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Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Senti-ments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?

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  • Rangan Gupta
  • Shawkat Hammoudeh
  • Mampho P. Modise
  • Duc Khuong Nguyen

Abstract

This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive

Suggested Citation

  • Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014. "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Senti-ments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers 2014-436, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipg:wpaper:2014-436
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equity premium forecasting; asset pricing model; economic uncertainty; business cycle.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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