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A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”

Author

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  • Kriegler, Elmar
  • Riahi, Keywan
  • Bauer, Nico
  • Schwanitz, Valeria Jana
  • Petermann, Nils
  • Bosetti, Valentina
  • Marcucci, Adriana
  • Otto, Sander
  • Paroussos, Leonidas
  • Rao-Skirbekk, Shilpa
  • Currás, Tabaré Arroyo
  • Ashina, Shuichi
  • Bollen, Johannes
  • Eom, Jiyong
  • Hamdi-Cherif, Meriem
  • Longden, Thomas
  • Kitous, Alban
  • Méjean, Aurélie
  • Sano, Fuminori
  • Schaeffer, Michiel
  • Wada, Kenichi
  • Capros, Pantelis
  • van Vuuren, Detlef P.
  • Edenhofer, Ottmar
  • Bertram, Christoph
  • Bibas, Ruben
  • Edmonds, Jae
  • Johnson, Nils
  • Krey, Volker
  • Luderer, Gunnar
  • McCollum, David
  • Jiang, Kejun

Abstract

We provide a rejoinder to a review (Rosen, 2015) of our original article “Making or breaking climate targets — the AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy” (Kriegler et al., 2015a). We have a substantial disagreement with the content of the review, and feel that it is plagued by a number of misconceptions about the nature of the AMPERE study and the integrated assessment modeling approach employed by it. We therefore see this rejoinder as an opportunity to clarify these misconceptions and advance the debate by providing a clearer understanding of the strengths, weaknesses, and ultimately the value of integrated assessment.

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  • Kriegler, Elmar & Riahi, Keywan & Bauer, Nico & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Petermann, Nils & Bosetti, Valentina & Marcucci, Adriana & Otto, Sander & Paroussos, Leonidas & Rao-Skirbekk, Shilpa & Currás,, 2015. "A short note on integrated assessment modeling approaches: Rejoinder to the review of “Making or breaking climate targets — The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy”," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 273-276.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:99:y:2015:i:c:p:273-276
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.011
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    1. Kriegler, Elmar & Riahi, Keywan & Bauer, Nico & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Petermann, Nils & Bosetti, Valentina & Marcucci, Adriana & Otto, Sander & Paroussos, Leonidas & Rao, Shilpa & Arroyo Currás, T, 2015. "Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 24-44.
    2. Kriegler, Elmar & Petermann, Nils & Krey, Volker & Schwanitz, Valeria Jana & Luderer, Gunnar & Ashina, Shuichi & Bosetti, Valentina & Eom, Jiyong & Kitous, Alban & Méjean, Aurélie & Paroussos, Leonida, 2015. "Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 45-61.
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    4. Riahi, Keywan & Kriegler, Elmar & Johnson, Nils & Bertram, Christoph & den Elzen, Michel & Eom, Jiyong & Schaeffer, Michiel & Edmonds, Jae & Isaac, Morna & Krey, Volker & Longden, Thomas & Luderer, Gu, 2015. "Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 8-23.
    5. Joeri Rogelj & David L. McCollum & Andy Reisinger & Malte Meinshausen & Keywan Riahi, 2013. "Probabilistic cost estimates for climate change mitigation," Nature, Nature, vol. 493(7430), pages 79-83, January.
    6. John Weyant & Elmar Kriegler, 2014. "Preface and introduction to EMF 27," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 123(3), pages 345-352, April.
    7. Gritsevskyi, Andrii & Nakicenovi, Nebojsa, 2000. "Modeling uncertainty of induced technological change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(13), pages 907-921, November.
    8. C. Wilson & A. Grubler & N. Bauer & V. Krey & K. Riahi, 2013. "Future capacity growth of energy technologies: are scenarios consistent with historical evidence?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(2), pages 381-395, May.
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    2. Cohen, Francois & Pfeiffer, Alexander, 2018. "The Impact of Negative Emissions Technologies and Natural Climate Solutions on Power-Sector Asset Stranding," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-02, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    3. Ajay Gambhir & Isabela Butnar & Pei-Hao Li & Pete Smith & Neil Strachan, 2019. "A Review of Criticisms of Integrated Assessment Models and Proposed Approaches to Address These, through the Lens of BECCS," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, May.

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