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Revisionen der deutschen Industrieproduktion und die ifo Indikatoren

Author

Listed:
  • Pascal Bührig
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

Abstract

Offizielle Statistiken für wirtschaftliche Kennzahlen werden oft mit einer Verzögerung in Deutschland veröffentlicht. So liegen die ersten Zahlen für die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland etwa sechs Wochen nach dem abgelaufenen Monat vor. Zudem werden sie regelmäßig revidiert. Dies liegt unter anderem daran, dass nicht alle Unternehmen rechtzeitig ihre Meldungen abgeben und das Statistische Bundesamt Schätzungen vornehmen muss. Der vorliegende Artikel beschäftigt sich mit den Revisionen bei der deutschen Industrieproduktion. Es wird gezeigt, inwieweit sich die Revisionen durchschnittlich entwickeln. Darüber hinaus wird untersucht, ob und wie gut die ifo Indikatoren für die Industrie in der Lage sind, die Revisionen zu erklären.

Suggested Citation

  • Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Revisionen der deutschen Industrieproduktion und die ifo Indikatoren," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(21), pages 27-31, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:68:y:2015:i:21:p:27-31
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1062-1064, October.
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    7. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Neuwirth, Stefan, 2012. "The impact of seasonal and price adjustments on the predictability of German GDP revisions," Kiel Working Papers 1753, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    8. Thomas A. Knetsch & Hans‐Eggert Reimers, 2009. "Dealing with Benchmark Revisions in Real‐Time Data: The Case of German Production and Orders Statistics," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(2), pages 209-235, April.
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    10. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
    2. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
    3. Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Vorhersage der Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen mit Hilfe der ifo Lagerbeurteilung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(07), pages 26-32, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Industrieproduktion; Statistische Daten; Wirtschaftsindikator; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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