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Importance Sampling for Stochastic Simulations

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  1. Mandjes, M., 1993. "Fast simulation of Markov fluid models in conjunction with large deviations," Serie Research Memoranda 0058, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
  2. Bosetti, Valentina & Marangoni, Giacomo & Borgonovo, Emanuele & Diaz Anadon, Laura & Barron, Robert & McJeon, Haewon C. & Politis, Savvas & Friley, Paul, 2015. "Sensitivity to energy technology costs: A multi-model comparison analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 244-263.
  3. Hsieh, Ming-Hua & Lee, Yi-Hsi & Shyu, So-De & Chiu, Yu-Fen, 2019. "Estimating multifactor portfolio credit risk: A variance reduction approach," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  4. Philippe Jehiel & Jakub Steiner, 2020. "Selective Sampling with Information-Storage Constraints [On interim rationality, belief formation and learning in decision problems with bounded memory]," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 130(630), pages 1753-1781.
  5. Sandeep Juneja & Perwez Shahabuddin, 2001. "Fast Simulation of Markov Chains with Small Transition Probabilities," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(4), pages 547-562, April.
  6. Franks, Jordan & Vihola, Matti, 2020. "Importance sampling correction versus standard averages of reversible MCMCs in terms of the asymptotic variance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(10), pages 6157-6183.
  7. Helton, J.C. & Hansen, C.W. & Sallaberry, C.J., 2014. "Conceptual structure and computational organization of the 2008 performance assessment for the proposed high-level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 223-248.
  8. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Oberkampf, W.L., 2006. "Probability of loss of assured safety in temperature dependent systems with multiple weak and strong links," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 320-348.
  9. Youngjun Choe & Henry Lam & Eunshin Byon, 2018. "Uncertainty Quantification of Stochastic Simulation for Black-box Computer Experiments," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1155-1172, December.
  10. T. P. I. Ahamed & V. S. Borkar & S. Juneja, 2006. "Adaptive Importance Sampling Technique for Markov Chains Using Stochastic Approximation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(3), pages 489-504, June.
  11. Frikha Noufel & Sagna Abass, 2012. "Quantization based recursive importance sampling," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 287-326, December.
  12. Cheng-Der Fuh & Yanwei Jia & Steven Kou, 2023. "A General Framework for Importance Sampling with Latent Markov Processes," Papers 2311.12330, arXiv.org.
  13. Kleijnen, J.P.C., 1997. "Experimental Design for Sensitivity Analysis, Optimization and Validation of Simulation Models," Discussion Paper 1997-52, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  14. Steiner, Jakub & Jehiel, Philippe, 2017. "On Second Thoughts, Selective Memory, and Resulting Behavioral Biases," CEPR Discussion Papers 12546, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  15. Tito Homem-de-Mello, 2007. "A Study on the Cross-Entropy Method for Rare-Event Probability Estimation," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 19(3), pages 381-394, August.
  16. Pierre L’Ecuyer & Bruno Tuffin, 2011. "Approximating zero-variance importance sampling in a reliability setting," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 189(1), pages 277-297, September.
  17. N-H Shih, 2005. "Estimating completion-time distribution in stochastic activity networks," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 56(6), pages 744-749, June.
  18. Prusty, B Rajanarayan & Jena, Debashisha, 2017. "A critical review on probabilistic load flow studies in uncertainty constrained power systems with photovoltaic generation and a new approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1286-1302.
  19. Pierre Rostan & Alexandra Rostan & François-Éric Racicot, 2020. "Increment Variance Reduction Techniques with an Application to Multi-name Credit Derivatives," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(1), pages 1-35, January.
  20. Papadopoulos C., 1998. "A New Technique for MTTF Estimation in Highly Reliable Markovian Systems," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 95-112, December.
  21. Ridder, A., 1993. "Fast simulation of Markov fluid models," Serie Research Memoranda 0021, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
  22. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 55-65.
  23. Dantzig, George B. & Infanger, Gerd, 1997. "Intelligent control and optimization under uncertainty with application to hydro power," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 396-407, March.
  24. Basrak, Bojan & Conroy, Michael & Olvera-Cravioto, Mariana & Palmowski, Zbigniew, 2022. "Importance sampling for maxima on trees," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 139-179.
  25. Bahar Kaynar & Ad Ridder, 2009. "The Cross-Entropy Method with Patching for Rare-Event Simulation of Large Markov Chains," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-084/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  26. Stern, R.E. & Song, J. & Work, D.B., 2017. "Accelerated Monte Carlo system reliability analysis through machine-learning-based surrogate models of network connectivity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1-9.
  27. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64051, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  28. Kuruganti, I. & Strickland, S., 1997. "Optimal importance sampling for Markovian systems with applications to tandem queues," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 61-79.
  29. N. Hilber & N. Reich & C. Schwab & C. Winter, 2009. "Numerical methods for Lévy processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 471-500, September.
  30. Kriman, V. & Rubinstein, R.Y., 1995. "Polynomial Time Algorithms for Estimation of Rare Events in Queueing Models," Discussion Paper 1995-12, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  31. Hernan P. Awad & Peter W. Glynn & Reuven Y. Rubinstein, 2013. "Zero-Variance Importance Sampling Estimators for Markov Process Expectations," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 38(2), pages 358-388, May.
  32. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Oberkampf, W.L., 2007. "Verification test problems for the calculation of probability of loss of assured safety in temperature-dependent systems with multiple weak and strong links," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(10), pages 1374-1387.
  33. Mulvey, John M. & Rosenbaum, Daniel P. & Shetty, Bala, 1997. "Strategic financial risk management and operations research," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 1-16, February.
  34. Fodstad, Marte & Crespo del Granado, Pedro & Hellemo, Lars & Knudsen, Brage Rugstad & Pisciella, Paolo & Silvast, Antti & Bordin, Chiara & Schmidt, Sarah & Straus, Julian, 2022. "Next frontiers in energy system modelling: A review on challenges and the state of the art," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
  35. Barry L. Nelson, 2004. "50th Anniversary Article: Stochastic Simulation Research in Management Science," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 50(7), pages 855-868, July.
  36. Torrisi, G. L., 2004. "Simulating the ruin probability of risk processes with delay in claim settlement," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 112(2), pages 225-244, August.
  37. Morio, Jérôme & Jacquemart, Damien & Balesdent, Mathieu & Marzat, Julien, 2013. "Optimisation of interacting particle systems for rare event estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 117-128.
  38. Francesco Strino & Fabio Parisi & Yuval Kluger, 2011. "VDA, a Method of Choosing a Better Algorithm with Fewer Validations," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(10), pages 1-8, October.
  39. Nam Kyoo Boots & Perwez Shahabuddin, 2001. "Simulating Tail Probabilities in GI/GI.1 Queues and Insurance Risk Processes with Subexponentail Distributions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-012/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  40. Kaynar, Bahar & Ridder, Ad, 2010. "The cross-entropy method with patching for rare-event simulation of large Markov chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 207(3), pages 1380-1397, December.
  41. H. Zhong & P. van Gelder & P. van Overloop & W. Wang, 2014. "Application of a fast stochastic storm surge model on estimating the high water level frequency in the Lower Rhine Delta," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(2), pages 743-759, September.
  42. Marvin K. Nakayama & Perwez Shahabuddin, 1998. "Likelihood Ratio Derivative Estimation for Finite-Time Performance Measures in Generalized Semi-Markov Processes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(10), pages 1426-1441, October.
  43. Paul Glasserman & Jeremy Staum, 2001. "Conditioning on One-Step Survival for Barrier Option Simulations," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(6), pages 923-937, December.
  44. Meng Lu & Jie Zhang & Qing Lü & Lulu Zhang, 2023. "Assessing the annual probability of rainfall-induced slope failure based on intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(1), pages 763-778, May.
  45. Samet, Haidar & Khorshidsavar, Morteza, 2018. "Analytic time series load flow," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3886-3899.
  46. Helton, Jon C. & Sallaberry, Cedric J., 2009. "Computational implementation of sampling-based approaches to the calculation of expected dose in performance assessments for the proposed high-level radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nev," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 699-721.
  47. Fakhouri H. & Nasroallah A., 2009. "On the simulation of Markov chain steady-state distribution using CFTP algorithm," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 91-105, January.
  48. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Sallaberry, C.J. & Storlie, C.B., 2006. "Survey of sampling-based methods for uncertainty and sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(10), pages 1175-1209.
  49. Kriman, V. & Rubinstein, R.Y., 1995. "Polynomial Time Algorithms for Estimation of Rare Events in Queueing Models," Other publications TiSEM bb044e22-c7f1-41f2-b4d9-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  50. Matti Vihola & Jouni Helske & Jordan Franks, 2020. "Importance sampling type estimators based on approximate marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1339-1376, December.
  51. Ming-Tao CHUNG & Ming-Hua HSIEH & Yan-Ping CHI, 2017. "Computation of Operational Risk for Financial Institutions," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 77-87, September.
  52. Xie, Junfei & Wan, Yan & Mills, Kevin & Filliben, James J. & Lei, Yu & Lin, Zongli, 2019. "M-PCM-OFFD: An effective output statistics estimation method for systems of high dimensional uncertainties subject to low-order parameter interactions," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 93-118.
  53. Mulvey, John M. & Rosenbaum, Daniel P. & Shetty, Bala, 1999. "Parameter estimation in stochastic scenario generation systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 118(3), pages 563-577, November.
  54. Søren Asmussen & Reuven Y. Rubinstein, 1999. "Sensitivity Analysis of Insurance Risk Models via Simulation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(8), pages 1125-1141, August.
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