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Developing an online data-driven approach for prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries

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  • Khaleghi, Sahar
  • Hosen, Md Sazzad
  • Karimi, Danial
  • Behi, Hamidreza
  • Beheshti, S. Hamidreza
  • Van Mierlo, Joeri
  • Berecibar, Maitane

Abstract

Lithium-ion batteries have achieved dominance in energy storage systems. Meanwhile, there is a demand for the reliability of lithium-ion batteries. Battery prognostics and health management (PHM) is a discipline that not only provides accurate, early, and online health diagnosis, but also guarantees a robust and precise prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries, independent of the operating conditions. This paper attempts to develop a novel PHM methodology that addresses the points mentioned above. A large dataset including thirty-eight nickel manganese cobalt oxide battery cells is used. The battery cells have been tested under various test conditions to achieve different aging patterns. Afterward, the health indicators that describe the health trajectory of the battery are extracted from partial charging voltage curves. A recurrent neural network called nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous input is developed to estimate battery state of health (SOH) based on the extracted health indicators. The estimated SOH is used as the prognostic feature to develop a remaining useful life of battery (RUL) prediction model based on the similarity-based model. The proposed methods are validated using untrained data. The results indicate that the proposed PHM methodology can estimate the SOH of untrained battery cells with a maximum RMSE of 0.61. The RUL of battery cells with different aging patterns can be predicted with a maximum absolute error of 110 cycles. It can be concluded that the proposed method has the advantages of high precision in the health diagnosis and prognosis of battery cells regardless of their aging patterns, simplicity, and generalization to untrained data. These advantages point out the feasibility of the proposed method for online prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries.

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  • Khaleghi, Sahar & Hosen, Md Sazzad & Karimi, Danial & Behi, Hamidreza & Beheshti, S. Hamidreza & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Berecibar, Maitane, 2022. "Developing an online data-driven approach for prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:308:y:2022:i:c:s0306261921015956
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.118348
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wei, Meng & Ye, Min & Zhang, Chuanwei & Li, Yan & Zhang, Jiale & Wang, Qiao, 2023. "A multi-scale learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on variational mode decomposition and Monte Carlo sampling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
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    5. Md Sazzad Hosen & Poonam Yadav & Joeri Van Mierlo & Maitane Berecibar, 2023. "A Post-Mortem Study Case of a Dynamically Aged Commercial NMC Cell," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-14, January.
    6. Zhou, Yifei & Wang, Shunli & Xie, Yanxing & Shen, Xianfeng & Fernandez, Carlos, 2023. "Remaining useful life prediction and state of health diagnosis for lithium-ion batteries based on improved grey wolf optimization algorithm-deep extreme learning machine algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    7. Wei, Yupeng & Wu, Dazhong, 2023. "Prediction of state of health and remaining useful life of lithium-ion battery using graph convolutional network with dual attention mechanisms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    8. Wang, Fujin & Zhao, Zhibin & Zhai, Zhi & Shang, Zuogang & Yan, Ruqiang & Chen, Xuefeng, 2023. "Explainability-driven model improvement for SOH estimation of lithium-ion battery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    9. Lai, Xin & Yao, Yi & Tang, Xiaopeng & Zheng, Yuejiu & Zhou, Yuanqiang & Sun, Yuedong & Gao, Furong, 2023. "Voltage profile reconstruction and state of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries under dynamic working conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    10. Lin, Yu-Hsiu & Shen, Ting-Yu, 2023. "Novel cell screening and prognosing based on neurocomputing-based multiday-ahead time-series forecasting for predictive maintenance of battery modules in frequency regulation-energy storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 351(C).
    11. Shunli Wang & Pu Ren & Paul Takyi-Aninakwa & Siyu Jin & Carlos Fernandez, 2022. "A Critical Review of Improved Deep Convolutional Neural Network for Multi-Timescale State Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-27, July.
    12. Shi, Mingjie & Xu, Jun & Lin, Chuanping & Mei, Xuesong, 2022. "A fast state-of-health estimation method using single linear feature for lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    13. Dapai Shi & Jingyuan Zhao & Chika Eze & Zhenghong Wang & Junbin Wang & Yubo Lian & Andrew F. Burke, 2023. "Cloud-Based Artificial Intelligence Framework for Battery Management System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-21, May.
    14. Khaleghi, Sahar & Hosen, Md Sazzad & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Berecibar, Maitane, 2024. "Towards machine-learning driven prognostics and health management of Li-ion batteries. A comprehensive review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    15. Haochen Qin & Xuexin Fan & Yaxiang Fan & Ruitian Wang & Qianyi Shang & Dong Zhang, 2023. "A Computationally Efficient Approach for the State-of-Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-23, July.
    16. Danial Karimi & Hamidreza Behi & Joeri Van Mierlo & Maitane Berecibar, 2022. "An Experimental Study on Thermal Performance of Graphite-Based Phase-Change Materials for High-Power Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-13, March.
    17. Bockrath, Steffen & Lorentz, Vincent & Pruckner, Marco, 2023. "State of health estimation of lithium-ion batteries with a temporal convolutional neural network using partial load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 329(C).
    18. Qian, Cheng & Guan, Hongsheng & Xu, Binghui & Xia, Quan & Sun, Bo & Ren, Yi & Wang, Zili, 2024. "A CNN-SAM-LSTM hybrid neural network for multi-state estimation of lithium-ion batteries under dynamical operating conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    19. Dai, Houde & Wang, Jiaxin & Huang, Yiyang & Lai, Yuan & Zhu, Liqi, 2024. "Lightweight state-of-health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on statistical feature optimization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).

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