from the electricity generation, transmission, and trading perspectives in southern China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Hu, Bo & Zhou, P., 2022. "Can the renewable power consumption guarantee mechanism help activate China's power trading market?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    7. Li, Chengjiang & Hao, Qianwen & Wang, Honglei & Hu, Yu-jie & Xu, Guoteng & Qin, Quande & Wang, Xiaolin & Negnevitsky, Michael, 2024. "Assessing green methanol vehicles' deployment with life cycle assessment-system dynamics model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
    8. Li, Tianyu & Gao, Ciwei & Chen, Tao & Jiang, Yu & Feng, Yingchun, 2022. "Medium and long-term electricity market trading strategy considering renewable portfolio standard in the transitional period of electricity market reform in Jiangsu, China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    9. Chunning Na & Can Jin & Huan Pan & Lixia Ding, 2022. "Green Power Trade Behavior in China’s Renewable Portfolio Standard: An Evolutionary Game-Based System Dynamics Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-12, April.
    10. Heide, Dominik & von Bremen, Lueder & Greiner, Martin & Hoffmann, Clemens & Speckmann, Markus & Bofinger, Stefan, 2010. "Seasonal optimal mix of wind and solar power in a future, highly renewable Europe," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2483-2489.
    11. Xu, Jin-Hua & Yi, Bo-Wen & Fan, Ying, 2020. "Economic viability and regulation effects of infrastructure investments for inter-regional electricity transmission and trade in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    12. Li, Tianxiao & Li, Zheng & Li, Weiqi, 2020. "Scenarios analysis on the cross-region integrating of renewable power based on a long-period cost-optimization power planning model," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 851-863.
    13. Hujun Wang & Xiaodong Shen & Junyong Liu, 2022. "Planning of New Distribution Network Considering Green Power Certificate Trading and Carbon Emissions Trading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-22, March.
    14. Fang, Debin & Zhao, Chaoyang & Yu, Qian, 2018. "Government regulation of renewable energy generation and transmission in China’s electricity market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 775-793.
    15. Dai, Bin & Wang, Honglei & Li, Bin & Li, Chengjiang & Tan, Zhukui, 2024. "Capacity model and optimal scheduling strategy of multi-microgrid based on shared energy storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    16. Fang, Debin & Zhao, Chaoyang & Kleit, Andrew N., 2019. "The impact of the under enforcement of RPS in China: An evolutionary approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    17. Zhu, Chaoping & Fan, Ruguo & Lin, Jinchai, 2020. "The impact of renewable portfolio standard on retail electricity market: A system dynamics model of tripartite evolutionary game," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    18. Pingkuo, Liu & Huan, Peng & Zhiwei, Wang, 2020. "Orderly-synergistic development of power generation industry: A China’s case study based on evolutionary game model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    19. Hui, Wang & Xin-gang, Zhao & Ling-zhi, Ren & Fan, Lu, 2021. "An agent-based modeling approach for analyzing the influence of market participants’ strategic behavior on green certificate trading," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    20. Li, Chengjiang & Jia, Tingwen & Wang, Honglei & Wang, Xiaolin & Negnevitsky, Michael & Hu, Yu-jie & Zhao, Gang & Wang, Liang, 2023. "Assessing the prospect of deploying green methanol vehicles in China from energy, environmental and economic perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    21. Xin-gang, Zhao & Ling-zhi, Ren & Yu-zhuo, Zhang & Guan, Wan, 2018. "Evolutionary game analysis on the behavior strategies of power producers in renewable portfolio standard," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 505-516.
    22. Feng, Tian-tian & Yang, Yi-sheng & Yang, Yu-heng, 2018. "What will happen to the power supply structure and CO2 emissions reduction when TGC meets CET in the electricity market in China?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 121-132.
    23. Li, Wanying & Dong, Fugui & Ji, Zhengsen & Xia, Meijuan, 2023. "Analysis of the compound differential evolution game of new energy manufacturers’ two-stage market behavior under the weight of consumption responsibility," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    24. Teng, Minmin & Lv, Kunfeng & Han, Chuanfeng & Liu, Pihui, 2023. "Trading behavior strategy of power plants and the grid under renewable portfolio standards in China: A tripartite evolutionary game analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    25. Mondal, Md Alam Hossain & Ringler, Claudia, 2020. "Long-term optimization of regional power sector development: Potential for cooperation in the Eastern Nile region?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    26. Zhang, Yaru & Ma, Tieju & Guo, Fei, 2018. "A multi-regional energy transport and structure model for China’s electricity system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 907-919.
    27. Huang, He & Wang, Honglei & Hu, Yu-Jie & Li, Chengjiang & Wang, Xiaolin, 2022. "Optimal plan for energy conservation and CO2 emissions reduction of public buildings considering users' behavior: Case of China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    28. Wang, Ge & Zhang, Qi & Li, Yan & Mclellan, Benjamin C., 2019. "Efficient and equitable allocation of renewable portfolio standards targets among China's provinces," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 170-180.
    29. Li, Jianglong & Ho, Mun Sing & Xie, Chunping & Stern, Nicholas, 2022. "China's flexibility challenge in achieving carbon neutrality by 2060," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    30. Zeng, Lijun & Wang, Jiafeng & Zhao, Laijun, 2022. "An inter-provincial tradable green certificate futures trading model under renewable portfolio standard policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    31. Xingang Zhao & Yuzhuo Zhang & Ji Liang & Yanbin Li & Rongda Jia & Ling Wang, 2018. "The Sustainable Development of the Economic-Energy-Environment (3E) System under the Carbon Trading (CT) Mechanism: A Chinese Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, January.
    32. Dong, Zhuojia & Yu, Xianyu & Chang, Ching-Ter & Zhou, Dequn & Sang, Xiuzhi, 2022. "How does feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard evolve synergistically? An integrated approach of tripartite evolutionary game and system dynamics," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 864-877.
    33. Yi, Bo-Wen & Xu, Jin-Hua & Fan, Ying, 2019. "Coordination of policy goals between renewable portfolio standards and carbon caps: A quantitative assessment in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 25-35.
    34. Safarzadeh, Soroush & Hafezalkotob, Ashkan & Jafari, Hamed, 2022. "Energy supply chain empowerment through tradable green and white certificates: A pathway to sustainable energy generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    35. Xin-gang, Zhao & Ling, Wu & Ying, Zhou, 2020. "How to achieve incentive regulation under renewable portfolio standards and carbon tax policy? A China's power market perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    36. Yu, Biying & Zhao, Zihao & Zhao, Guangpu & An, Runying & Sun, Feihu & Li, Ru & Peng, Xiaohan, 2021. "Provincial renewable energy dispatch optimization in line with Renewable Portfolio Standard policy in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 236-252.
    37. Song, Xiao-hua & Han, Jing-jing & Zhang, Lu & Zhao, Cai-ping & Wang, Peng & Liu, Xiao-yan & Li, Qiao-chu, 2021. "Impacts of renewable portfolio standards on multi-market coupling trading of renewable energy in China: A scenario-based system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    38. Ceglia, F. & Marrasso, E. & Pallotta, G. & Roselli, C. & Sasso, M., 2023. "Assessing the influence of time-dependent power grid efficiency indicators on primary energy savings and economic incentives for high-efficiency cogeneration," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    39. Zhang, Na & Lior, Noam & Jin, Hongguang, 2011. "The energy situation and its sustainable development strategy in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 3639-3649.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Delu & Li, Chunxiao & Mao, Jinqi & Yang, Qing, 2023. "What affects the implementation of the renewable portfolio standard? An analysis of the four-party evolutionary game," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 250-261.
    2. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhao, Laijun & Chen, Shuai, 2024. "An inter-provincial coordinate model under Renewable Portfolio Standards policy based on tradable green certificate options trading," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Teng, Minmin & Lv, Kunfeng & Han, Chuanfeng & Liu, Pihui, 2023. "Trading behavior strategy of power plants and the grid under renewable portfolio standards in China: A tripartite evolutionary game analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    4. Wu, Jiaqian & Zheng, Xiaolin & Yu, Songmin & Yu, Lean, 2024. "Modeling multi-market coupling effects considering the consumption above quota trading market in renewable portfolio standards: An agent-based perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    5. Zeng, Lijun & Wang, Jiafeng & Zhao, Laijun, 2022. "An inter-provincial tradable green certificate futures trading model under renewable portfolio standard policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    6. Xu, Jie & Lv, Tao & Hou, Xiaoran & Deng, Xu & Liu, Feng, 2021. "Provincial allocation of renewable portfolio standard in China based on efficiency and fairness principles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1233-1245.
    7. Wu, Jiaqian & Chen, Yu & Yu, Lean & Li, Guohao & Li, Jingjing, 2023. "Has the evolution of renewable energy policies facilitated the construction of a new power system for China? A system dynamics analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    8. Amiri-Pebdani, Sima & Alinaghian, Mahdi & Khosroshahi, Hossein, 2023. "A game theoretic approach for time-of-use pricing with considering renewable portfolio standard effects and investment in energy storage technologies under government interventions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    9. Yuanyuan He & Luxin Wan & Manli Zhang & Huijuan Zhao, 2022. "Regional Renewable Energy Installation Optimization Strategies with Renewable Portfolio Standards in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-18, August.
    10. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhang, Wencheng & Zhao, Laijun & Wang, Zhaohua, 2023. "An inter-provincial cooperation model under Renewable Portfolio Standard policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    11. Hu, Yu & Chi, Yuanying & Zhao, Hao & Zhou, Wenbing, 2022. "The development of renewable energy industry under renewable portfolio standards: From the perspective of provincial resource differences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    12. Li, Jialin & Hu, Yu & Chi, Yuanying & Liu, Dunnan & Yang, Shuxia & Gao, Zhiyuan & Chen, Yuetong, 2024. "Analysis on the synergy between markets of electricity, carbon, and tradable green certificates in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    13. Lei, Xu & Xin-gang, Zhao, 2023. "The synergistic effect between Renewable Portfolio Standards and carbon emission trading system: A perspective of China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 1010-1023.
    14. Ying, Zhou & Xin-gang, Zhao & Lei, Xu, 2022. "Supply side incentive under the Renewable Portfolio Standards: A perspective of China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 505-518.
    15. Song, Xiao-hua & Han, Jing-jing & Zhang, Lu & Zhao, Cai-ping & Wang, Peng & Liu, Xiao-yan & Li, Qiao-chu, 2021. "Impacts of renewable portfolio standards on multi-market coupling trading of renewable energy in China: A scenario-based system dynamics model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    16. Wang, Xinru & Long, Ruyin & Chen, Hong & Wang, Yujie & Shi, Yanmin & Yang, Shuhan & Wu, Meifen, 2024. "How to promote the trading in China's green electricity market? Based on environmental perceptions, renewable portfolio standard and subsidies," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    17. Na, Chunning & Wang, Jing & Feng, Bin & Pan, Huan, 2024. "Impact analysis of the four-party evolutionary game in renewable portfolio standard under dynamic parameters," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PB).
    18. Dong, Zhuojia & Yu, Xianyu & Chang, Ching-Ter & Zhou, Dequn & Sang, Xiuzhi, 2022. "How does feed-in tariff and renewable portfolio standard evolve synergistically? An integrated approach of tripartite evolutionary game and system dynamics," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 864-877.
    19. Zhen, Juntao & Zhao, Laijun & Yi, Hongru & Cheng, Youfeng & Wang, Ke & Hu, Haisheng, 2024. "Cross-provincial collaborative transaction that considers both the green electricity and the green certificate markets under a renewable portfolio standard policy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 372(C).
    20. Zeng, Lijun & Du, Wenjing & Zhao, Laijun & Zhan, Yanhong, 2023. "An inter-provincial transfer fee model under renewable portfolio standard policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:311:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224031311. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.