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Vorhersage der Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen mit Hilfe der ifo Lagerbeurteilung

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  • Timo Wollmershäuser

Abstract

In dem Beitrag werden die Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen genauer untersucht. Die häufigen und zum Teil beträchtlichen Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen lassen eine gewisse Systematik erkennen, die unter anderem durch die ifo Lagerbeurteilung vorhergesagt werden kann.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Vorhersage der Revisionen der Vorratsveränderungen mit Hilfe der ifo Lagerbeurteilung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(07), pages 26-32, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:69:y:2016:i:07:p:26-32
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/sd-2016-07-wollmershaeuser-vorratsveraenderungen-2016-04-13.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser (ed.), 2005. "Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis," Contributions to Economics, Springer, number 978-3-7908-1605-1, December.
    2. Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Neuwirth, Stefan, 2012. "The impact of seasonal and price adjustments on the predictability of German GDP revisions," Kiel Working Papers 1753, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Vorjahrespreisbasis: Rechenregeln für die Aggregation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(22), pages 12-16, November.
    4. Faust, Jon & Rogers, John H & Wright, Jonathan H, 2005. "News and Noise in G-7 GDP Announcements," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 403-419, June.
    5. Jan Jacobs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2005. "Do Ifo Indicators Help Explain Revisions in German Industrial Production?," Contributions to Economics, in: Jan-Egbert Sturm & Timo Wollmershäuser (ed.), Ifo Survey Data in Business Cycle and Monetary Policy Analysis, pages 93-114, Springer.
    6. Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Revisionen der deutschen Industrieproduktion und die ifo Indikatoren," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(21), pages 27-31, November.
    7. Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2015. "Vorratsinvestitionen im Spiegel der Statistik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(15), pages 33-37, August.
    8. N. Gregory Mankiw & Matthew D. Shapiro, 1986. "News or Noise? An Analysis of GNP Revisions," NBER Working Papers 1939, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lagerinvestition; Lagermanagement; Handel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L81 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Retail and Wholesale Trade; e-Commerce

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