Content
2024, Issue 16
- 3-4 Foreward - Of Fiscal Straitjackets and Flexibility
by Jagjit Chadha - 5-6 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Summer 2024
by Niesr - 7-54 The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Arnab Bhattacharjee & Benjamin Caswell & Fergus Jimenez-England & Hailey Low & Monica George Michail & Stephen Millard & Max Mosley - 15-24 Box A: Measures of Labour Market Slack
by Fergus Jimenez-England - 33-36 Box B: Pensions, Savings and Investment
by Andrew Smithers - 43-88 Regional Regeneration and the Outlook for the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Arnab Bhattacharjee & Eliza da Silva Gomes & Adrian Pabst & Robyn Smith & Tibor Szendrei - 47-53 Box C: The Materiality of Nature-Related Financial Risks to the UK
by Jimena Alvarez - 89-97 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2024, Issue 15
- 3-4 Foreward - The Public Investment Aspiration
by Jagjit Chadha - 5-6 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Summer 2024
by Niesr - 7-22 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Summer 2024 – The Economic Inheritance for the New Government
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Arnab Bhattacharjee & Benjamin Caswell & Hailey Low & Monica George Michail & Stephen Millard & Max Mosley & Adrian Pabst & Robyn Smith & Tibor Szendrei - 11-17 Box A: Public Financing and Investment
by Francisco Sebastian - 23-42 The Macroeconomic Outlook
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Benjamin Caswell & Hailey Low & Monica George Michail & Stephen Millard & Max Mosley - 39-42 Box B: Should the Bank of England Adopt Unremunerated Reserve Requirements?
by Tim Young - 43-72 Regional Regeneration and the Outlook for the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Arnab Bhattacharjee & Eliza da Silva Gomes & Adrian Pabst & Robyn Smith & Tibor Szendrei - 73-81 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2024, Issue 14
- 3-4 Foreward
by Pabst, Adrian - 5-47 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Spring 2024 – Summary
by Niesr - 7-47 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Ben Caswell & Stephen Millard & Monica George Michail & Max Mosley - 8-11 Box A: A Neural Network Approach to Forecasting Inflation
by Jane Binner & Huw Dixon & Barry Jones & Jon Tepper - 35-47 Box B: Examining Rising Inactivity and NHS Waiting Times
by Max Mosley - 48-75 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Robyn Smith & Szendrei, Tibor - 76-84 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2024, Issue 13
- 3-4 Foreward
by Pabst, Adrian - 5-50 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Winter 2024 – Summary
by Niesr - 7-50 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Ben Caswell & Stephen Millard & Dixon, Huw & Mosley, Max - 29-33 Box A: Implications of the transition from Defined Benefit to Defined Contribution pensions in the UK
by Francisco Sebastian - 36-41 Box B: Job boom or job bust? The effect of the pandemic on actual and measured job and employment growth
by Bill Wells - 51-87 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Caswell, Ben & Robyn Smith & Szendrei, Tibor - 79-83 Box C: The state of local government finances
by Jack Shaw - 88-96 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2023, Issue 12
- 3-4 Foreward
by Pabst, Adrian - 5-40 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Autumn 2023
by Niesr - 7-40 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Leaza McSorley & Stephen Millard & Dixon, Huw & Mosley, Max - 16-22 Box A: Public Confidence in the Bank of England
by Ana Carolina Garriga - 41-76 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Robyn Smith & Szendrei, Tibor - 66-73 Box B: Productivity Paradox: Challenges and Opportunities
by Adam Yousef - 77-85 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2023, Issue 11
- 3-4 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 5-44 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Summer 2023
by Niesr - 7-44 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Leaza McSorley & Stephen Millard & Whyte, Kemar - 12-19 Box A: Underlying Inflation in the United Kingdom
by Paul Mortimer-Lee & Paula Bejarano Carbo - 45-82 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Robyn Smith & Szendrei, Tibor - 53-59 Spotlight 1: The Impact of Rising Interest Rates on Housing Costs
by Max Mosley & Rosen Chowdhury - 73-76 Box B: The Windsor Framework: What it is and what it might do
by Katy Hayward & John McStravick - 83-91 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2023, Issue 10
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 5-39 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Leaza McSorley & Stephen Millard & Patel, Urvish & Whyte, Kemar - 5-43 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Spring 2023
by Niesr - 9-13 Box A: Is the public sector too large?
by Paul Mortimer-Lee - 19-21 Box B: Economics and population change
by Norma Cohen - 25-29 Box C: Finance, business investment and productivity
by Issam Samiri - 38-41 Box D: Public-sector wages: A view from economic theory
by Pedro Gomes - 44-64 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 65-73 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2023, Issue 9
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 1-61 Appendix A
by Niesr - 4-5 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Winter 2023
by Niesr - 6-39 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Leaza McSorley & Stephen Millard & Patel, Urvish & Whyte, Kemar - 13-16 Box A: Monetary policy and inflation in the second Elizabethan age
by Hailey Low & Paul Mortimer-Lee - 26-30 Box B: UK manufacturing post Brexit and Covid-19
by Paul Mortimer-Lee - 33-36 Box C: Are the Pay Review Bodies fit for purpose in 2023?
by Peter Dolton - 39-60 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 62-70 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2022, Issue 8
- 1-3 Foreward: Othordoxy Lost and Found
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 4-5 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Autumn 2022
by Niesr - 6-48 UK Economic Outlook: The Macroeconomic Outlook for the United Kingdom
by Paula Bejarano Carbo & Hailey Low & Leaza McSorley & Stephen Millard & Patel, Urvish & Whyte, Kemar - 10-12 Box A: Quantitative easing, government debt management and debt interest
by William A. Allen - 14-16 Box B: Inflation and public finances
by Huw Dixon & Hailey Low & Urvish Patel - 23-29 Box C: Increasing mortgage rates, a cost-of-living crisis and stamp duty cut: What's next for the UK housing market?
by Urvish Patel - 37-44 Box D: Exchange rate changes and the economy
by Paul Mortimer-Lee - 49-69 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 70-72 Box E: Projecting the Impact of Peak Interest Rates on Variable Rate Mortgages
by Max Mosley - 73-75 Box F: The Northern Ireland Protocol – Lost Opportunities for Northern Ireland?
by Arnab Bhattacharjee & Adrian Pabst & Tibor Szendrei - 76-84 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2022, Issue 7
- 3-4 Foreward: A Risky Present
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 4-5 National Institute UK Economic Outlook Summer 2022
by Niesr - 6-30 UK Economic Outlook
by Macqueen, Rory & Stephen Millard & Patel, Urvish & Whyte, Kemar - 15-18 Box A: Full employment and the 'office of hope'
by Wells, Bill - 23-24 Box B: A serious monetary policy failure – how policy-makers let the inflation cat out of the bag
by Sentance, Andrew - 31-60 Outlook for UK Households, the Devolved Nations and the English Regions
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 34-36 Box C: Households savings amid the cost-of-living crisis
by Mosley, Max - 44-49 Box D: Northern Ireland's productivity problem
by Jordan, David - 57-60 Box E: No quick respite from the cost-of-living crisis
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max - 61-69 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2022, Issue 6
- 1-1 Foreward: Sailing in Treacherous Seas
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 4-5 National Institute UK Economic Outlook
by Niesr - 6-36 UK Economic Outlook
by Macqueen, Rory & Stephen Millard & Patel, Urvish & Whyte, Kemar - 7-8 Box A: The economic consequences of the Ukraine War for UK household incomes
by Patel, Urvish - 21-24 Box B: How likely are we to see a major recession in 2022?
by Dixon, Peter - 30-36 Box C: Deindustrialisation in the UK
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul & Xuxin Mao - 37-55 Outlook for the devolved nations, English regions, and UK households
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 56-57 Box D: Measuring the effect of the cost-of-living crisis on low-income households
by Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 58-66 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2022, Issue 5
- 1-3 Foreward: bridge to normality
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 1-4 Overview
by Niesr - 5-28 Covid-19 leaves inflation in its wake
by Lenoel, Cyrille & Macqueen, Rory & Mortimer-Lee, Paul & Patel, Urvish & Whyte, Kemar - 7-10 Box A: Improved trade balance with the European Union raises challenging Brexit questions
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul - 14-16 Box B: A Targeted Furlough Scheme to help the economy in downturns
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul & Gortz, Christoph & McGowan, Danny - 24-26 Box C: Gas prices and price controls
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul & Patel, Urvish - 29-40 UK Regional Outlook: Autumn 2021
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Mosley, Max & Szendrei, Tibor - 41-44 Box D: National Institute Regional Modelling System (NiReMS): Methodology and Updates
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Szendrei, Tibor - 45-53 Forecast tables
by Niesr
2021, Issue 4
- 1-3 Foreward: Rip it up and Start Again
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 4-5 Overview
by Niesr - 6-32 Shortages and fiscal tightening threaten economic recovery from Covid-19
by Lenoel, Cyrille & Macqueen, Rory & Mortimer-Lee, Paul - 11-12 Box A: The European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism: levelling the EU carbon playing field
by Dumitru, Alexandra - 14-15 Box B: Furlough and household financial distress during the Covid-19 pandemic - insights for future lockdowns
by Gortz, Christoph & McGowan, Danny & Yeromonahos, Mallory - 17-18 Box C: Wage pressures: a perspective from online job advertisements
by Kennedy, Jack - 29-31 Box D: The new employment tax
by Mortimer-Lee, Paul - 33-40 UK Regional Outlook: Autumn 2021
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Pabst, Adrian & Szendrei, Tibor & Aitken, Andrew & Marioni, Larissa & Aznar, Ana Rincon & Tong, Manuel - 41-44 Box E: Distributional impacts of Covid-19 and potential for policy intervention
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Szendrei, Tibor - 45-53 Appendix
by NIESR & Appendix
2021, Issue 3
- 3-4 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 5-36 Overview
by Niesr - 37-50 UK Regional Outlook
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Lisauskaite, Elena & Pabst, Adrian & Tzendrei, Tibor - 51-59 Appendix
by Niesr
2021, Issue 2
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 1-4 Overview
by Niesr - 5-32 Brisk but not better growth
by Kucuk, Hande & Lenoel, Cyrille & MacQueen, Rory - 33-41 UK sectoral output
by Kucuk, Hande & Lenoel, Cyrille & MacQueen, Rory - 42-57 UK regional outlook
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Lisauskaite, Elena & Pabst, Adrian - 58-66 Appendix
by Niesr
2021, Issue 1
- 1-3 Foreward
by Chadha, Jagjit S. - 1-4 Overview
by Niesr - 5-20 Brexit Britain in Covid recovery ward
by Kucuk, Hande & Lenoel, Cyrille & MacQueen, Rory - 21-23 UK sectoral output
by Cyrille Lenoel & Young, Garry - 24-33 UK regional outlook
by Bhattacharjee, Arnab & Lisauskaite, Elena - 34-42 Appendix
by Niesr