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Local martingales, bubbles and option prices

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Angelos Dassios & Luting Li, 2018. "An Economic Bubble Model and Its First Passage Time," Papers 1803.08160, arXiv.org.
  2. Andrew Papanicolaou, 2021. "Extreme-Strike Comparisons and Structural Bounds for SPX and VIX Options," Papers 2101.00299, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
  3. Erhan Bayraktar & Constantinos Kardaras & Hao Xing, 2010. "Valuation equations for stochastic volatility models," Papers 1004.3299, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2011.
  4. Robert A. Jarrow, 2015. "Asset Price Bubbles," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 201-218, December.
  5. Robert Jarrow & Philip Protter & Sergio Pulido, 2015. "The Effect Of Trading Futures On Short Sale Constraints," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 311-338, April.
  6. Kardaras, Constantinos & Kreher, Dörte & Nikeghbali, Ashkan, 2015. "Strict local martingales and bubbles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64967, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  7. Shane Miller, 2007. "Pricing of Contingent Claims Under the Real-World Measure," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2007, January-A.
  8. Fisher, Travis & Pulido, Sergio & Ruf, Johannes, 2019. "Financial models with defaultable numéraires," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84973, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  9. David Criens, 2018. "Deterministic Criteria For The Absence And Existence Of Arbitrage In Multi-Dimensional Diffusion Markets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(01), pages 1-41, February.
  10. Pal, Soumik & Protter, Philip, 2010. "Analysis of continuous strict local martingales via h-transforms," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(8), pages 1424-1443, August.
  11. Philip Stahl & Jérôme Blauth, 2024. "Martingale defects in the volatility surface and bubble conditions in the underlying," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 85-111, April.
  12. Travis Fisher & Sergio Pulido & Johannes Ruf, 2015. "Financial Models with Defaultable Num\'eraires," Papers 1511.04314, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2017.
  13. Alexander M. G. Cox & Jiajie Wang, 2013. "Optimal robust bounds for variance options," Papers 1308.4363, arXiv.org.
  14. Monique Jeanblanc & Frédéric Vrins, 2018. "Conic martingales from stochastic integrals," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 516-535, April.
  15. Francesca Biagini & Andrea Mazzon & Thilo Meyer-Brandis & Katharina Oberpriller, 2022. "Liquidity based modeling of asset price bubbles via random matching," Papers 2210.13804, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  16. Peter Carr & Travis Fisher & Johannes Ruf, 2014. "On the hedging of options on exploding exchange rates," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 115-144, January.
  17. Keller-Ressel, Martin, 2015. "Simple examples of pure-jump strict local martingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(11), pages 4142-4153.
  18. Vrins, F. & Jeanblanc, M., 2015. "The [phi]-Martingale," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2015022, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  19. Wang, Ximei & Zhao, Yanlong & Bao, Ying, 2019. "Arbitrage-free conditions for implied volatility surface by Delta," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 819-834.
  20. Hardy Hulley & Johannes Ruf, 2019. "Weak Tail Conditions for Local Martingales," Published Paper Series 2019-2, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
  21. Paolo Guasoni & Miklós Rásonyi, 2015. "Fragility of arbitrage and bubbles in local martingale diffusion models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 215-231, April.
  22. Rodosthenous, Neofytos & Zervos, Mihail, 2017. "Watermark options," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67859, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  23. Çetin, Umut & Larsen, Kasper, 2023. "Uniqueness in cauchy problems for diffusive real-valued strict local martingales," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118743, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  24. Wong, Bernard, 2009. "Explicit construction of stochastic exponentials with arbitrary expectation k[set membership, variant](0,1)," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(7), pages 880-883, April.
  25. Wang, Xingchun, 2021. "Pricing volatility-equity options under the modified constant elasticity of variance model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  26. Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok, 2021. "Inferring financial bubbles from option data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 1013-1046, November.
  27. Jacka, Saul D. & Ocejo, Adriana, 2018. "On the regularity of American options with regime-switching uncertainty," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(3), pages 803-818.
  28. Winslow Strong & Jean-Pierre Fouque, 2011. "Diversity and arbitrage in a regulatory breakup model," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 349-374, August.
  29. Fengler, Matthias & Hin, Lin-Yee, 2011. "Semi-nonparametric estimation of the call price surface under strike and time-to-expiry no-arbitrage constraints," Economics Working Paper Series 1136, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, revised May 2013.
  30. David Criens & Kathrin Glau & Zorana Grbac, 2015. "Martingale property of exponential semimartingales: a note on explicit conditions and applications to financial models," Papers 1506.08127, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2016.
  31. Christian Bayer & Jinniao Qiu & Yao Yao, 2020. "Pricing Options Under Rough Volatility with Backward SPDEs," Papers 2008.01241, arXiv.org.
  32. Aleksandar Mijatović, 2010. "Local time and the pricing of time-dependent barrier options," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 13-48, January.
  33. Johannes Ruf, 2010. "Hedging under arbitrage," Papers 1003.4797, arXiv.org, revised May 2011.
  34. Petteri Piiroinen & Lassi Roininen & Martin Simon, 2019. "Brexit Risk Implied by the SABR Martingale Defect in the EUR-GBP Smile," Papers 1912.05773, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
  35. Cetin, Umut, 2018. "Diffusion transformations, Black-Scholes equation and optimal stopping," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87261, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  36. Gianluca Cassese, 2017. "Asset pricing in an imperfect world," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(3), pages 539-570, October.
  37. Antoine Jacquier & Martin Keller-Ressel, 2015. "Implied volatility in strict local martingale models," Papers 1508.04351, arXiv.org.
  38. Leif Andersen & Vladimir Piterbarg, 2007. "Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 29-50, January.
  39. Martin HERDEGEN & Sebastian HERRMANN, 2014. "A Class of Strict Local Martingales," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 14-18, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Oct 2014.
  40. Hugonnier, Julien & Prieto, Rodolfo, 2015. "Asset pricing with arbitrage activity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 411-428.
  41. Michael R. Tehranchi, 2020. "A Black–Scholes inequality: applications and generalisations," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1-38, January.
  42. Xiaoshan Chen & Yu-Jui Huang & Qingshuo Song & Chao Zhu, 2013. "The Stochastic Solution to a Cauchy Problem for Degenerate Parabolic Equations," Papers 1309.0046, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2017.
  43. Gerald Cheang & Carl Chiarella & Andrew Ziogas, 2009. "An Analysis of American Options Under Heston Stochastic Volatility and Jump-Diffusion Dynamics," Research Paper Series 256, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  44. Protter, Philip, 2015. "Strict local martingales with jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(4), pages 1352-1367.
  45. Shane Miller, 2007. "Pricing of Contingent Claims Under the Real-World Measure," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 25, July-Dece.
  46. Fergusson, Kevin, 2020. "Less-Expensive Valuation And Reserving Of Long-Dated Variable Annuities When Interest Rates And Mortality Rates Are Stochastic," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(2), pages 381-417, May.
  47. Baldeaux, Jan & Ignatieva, Katja & Platen, Eckhard, 2018. "Detecting money market bubbles," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 369-379.
  48. Robert A. Jarrow & Simon S. Kwok, 2023. "An explosion time characterization of asset price bubbles," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 469-479, June.
  49. Martin HERDEGEN & Martin SCHWEIZER, 2015. "Economics-Based Financial Bubbles (and Why They Imply Strict Local Martingales)," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-05, Swiss Finance Institute.
  50. Johannes Ruf, 2013. "Negative call prices," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 787-794, November.
  51. Sergio Pulido, 2010. "The fundamental theorem of asset pricing, the hedging problem and maximal claims in financial markets with short sales prohibitions," Papers 1012.3102, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2014.
  52. Francesca Biagini & Jacopo Mancin, 2016. "Robust Financial Bubbles," Papers 1602.05471, arXiv.org.
  53. Michael Schatz & Didier Sornette, 2017. "Uniform Integrability of a Single Jump Local Martingale with State-Dependent Characteristics," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-21, Swiss Finance Institute.
  54. A. Fiori Maccioni, 2011. "The risk neutral valuation paradox," Working Paper CRENoS 201112, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  55. Erhan Bayraktar & Constantinos Kardaras & Hao Xing, 2012. "Strict local martingale deflators and valuing American call-type options," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 275-291, April.
  56. Robert Jarrow & Philip Protter, 2011. "Foreign currency bubbles," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 67-83, April.
  57. Herdegen, Martin & Herrmann, Sebastian, 2016. "Single jump processes and strict local martingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(2), pages 337-359.
  58. Tigran Atoyan, 2018. "Model-free trading and hedging with continuous price paths," Papers 1809.00149, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
  59. Philip Protter, 2013. "Strict Local Martingales with Jumps," Papers 1307.2436, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2014.
  60. Alexander M. G. Cox & Zhaoxu Hou & Jan Obloj, 2014. "Robust pricing and hedging under trading restrictions and the emergence of local martingale models," Papers 1406.0551, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2015.
  61. Travis Fisher & Sergio Pulido & Johannes Ruf, 2019. "Financial Models with Defaultable Numéraires," Post-Print hal-01240736, HAL.
  62. Markus Hertrich & Daniel Nathan, 2022. "Foreign Exchange Interventions and their Impact on Expectations: Evidence from the USD/ILS Options Market," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2022.10, Bank of Israel.
  63. Constantinos Kardaras, 2012. "Valuation and parities for exchange options," Papers 1206.3220, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
  64. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2018. "A risk-neutral equilibrium leading to uncertain volatility pricing," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 281-295, April.
  65. Christoph Belak & Sören Christensen & Olaf Menkens, 2016. "Worst-Case Portfolio Optimization In A Market With Bubbles," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(02), pages 1-36, March.
  66. David Criens, 2016. "Deterministic Criteria for the Absence and Existence of Arbitrage in Multi-Dimensional Diffusion Markets," Papers 1609.01621, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2017.
  67. repec:uts:finphd:40 is not listed on IDEAS
  68. Shane Miller & Eckhard Platen, 2010. "Real-World Pricing for a Modified Constant Elasticity of Variance Model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 147-175.
  69. Ke Du & Eckhard Platen, 2011. "Three-Benchmarked Risk Minimization for Jump Diffusion Markets," Research Paper Series 296, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  70. Petteri Piiroinen & Lassi Roininen & Tobias Schoden & Martin Simon, 2018. "Asset Price Bubbles: An Option-based Indicator," Papers 1805.07403, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
  71. Jim Gatheral & Antoine Jacquier, 2014. "Arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 59-71, January.
  72. Francesca Biagini & Lukas Gonon & Andrea Mazzon & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2022. "Detecting asset price bubbles using deep learning," Papers 2210.01726, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
  73. Yukihiro Tsuzuki, 2024. "Boundary conditions at infinity for Black-Scholes equations," Papers 2401.05549, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
  74. Martin Herdegen & Dorte Kreher, 2021. "Bubbles in discrete time models," Papers 2104.12740, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
  75. Eckhard Platen & Hardy Hulley, 2008. "Hedging for the Long Run," Research Paper Series 214, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
  76. Hardy Hulley, 2009. "Strict Local Martingales in Continuous Financial Market Models," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 19, July-Dece.
  77. Damir Filipović & Sander Willems, 2020. "A term structure model for dividends and interest rates," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1461-1496, October.
  78. Francesca Biagini & Thomas Reitsam, 2019. "Asset Price Bubbles in market models with proportional transaction costs," Papers 1911.10149, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  79. Martin Herdegen & Martin Schweizer, 2016. "Strong Bubbles And Strict Local Martingales," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(04), pages 1-44, June.
  80. Jarrow, Robert & Protter, Philip, 2012. "Discrete versus continuous time models: Local martingales and singular processes in asset pricing theory," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 58-62.
  81. Kardaras, Constantinos, 2015. "Valuation and parities for exchange options," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65535, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  82. Martin Herdegen & Dörte Kreher, 2022. "Bubbles in discrete-time models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 26(4), pages 899-925, October.
  83. Michael R. Tehranchi, 2017. "A Black--Scholes inequality: applications and generalisation," Papers 1701.03897, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
  84. David Heath & Eckhard Platen, 2006. "Local volatility function models under a benchmark approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 197-206.
  85. Li, Xue-Mei, 2017. "Strict local martingales: Examples," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 65-68.
  86. Erhan Bayraktar & Constantinos Kardaras & Hao Xing, 2009. "Strict Local Martingale Deflators and Pricing American Call-Type Options," Papers 0908.1082, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2009.
  87. Umut Cetin & Kasper Larsen, 2020. "Uniqueness in Cauchy problems for diffusive real-valued strict local martingales," Papers 2007.15041, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  88. Alexander Badran & Beniamin Goldys, 2015. "A Market Model for VIX Futures," Papers 1504.00428, arXiv.org.
  89. Travis Fisher & Sergio Pulido & Johannes Ruf, 2017. "Financial Models with Defaultable Numéraires," Working Papers hal-01240736, HAL.
  90. Thorsten Rheinländer & Jenny Sexton, 2011. "Hedging Derivatives," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8062, August.
  91. Martin Herdegen & Sebastian Herrmann, 2017. "Strict Local Martingales and Optimal Investment in a Black-Scholes Model with a Bubble," Papers 1711.06679, arXiv.org.
  92. Francesca Biagini & Andrea Mazzon & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2016. "Liquidity induced asset bubbles via flows of ELMMs," Papers 1611.01440, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
  93. Alessandro Fiori Maccioni, 2011. "Endogenous Bubbles in Derivatives Markets: The Risk Neutral Valuation Paradox," Papers 1106.5274, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2011.
  94. Martin HERDEGEN & Martin SCHWEIZER, 2016. "Economically Consistent Valuations and Put-Call Parity," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-02, Swiss Finance Institute.
  95. Francesca Biagini & Hans Föllmer & Sorin Nedelcu, 2014. "Shifting martingale measures and the birth of a bubble as a submartingale," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 297-326, April.
  96. Gerald H. L. Cheang & Carl Chiarella & Andrew Ziogas, 2013. "The representation of American options prices under stochastic volatility and jump-diffusion dynamics," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 241-253, January.
  97. Soumik Pal & Philip Protter, 2007. "Analysis of continuous strict local martingales via h-transforms," Papers 0711.1136, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
  98. Johannes Ruf, 2012. "Negative Call Prices," Papers 1204.1903, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2013.
  99. Aditi Dandapani & Philip Protter, 2019. "Strict Local Martingales Via Filtration Enlargement," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(01), pages 1-28, December.
  100. Martin Herdegen & David Hobson & Joseph Jerome, 2023. "The infinite-horizon investment–consumption problem for Epstein–Zin stochastic differential utility. I: Foundations," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 127-158, January.
  101. Martin Keller-Ressel, 2014. "Simple examples of pure-jump strict local martingales," Papers 1405.2669, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2015.
  102. Osband, Kent & Filoso, Valerio & Capasso, Salvatore, 2024. "The limits of limitless debt," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  103. Neofytos Rodosthenous & Mihail Zervos, 2017. "Watermark options," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 157-186, January.
  104. Francesca Biagini & Andrea Mazzon & Ari-Pekka Perkkio, 2020. "Optional projection under equivalent local martingale measures," Papers 2003.09940, arXiv.org.
  105. Michael R. Tehranchi, 2014. "Arbitrage theory without a num\'eraire," Papers 1410.2976, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
  106. José Carlos Dias & João Pedro Vidal Nunes & Aricson Cruz, 2020. "A note on options and bubbles under the CEV model: implications for pricing and hedging," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 249-272, October.
  107. Peter Carr & Roger Lee, 2010. "Hedging variance options on continuous semimartingales," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 179-207, April.
  108. Martin Herdegen & Martin Schweizer, 2018. "Semi‐efficient valuations and put‐call parity," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(4), pages 1061-1106, October.
  109. Hardy Hulley, 2009. "Strict Local Martingales in Continuous Financial Market Models," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2009, January-A.
  110. Alexander Vervuurt, 2015. "Topics in Stochastic Portfolio Theory," Papers 1504.02988, arXiv.org.
  111. Leif Andersen, 2011. "Option pricing with quadratic volatility: a revisit," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 191-219, June.
  112. Li, Minqiang, 2010. "A damped diffusion framework for financial modeling and closed-form maximum likelihood estimation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 132-157, February.
  113. Aleksandar Mijatovic & Mikhail Urusov, 2009. "On the Martingale Property of Certain Local Martingales," Papers 0905.3701, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2010.
  114. Travis Fisher & Sergio Pulido & Johannes Ruf, 2019. "Financial models with defaultable numéraires," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 117-136, January.
  115. Belak, Christoph & Christensen, Sören & Menkens, Olaf, 2014. "Worst-case optimal investment with a random number of crashes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 140-148.
  116. David Criens & Kathrin Glau & Zorana Grbac, 2017. "Martingale property of exponential semimartingales: a note on explicit conditions and applications to asset price and Libor models," Post-Print hal-03898993, HAL.
  117. Huy N. Chau & Peter Tankov, 2013. "Market models with optimal arbitrage," Papers 1312.4979, arXiv.org.
  118. Kevin John Fergusson, 2018. "Less-Expensive Pricing and Hedging of Extreme-Maturity Interest Rate Derivatives and Equity Index Options Under the Real-World Measure," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 3-2018, January-A.
  119. Yukihiro Tsuzuki, 2023. "Pitman's Theorem, Black-Scholes Equation, and Derivative Pricing for Fundraisers," Papers 2303.13956, arXiv.org.
  120. Roseline Bilina Falafala & Robert A. Jarrow & Philip Protter, 2016. "Relative asset price bubbles," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 135-160, May.
  121. Irene Klein & Thorsten Schmidt & Josef Teichmann, 2013. "When roll-overs do not qualify as num\'eraire: bond markets beyond short rate paradigms," Papers 1310.0032, arXiv.org.
  122. Eckhard Platen & Stefan Tappe, 2020. "Exploiting arbitrage requires short selling," Papers 2011.12523, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  123. Erik Ekstrom & Per Lotstedt & Lina Von Sydow & Johan Tysk, 2011. "[image omitted] Numerical option pricing in the presence of bubbles," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(8), pages 1125-1128.
  124. Dirk Veestraeten, 2017. "On the multiplicity of option prices under CEV with positive elasticity of variance," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-13, April.
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