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The Myth of Long-Horizon Predictability
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Cited by:
- Dal Bianco, Marcos & Camacho, Maximo & Perez Quiros, Gabriel, 2012.
"Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 377-396.
- Marcos dal Bianco & Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2012. "Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals," Working Papers 1203, Banco de España.
- Maximo Camacho & Marcos Dal Bianco & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 2012. "Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals," Working Papers 1201, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2016.
"Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1312-1332, November.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations," Working Papers 80, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Optimal Portfolio Choice under Decision-Based Model Combinations," Working Papers No 9/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Optimal portfolio choice under decision-based model combinations," Working Paper 2014/15, Norges Bank.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018.
"Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages,"
Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-18, September.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-25, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chang, C-L. & Ilomäki, J. & Laurila, H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018. "Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-39, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
- Møller, Stig V. & Rangvid, Jesper, 2015. "End-of-the-year economic growth and time-varying expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 136-154.
- Scholz, Michael & Nielsen, Jens Perch & Sperlich, Stefan, 2015. "Nonparametric prediction of stock returns based on yearly data: The long-term view," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 143-155.
- Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "Forking paths in financial economics," Papers 2401.08606, arXiv.org.
- Kostakis, Alexandros & Magdalinos, Tassos & Stamatogiannis, Michalis P., 2023. "Taking stock of long-horizon predictability tests: Are factor returns predictable?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Tomek Katzur & Laura Spierdijk, 2013. "Stock returns and inflation risk: economic versus statistical evidence," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(13), pages 1123-1136, July.
- Yiwen (Paul) Dou & David R. Gallagher & David Schneider & Terry S. Walter, 2012. "Out-of-sample stock return predictability in Australia," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 37(3), pages 461-479, December.
- Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Modise, Mampho P. & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014.
"Can economic uncertainty, financial stress and consumer sentiments predict U.S. equity premium?,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-378.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 2013-20, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 201351, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Senti-ments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 2014-436, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- David Haab & Thomas Nitschka, 2017. "Predicting returns on asset markets of a small, open economy and the influence of global risks," Working Papers 2017-14, Swiss National Bank.
- Meng-Chen Hsieh & Clifford Hurvich & Philippe Soulier, 2022. "Long-Horizon Return Predictability from Realized Volatility in Pure-Jump Point Processes," Papers 2202.00793, arXiv.org.
- Xyngis, Georgios, 2017. "Business-cycle variation in macroeconomic uncertainty and the cross-section of expected returns: Evidence for scale-dependent risks," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 43-65.
- Chen, Yong & Da, Zhi & Huang, Dayong, 2022. "Short selling efficiency," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 387-408.
- Maynard, Alex & Ren, Dongmeng, 2019. "The finite sample power of long-horizon predictive tests in models with financial bubbles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 418-430.
- Theologos Dergiades & Panos K. Pouliasis, 2023.
"Should stock returns predictability be ‘hooked on’ long‐horizon regressions?,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 718-732, January.
- Theologos Dergiades & Panos K. Pouliasis, 2021. "Should Stock Returns Predictability be hooked on Long Horizon Regressions?," Discussion Paper Series 2021_03, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Feb 2021.
- Engel, Charles & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2023.
"Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Charles Engel & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2021. "Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century," NBER Working Papers 28447, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Engel, Charles & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2021. "Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century," CEPR Discussion Papers 15915, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Ines Fortin & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2018.
"Exchange rate forecasting and the performance of currency portfolios,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 519-540, August.
- Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Fortin, Ines & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2017. "Exchange rate forecasting and the performance of currency portfolios," Economics Series 326, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Tim Bollerslev & George Tauchen & Hao Zhou, 2009.
"Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(11), pages 4463-4492, November.
- Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2006. "Expected stock returns and variance risk premia," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Tim Bollerslev & Hao Zhou, 2007. "Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2007-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tim Bollerslev & Tzuo Hao & George Tauchen, 2008. "Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2008-48, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2011. "Market Variance Risk Premiums in Japan as Predictor Variables and Indicators of Risk Aversion," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd11-214, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.
- Noman, Abdullah & Naka, Atsuyuki & Zirek, Duygu, 2017. "Examining return predictability of industry style portfolios with prior return relative to a benchmark," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 193-203.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Gozluklu, Arie E. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2011.
"Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio, and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 46(5), pages 1493-1520, October.
- Carlo A. Favero & Arie E. Gozluklu & Andrea Tamoni, 2010. "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," Working Papers 360, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Gozluklu, Arie & Tamoni, Andrea, 2010. "Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 7734, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rytchkov, Oleg, 2010. "Expected returns on value, growth, and HML," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 552-565, September.
- Scott Cederburg & Travis L Johnson & Michael S O’Doherty, 2023. "On the Economic Significance of Stock Return Predictability," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 619-657.
- Han, Xing & Li, Youwei, 2017.
"Can investor sentiment be a momentum time-series predictor? Evidence from China,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 212-239.
- Han, Xing & Li, Youwei, 2016. "Can Investor Sentiment Be a Momentum Time-Series Predictor? Evidence from China," RIEI Working Papers 2016-07, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Research Institute for Economic Integration, revised 12 Jan 2017.
- Maio, Paulo & Zeng, Ming, 2023. "On the driving forces of real exchange rates: Is the Japanese Yen different?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- repec:grz:wpaper:2012-02 is not listed on IDEAS
- Nida Çakır Melek & Charles W. Calomiris & Harry Mamaysky, 2020. "Mining for Oil Forecasts," Research Working Paper RWP 20-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Cedric Okou & Eric Jacquier, 2014. "Horizon Effect in the Term Structure of Long-Run Risk-Return Trade-Offs," CIRANO Working Papers 2014s-36, CIRANO.
- Maio, Paulo & Philip, Dennis, 2018. "Economic activity and momentum profits: Further evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 466-482.
- Ferreira, Miguel A. & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2011.
"Forecasting stock market returns: The sum of the parts is more than the whole,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 514-537, June.
- Miguel A. Ferreira & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2008. "Forecasting Stock Market Returns: The Sum of the Parts is More than the Whole," NBER Working Papers 14571, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2018. "Decomposing the predictive power of local and global financial valuation ratios," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 137-149.
- Yan Li & Liyan Yang, 2013. "Asset-Pricing Implications of Dividend Volatility," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(9), pages 2036-2055, September.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023.
"Transformed regression-based long-horizon predictability tests,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2022. "Transformed Regression-based Long-Horizon Predictability Tests," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 30620, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Maio, Paulo & Xu, Danielle, 2020. "Cash-flow or return predictability at long horizons? The case of earnings yield," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 172-192.
- Hwai-Chung Ho, 2022. "Forecasting the distribution of long-horizon returns with time-varying volatility," Papers 2201.07457, arXiv.org.
- Mili, Mehdi, 2019. "The impact of tradeoff between risk and return on mean reversion in sovereign CDS markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 187-200.
- Okou, Cédric & Jacquier, Éric, 2016. "Horizon effect in the term structure of long-run risk-return trade-offs," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 445-466.
- Hsu, Po-Hsuan, 2009. "Technological innovations and aggregate risk premiums," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 264-279, November.
- Cenesizoglu, Tolga, 2011. "Size, book-to-market ratio and macroeconomic news," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 248-270, March.
- Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Kagkadis, Anastasios & Philip, Dennis & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2019. "The information content of forward moments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 527-541.
- Jaime Casassus & Freddy Higuera, 2011. "Stock Return Predictability and Oil Prices," Documentos de Trabajo 406, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
- Tolga Cenesizoglu, 2010. "Size, Book-to-Market Ratio and Macroeconomic News," Cahiers de recherche 1033, CIRPEE.
- Nitschka, Thomas, 2014. "Developed markets’ business cycle dynamics and time-variation in emerging markets’ asset returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 76-82.
- David R. Haab & Thomas Nitschka, 2019. "What Goliaths and Davids among Swiss firms tell us about expected returns on Swiss asset markets," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 155(1), pages 1-17, December.
- Francois Gourio, 2012.
"Disaster Risk and Business Cycles,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(6), pages 2734-2766, October.
- Francois Gourio, 2009. "Disaster risk and business cycles," 2009 Meeting Papers 1176, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- François Gourio, 2009. "Disasters Risk and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 15399, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sizova, Natalia, 2014. "A frequency-domain alternative to long-horizon regressions with application to return predictability," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 261-272.
- Engsted, Tom & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2012.
"Return predictability and intertemporal asset allocation: Evidence from a bias-adjusted VAR model,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 241-253.
- Tom Engsted & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2008. "Return predictability and intertemporal asset allocation: Evidence from a bias-adjusted VAR model," CREATES Research Papers 2008-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Murphy, Austin & AlSalman, Zeina, 2023. "Relationships between stock returns and real earnings yields over the last 150 years," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015.
"Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 38-51.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Stock return forecasting: some new evidence," Working Papers fe_2015_13, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Alejandro Bernales & Marcela Valenzuela & Ilknur Zer, 2023. "Effects of Information Overload on Financial Markets: How Much Is Too Much?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1372, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Stig V. Møller & Jesper Rangvid, 2012. "End-of-the-year economic growth and time-varying expected returns," CREATES Research Papers 2012-42, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Jian Zhou, 2012. "Multiscale Analysis of International Linkages of REIT Returns and Volatilities," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 1062-1087, November.
- Yiqun Mou & Lars A. Lochstoer & Michael Johannes, 2011. "Learning about Consumption Dynamics," 2011 Meeting Papers 306, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Steven Clark & T. Coggin, 2011. "Are U.S. stock prices mean reverting? Some new tests using fractional integration models with overlapping data and structural breaks," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 373-391, April.
- Liya Chu & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li & Jun Tu, 2022. "Investor Sentiment and Paradigm Shifts in Equity Return Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 4301-4325, June.
- Favilukis, Jack & Lin, Xiaoji, 2016.
"Does wage rigidity make firms riskier? Evidence from long-horizon return predictability,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 80-95.
- Favilukis, Jack & Lin, Xiaoji, 2012. "Does Wage Rigidity Make Firms Riskier? Evidence from Long-Horizon Return Predictability," Working Paper Series 2012-19, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
- Costantini, Mauro & Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2014.
"Can Macroeconomists Get Rich Forecasting Exchange Rates?,"
Economics Series
305, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Costantini, Mauro & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2014. "Can Macroeconomists Get Rich Forecasting Exchange Rates?," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 176, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Mauro Costantini & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2014. "Can Macroeconomists Get Rich Forecasting Exchange Rates?," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp176, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Anisha Ghosh & George M. Constantinides, 2010.
"The Predictability of Returns with Regime Shifts in Consumption and Dividend Growth,"
NBER Working Papers
16183, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- George Constantinides, 2012. "The Predictability of Returns with Regime Shifts in Consumption and Dividend Growth," 2012 Meeting Papers 1197, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022. "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series 2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jacob Boudoukh & Ronen Israel & Matthew P. Richardson, 2020. "Biases in Long-Horizon Predictive Regressions," NBER Working Papers 27410, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Silvo Dajčman, 2013. "Interdependence Between Some Major European Stock Markets - A Wavelet Lead/Lag Analysis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(1), pages 28-49.
- Yu, Deshui & Chen, Li, 2024. "Local predictability of stock returns and cash flows," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Huang, Dashan & Li, Jiangyuan & Wang, Liyao & Zhou, Guofu, 2020.
"Time series momentum: Is it there?,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(3), pages 774-794.
- Dashan Huang & Jiangyuan Li & Liyao Wang & Guofu Zhou, 2020. "Time series momentum: Is it there?," CEMA Working Papers 717, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Maio, Paulo, 2016. "Cross-sectional return dispersion and the equity premium," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 87-109.
- Coqueret, Guillaume & Deguest, Romain, 2024. "Unexpected opportunities in misspecified predictive regressions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(2), pages 686-700.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2014. "Market variance risk premiums in Japan for asset predictability," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 169-198, August.
- Henkel, Sam James & Martin, J. Spencer & Nardari, Federico, 2011. "Time-varying short-horizon predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(3), pages 560-580, March.
- Liu, Feng & Kalotay, Egon & Trück, Stefan, 2018. "Assessing sovereign default risk: A bottom-up approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 525-542.
- Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
- Hoang, Lai T. & Baur, Dirk G., 2022. "Loaded for bear: Bitcoin private wallets, exchange reserves and prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Pierlauro Lopez, 2018.
"A New Keynesian Q Theory and the Link Between Inflation and the Stock Market,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 29, pages 85-105, July.
- Pierlauro Lopez, 2017. "Online Appendix to "A New Keynesian Q Theory and the Link Between Inflation and the Stock Market"," Online Appendices 16-134, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Todorov, Viktor & Ubukata, Masato, 2021. "Tail risk and return predictability for the Japanese equity market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 344-363.
- Bandi, F.M. & Perron, B. & Tamoni, A. & Tebaldi, C., 2019.
"The scale of predictability,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 120-140.
- Federico M. Bandi & Bernard Perron & Andrea Tamoni & Claudio Tebaldi, 2014. "The scale of predictability," Working Papers 509, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Bandi, F.M & Perron, B & Tamoni, Andrea & Tebaldi, C., 2018. "The scale of predictability," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85646, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Federico M. Bandi & Benoit Perron & Andrea Tamoni & Claudio Tebaldi, 2015. "The scale of predictability," CIRANO Working Papers 2015s-21, CIRANO.
- Rojo-Suárez, Javier & Alonso-Conde, Ana B. & Gonzalez-Ruiz, Juan David, 2024. "Does sustainability improve financial performance? An analysis of Latin American oil and gas firms," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Stephan Jank, 2015. "Changes in the Composition of Publicly Traded Firms: Implications for the Dividend-Price Ratio and Return Predictability," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(6), pages 1362-1377, June.
- Chen, Long, 2009. "On the reversal of return and dividend growth predictability: A tale of two periods," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 128-151, April.
- Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Predictive Power of Industrial Electricity Usage Revisited: Evidence from Nonparametric Causality Tests," Working Papers 201679, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Lioui, Abraham & Poncet, Patrice, 2019. "Long horizon predictability: An asset allocation perspective," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(3), pages 961-975.
- Bakshi, Gurdip & Panayotov, George & Skoulakis, Georgios, 2011. "Improving the predictability of real economic activity and asset returns with forward variances inferred from option portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 475-495, June.
- Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Chiang, Thomas C. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2016. "Downside risk and stock returns: An empirical analysis of the long-run and short-run dynamics from the G-7 Countries," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-001, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Almeida, Caio & Graveline, Jeremy J. & Joslin, Scott, 2011. "Do interest rate options contain information about excess returns?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 35-44, September.
- Yu, Deshui & Huang, Difang, 2023. "Cross-sectional uncertainty and expected stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-340.
- Zhang, Yuzhao, 2014. "Contrarian flows, consumption and expected stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 101-111.
- Maio, Paulo & Santa-Clara, Pedro, 2012. "Multifactor models and their consistency with the ICAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 586-613.
- Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premia: A new model for disentangling the price of risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 312-334.
- Jank, Stephan, 2012. "Changes in the composition of publicly traded firms: Implications for the dividend-price ratio and return predictability," CFR Working Papers 12-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Charles W. Calomiris & Nida Çakır Melek & Harry Mamaysky, 2021. "Predicting the Oil Market," NBER Working Papers 29379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Wellmann, Dennis & Trück, Stefan, 2018. "Factors of the term structure of sovereign yield spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 56-75.
- Floro, Danvee, 2019. "Testing the predictive ability of house price bubbles for macroeconomic performance: A meta-analytic approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 164-181.
- Li, Yan & Ng, David T. & Swaminathan, Bhaskaran, 2013. "Predicting market returns using aggregate implied cost of capital," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 419-436.
- Gourio, François, 2008.
"Time-series predictability in the disaster model,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 191-203, December.
- François Gourio, 2008. "Time-series predictability in the disaster model," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2008-016, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Baltas, Nick & Karyampas, Dimitrios, 2018. "Forecasting the equity risk premium: The importance of regime-dependent evaluation," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 83-102.
- Demirer, Riza & Pierdzioch, Christian & Zhang, Huacheng, 2017. "On the short-term predictability of stock returns: A quantile boosting approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 35-41.
- Chen, Cathy Yi-Hsuan & Chiang, Thomas C. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "Downside risk and stock returns in the G7 countries: An empirical analysis of their long-run and short-run dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 21-32.
- Guillaume Coqueret & Romain Deguest, 2024. "Unexpected opportunities in misspecified predictive regressions," Post-Print hal-04595355, HAL.
- Chen, Sichong, 2012. "The predictability of aggregate Japanese stock returns: Implications of dividend yield," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 284-304.
- Chevillon, Guillaume, 2017. "Robustness of Multistep Forecasts and Predictive Regressions at Intermediate and Long Horizons," ESSEC Working Papers WP1710, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
- Golez, Benjamin & Koudijs, Peter, 2018. "Four centuries of return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 248-263.
- Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2017. "Predicting international stock returns with conditional price-to-fundamental ratios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 159-184.
- Lin, Qi & Lin, Xi, 2021. "Cash conversion cycle and aggregate stock returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Yoon, Sun-Joong, 2017. "Time-varying risk aversion and return predictability," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 327-339.
- Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2018. "Maximal predictability under long-term mean reversion," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 269-282.
- Wright, Jonathan H. & Zhou, Hao, 2009. "Bond risk premia and realized jump risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(12), pages 2333-2345, December.
- Valseth, Siri, 2016. "Informed trading in Hybrid Bond Markets," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2016/13, University of Stavanger.
- Spierdijk, Laura & Umar, Zaghum, 2014. "Stocks for the long run? Evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 217-238.
- Deng, Kaihua, 2016. "A refined asymptotic framework for dividend yield in predictive regressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 60-63.
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