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Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals

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  1. Mas-Tur, Alicia & Roig-Tierno, Norat & Sarin, Shikhar & Haon, Christophe & Sego, Trina & Belkhouja, Mustapha & Porter, Alan & Merigó, José M., 2021. "Co-citation, bibliographic coupling and leading authors, institutions and countries in the 50 years of Technological Forecasting and Social Change," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  2. Mauleón, Ignacio, 2019. "Optimizing individual renewable energies roadmaps: Criteria, methods, and end targets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
  3. Healey, Stephen & Jaccard, Mark, 2016. "Abundant low-cost natural gas and deep GHG emissions reductions for the United States," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 241-253.
  4. Lorenza Campagnolo & Carlo Carraro & Marinella Davide & Fabio Eboli & Elisa Lanzi & Ramiro Parrado, 2016. "Can climate policy enhance sustainability?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 639-653, August.
  5. Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Meunier, Guy & Hallegatte, Stéphane, 2018. "When starting with the most expensive option makes sense: Optimal timing, cost and sectoral allocation of abatement investment," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 210-233.
  6. Carvalho, N.B. & Berrêdo Viana, D. & Muylaert de Araújo, M.S. & Lampreia, J. & Gomes, M.S.P. & Freitas, M.A.V., 2020. "How likely is Brazil to achieve its NDC commitments in the energy sector? A review on Brazilian low-carbon energy perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  7. Misconel, S. & Zimmermann, F. & Mikurda, J. & Möst, D. & Kunze, R. & Gnann, T. & Kühnbach, M. & Speth, D. & Pelka, S. & Yu, S., 2024. "Model coupling and comparison on optimal load shifting of battery electric vehicles and heat pumps focusing on generation adequacy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
  8. Li, Yiming & Wang, Zhaohua & He, Weijun & Zhao, Yuandong & Xu, Ming & Zhang, Bin, 2021. "Critical transmission sectors for CO2 emission mitigation in supply chains," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
  9. Bertram, Christoph & Johnson, Nils & Luderer, Gunnar & Riahi, Keywan & Isaac, Morna & Eom, Jiyong, 2015. "Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 62-72.
  10. Ashraf, Rohail & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Khuhro, Rafique Ahmed & Bhatti, Zeeshan Ahmed, 2022. "Knowledge creation dynamics of technological forecasting and social change special issues," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  11. Bauer, Nico & Bosetti, Valentina & Hamdi-Cherif, Meriem & Kitous, Alban & McCollum, David & Méjean, Aurélie & Rao, Shilpa & Turton, Hal & Paroussos, Leonidas & Ashina, Shuichi & Calvin, Katherine & Wa, 2015. "CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 243-256.
  12. De Cian, Enrica & Dasgupta, Shouro & Hof, Andries F. & van Sluisveld, Mariësse A.E. & Köhler, Jonathan & Pfluger, Benjamin & van Vuuren, Detlef P., 2020. "Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  13. Tokimatsu, Koji & Konishi, Satoshi & Ishihara, Keiichi & Tezuka, Tetsuo & Yasuoka, Rieko & Nishio, Masahiro, 2016. "Role of innovative technologies under the global zero emissions scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1483-1493.
  14. Gunnar Luderer & Zoi Vrontisi & Christoph Bertram & Oreane Y. Edelenbosch & Robert C. Pietzcker & Joeri Rogelj & Harmen Sytze Boer & Laurent Drouet & Johannes Emmerling & Oliver Fricko & Shinichiro Fu, 2018. "Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(7), pages 626-633, July.
  15. Oshiro, Ken & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Ochi, Yuki & Ehara, Tomoki, 2021. "Enabling energy system transition toward decarbonization in Japan through energy service demand reduction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
  16. Li, Jun & Hamdi-Cherif, Meriem & Cassen, Christophe, 2017. "Aligning domestic policies with international coordination in a post-Paris global climate regime: A case for China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 258-274.
  17. Johnson, Nils & Krey, Volker & McCollum, David L. & Rao, Shilpa & Riahi, Keywan & Rogelj, Joeri, 2015. "Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 89-102.
  18. Fragkos, Panagiotis & Tasios, Nikos & Paroussos, Leonidas & Capros, Pantelis & Tsani, Stella, 2017. "Energy system impacts and policy implications of the European Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and low-carbon pathway to 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 216-226.
  19. Kriegler, Elmar & Riahi, Keywan & Bauer, Nico & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Petermann, Nils & Bosetti, Valentina & Marcucci, Adriana & Otto, Sander & Paroussos, Leonidas & Rao-Skirbekk, Shilpa & Currás,, 2015. "A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 273-276.
  20. Luderer, Gunnar & Pietzcker, Robert C. & Carrara, Samuel & de Boer, Harmen Sytze & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Johnson, Nils & Mima, Silvana & Arent, Douglas, 2017. "Assessment of wind and solar power in global low-carbon energy scenarios: An introduction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 542-551.
  21. Kajikawa, Yuya & Mejia, Cristian & Wu, Mengjia & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Academic landscape of Technological Forecasting and Social Change through citation network and topic analyses," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  22. Audoly, Richard & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Guivarch, Céline & Pfeiffer, Alexander, 2018. "Pathways toward zero-carbon electricity required for climate stabilization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 884-901.
  23. Matsumoto, Ken’ichi & Shiraki, Hiroto, 2018. "Energy security performance in Japan under different socioeconomic and energy conditions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 391-401.
  24. Paulus, N., 2024. "Developing individual carbon footprint reduction pathways from carbon budgets: Examples with Wallonia and France," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  25. Yangsiyu Lu & Francois Cohen & Stephen M. Smith & Alexander Pfeiffer, 2022. "Plant conversions and abatement technologies cannot prevent stranding of power plant assets in 2 °C scenarios," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
  26. Jaakko J. Jääskeläinen & Sakari Höysniemi & Sanna Syri & Veli-Pekka Tynkkynen, 2018. "Finland’s Dependence on Russian Energy—Mutually Beneficial Trade Relations or an Energy Security Threat?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-25, September.
  27. Mignone, Bryan K. & Showalter, Sharon & Wood, Frances & McJeon, Haewon & Steinberg, Daniel, 2017. "Sensitivity of natural gas deployment in the US power sector to future carbon policy expectations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 518-524.
  28. Kriegler, Elmar & Petermann, Nils & Krey, Volker & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Luderer, Gunnar & Ashina, Shuichi & Bosetti, Valentina & Eom, Jiyong & Kitous, Alban & Méjean, Aurélie & Paroussos, Leonida, 2015. "Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 45-61.
  29. Marcucci, Adriana & Fragkos, Panagiotis, 2015. "Drivers of regional decarbonization through 2100: A multi-model decomposition analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 111-124.
  30. Zhangqi, Zhong & Zhuli, Chen & Lingyun, He, 2022. "Technological innovation, industrial structural change and carbon emission transferring via trade-------An agent-based modeling approach," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  31. Ajay Gambhir & Laurent Drouet & David McCollum & Tamaryn Napp & Dan Bernie & Adam Hawkes & Oliver Fricko & Petr Havlik & Keywan Riahi & Valentina Bosetti & Jason Lowe, 2017. "Assessing the Feasibility of Global Long-Term Mitigation Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, January.
  32. den Elzen, Michel & Kuramochi, Takeshi & Höhne, Niklas & Cantzler, Jasmin & Esmeijer, Kendall & Fekete, Hanna & Fransen, Taryn & Keramidas, Kimon & Roelfsema, Mark & Sha, Fu & van Soest, Heleen & Vand, 2019. "Are the G20 economies making enough progress to meet their NDC targets?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 238-250.
  33. Matos, Stelvia & Viardot, Eric & Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Geels, Frank W. & Xiong, Yu, 2022. "Innovation and climate change: A review and introduction to the special issue," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  34. Xin-Cheng Meng & Yeon-Ho Seong & Min-Kyu Lee, 2021. "Research Characteristics and Development Trend of Global Low-Carbon Power—Based on Bibliometric Analysis of 1983–2021," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-20, August.
  35. Johnson, Elliott & Betts-Davies, Sam & Barrett, John, 2023. "Comparative analysis of UK net-zero scenarios: The role of energy demand reduction," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
  36. Krey, Volker & Guo, Fei & Kolp, Peter & Zhou, Wenji & Schaeffer, Roberto & Awasthy, Aayushi & Bertram, Christoph & de Boer, Harmen-Sytze & Fragkos, Panagiotis & Fujimori, Shinichiro & He, Chenmin & Iy, 2019. "Looking under the hood: A comparison of techno-economic assumptions across national and global integrated assessment models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1254-1267.
  37. Sano, Fuminori & Wada, Kenichi & Akimoto, Keigo & Oda, Junichiro, 2015. "Assessments of GHG emission reduction scenarios of different levels and different short-term pledges through macro- and sectoral decomposition analyses," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 153-165.
  38. Napp, T.A. & Few, S. & Sood, A. & Bernie, D. & Hawkes, A. & Gambhir, A., 2019. "The role of advanced demand-sector technologies and energy demand reduction in achieving ambitious carbon budgets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 351-367.
  39. Eom, Jiyong & Edmonds, Jae & Krey, Volker & Johnson, Nils & Longden, Thomas & Luderer, Gunnar & Riahi, Keywan & Van Vuuren, Detlef P., 2015. "The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 73-88.
  40. Huang, Xiaodan & Chang, Shiyan & Zheng, Dingqian & Zhang, Xiliang, 2020. "The role of BECCS in deep decarbonization of China's economy: A computable general equilibrium analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  41. Cohen, Francois & Pfeiffer, Alexander, 2018. "The Impact of Negative Emissions Technologies and Natural Climate Solutions on Power-Sector Asset Stranding," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-02, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
  42. Linghong Zhang & Hao Zhou & Yanyan Liu & Rui Lu, 2018. "The Optimal Carbon Emission Reduction and Prices with Cap and Trade Mechanism and Competition," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-23, November.
  43. Dioha, Michael O. & Kumar, Atul, 2020. "Exploring the energy system impacts of Nigeria's Nationally Determined Contributions and low-carbon transition to mid-century," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  44. Ajay Gambhir & Isabela Butnar & Pei-Hao Li & Pete Smith & Neil Strachan, 2019. "A Review of Criticisms of Integrated Assessment Models and Proposed Approaches to Address These, through the Lens of BECCS," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, May.
  45. Kriegler, Elmar & Riahi, Keywan & Bauer, Nico & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Petermann, Nils & Bosetti, Valentina & Marcucci, Adriana & Otto, Sander & Paroussos, Leonidas & Rao, Shilpa & Arroyo Currás, T, 2015. "Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 24-44.
  46. Duncan McLaren, 2020. "Quantifying the potential scale of mitigation deterrence from greenhouse gas removal techniques," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 2411-2428, October.
  47. Nikas, A. & Gambhir, A. & Trutnevyte, E. & Koasidis, K. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Mayer, D. & Zachmann, G. & Miguel, L.J. & Ferreras-Alonso, N. & Sognnaes, I. & Peters, G.P. & Colombo, E. & Howe, 2021. "Perspective of comprehensive and comprehensible multi-model energy and climate science in Europe," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
  48. Silva Herran, Diego & Tachiiri, Kaoru & Matsumoto, Ken'ichi, 2019. "Global energy system transformations in mitigation scenarios considering climate uncertainties," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C), pages 119-131.
  49. Wachsmuth, Jakob & Schaeffer, Michiel & Hare, Bill, 2018. "The EU long-term strategy to reduce GHG emissions in light of the Paris Agreement and the IPCC Special Report on 1,5°C," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S22/2018, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
  50. Levesque, Antoine & Pietzcker, Robert C. & Luderer, Gunnar, 2019. "Halving energy demand from buildings: The impact of low consumption practices," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 253-266.
  51. Fragkos, Panagiotis & Fragkiadakis, Kostas & Paroussos, Leonidas & Pierfederici, Roberta & Vishwanathan, Saritha S. & Köberle, Alexandre C. & Iyer, Gokul & He, Chen-Min & Oshiro, Ken, 2018. "Coupling national and global models to explore policy impacts of NDCs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 462-473.
  52. Mittal, Shivika & Dai, Hancheng & Fujimori, Shinichiro & Masui, Toshihiko, 2016. "Bridging greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy deployment target: Comparative assessment of China and India," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 301-313.
  53. Jérôme Hilaire & Jan C. Minx & Max W. Callaghan & Jae Edmonds & Gunnar Luderer & Gregory F. Nemet & Joeri Rogelj & Maria Mar Zamora, 2019. "Negative emissions and international climate goals—learning from and about mitigation scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(2), pages 189-219, November.
  54. Tamaryn Napp & Dan Bernie & Rebecca Thomas & Jason Lowe & Adam Hawkes & Ajay Gambhir, 2017. "Exploring the Feasibility of Low-Carbon Scenarios Using Historical Energy Transitions Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-36, January.
  55. Ajay Gambhir & Shivika Mittal & Robin D. Lamboll & Neil Grant & Dan Bernie & Laila Gohar & Adam Hawkes & Alexandre Köberle & Joeri Rogelj & Jason A. Lowe, 2023. "Adjusting 1.5 degree C climate change mitigation pathways in light of adverse new information," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
  56. Oshiro, Ken & Fujimori, Shinichiro, 2022. "Role of hydrogen-based energy carriers as an alternative option to reduce residual emissions associated with mid-century decarbonization goals," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
  57. Misconel, S. & Leisen, R. & Mikurda, J. & Zimmermann, F. & Fraunholz, C. & Fichtner, W. & Möst, D. & Weber, C., 2022. "Systematic comparison of high-resolution electricity system modeling approaches focusing on investment, dispatch and generation adequacy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  58. Kang, Jia-Ning & Zhang, Yun-Long & Chen, Weiming, 2022. "Delivering negative emissions innovation on the right track: A patent analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  59. Wen, Xin & Heinisch, Verena & Müller, Jonas & Sasse, Jan-Philipp & Trutnevyte, Evelina, 2023. "Comparison of statistical and optimization models for projecting future PV installations at a sub-national scale," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
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