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Forecasting tourism demand to Catalonia: Neural networks vs. time series models

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Cited by:

  1. Maela Madel L. Cahigas & Ardvin Kester S. Ong & Yogi Tri Prasetyo, 2023. "Super Typhoon Rai’s Impacts on Siargao Tourism: Deciphering Tourists’ Revisit Intentions through Machine-Learning Algorithms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-29, May.
  2. Jean-François Verne, 2021. "Smooth Threshold Autoregressive models and Markov process: An application to the Lebanese GDP growth rate," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 13(3), pages 71-88, September.
  3. Hassani, Hossein & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Filis, George & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Forecasting accuracy evaluation of tourist arrivals," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 112-127.
  4. Hewamalage, Hansika & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bandara, Kasun, 2021. "Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 388-427.
  5. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2014. "“A multivariate neural network approach to tourism demand forecasting”," IREA Working Papers 201417, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised May 2014.
  6. Mathias Bärtl & Simone Krummaker, 2020. "Prediction of Claims in Export Credit Finance: A Comparison of Four Machine Learning Techniques," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, March.
  7. Yi-Chung Hu, 2023. "Tourism combination forecasting using a dynamic weighting strategy with change-point analysis," Current Issues in Tourism, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(14), pages 2357-2374, July.
  8. Correa, Alexander, 2021. "Prediciendo la llegada de turistas a Colombia a partir de los criterios de Google Trends," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue No. 95, pages 105-134, July.
  9. Zhao, Shangwei & Xie, Tian & Ai, Xin & Yang, Guangren & Zhang, Xinyu, 2023. "Correcting sample selection bias with model averaging for consumer demand forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  10. Dr. Murat çuhadar & Iclal Cogurcu & Ceyda Kukrer, 2014. "Modelling and Forecasting Cruise Tourism Demand to Izmir by Different Artificial Neural Network Architectures," International Journal of Business and Social Research, MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, vol. 4(3), pages 12-28, March.
  11. Andrea Saayman & Ilsé Botha, 2017. "Non-linear models for tourism demand forecasting," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(3), pages 594-613, May.
  12. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015. "“Self-organizing map analysis of agents' expectations. Different patterns of anticipation of the 2008 financial crisis”," IREA Working Papers 201511, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2015.
  13. Kamel Jlassi, 2015. "Modelling and Forecasting of Tunisian Current Account: Aggregate versus Disaggregate Approach," IHEID Working Papers 13-2015, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
  14. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2017. "“Regional tourism demand forecasting with machine learning models: Gaussian process regression vs. neural network models in a multiple-input multiple-output setting"," IREA Working Papers 201701, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jan 2017.
  15. Chen, Fu-Hsiang & Chi, Der-Jang & Wang, Yi-Cheng, 2015. "Detecting biotechnology industry's earnings management using Bayesian network, principal component analysis, back propagation neural network, and decision tree," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-10.
  16. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2015. "“Regional Forecasting with Support Vector Regressions: The Case of Spain”," IREA Working Papers 201507, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jan 2015.
  17. Reza Sanei & Farhad Hosseinzadeh lotfi & Mohammad Fallah & Farzad Movahedi Sobhani, 2022. "An Estimation of an Acceptable Efficiency Frontier Having an Optimum Resource Management Approach, with a Combination of the DEA-ANN-GA Technique (A Case Study of Branches of an Insurance Company)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-21, November.
  18. Marcos à lvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez, 2019. "Estimating the economic impact of a political conflict on tourism: The case of the Catalan separatist challenge," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 34-50, February.
  19. Dr. Murat çuhadar & Iclal Cogurcu & Ceyda Kukrer, 2014. "Modelling and Forecasting Cruise Tourism Demand to Izmir by Different Artificial Neural Network Architectures," International Journal of Business and Social Research, LAR Center Press, vol. 4(3), pages 12-28, March.
  20. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2013. "“Tourism demand forecasting with different neural networks models”," IREA Working Papers 201321, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Nov 2013.
  21. Yılmaz, Engin, 2015. "Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey," MPRA Paper 68616, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  22. Ogechi Adeola & Nathaniel Boso & Olaniyi Evans, 2018. "Drivers of international tourism demand in Africa," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 25-36, January.
  23. Grabowski Daniel & Staszewska-Bystrova Anna & Winker Peter, 2017. "Generating prediction bands for path forecasts from SETAR models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(5), pages 1-18, December.
  24. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez, 2018. "Forecasting International Tourism Demand Using a Non-Linear Autoregressive Neural Network and Genetic Programming," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-17, September.
  25. Tea Šestanović & Josip Arnerić, 2021. "Neural network structure identification in inflation forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 62-79, January.
  26. Havranek, Tomas & Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2018. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals with Google Trends and Mixed Frequency Data," EconStor Preprints 187420, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  27. El houssin Ouassou & Hafsa Taya, 2022. "Forecasting Regional Tourism Demand in Morocco from Traditional and AI-Based Methods to Ensemble Modeling," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(2), pages 1-18, April.
  28. Marisol Valencia Cárdenas & Juan Gabriel Vanegas López & Juan Carlos Correa Morales & Jorge Aníbal Restrepo Morales, 2017. "Comparing forecasts for tourism dynamics in Medellín, Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 86, pages 199-230, Enero - J.
  29. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Petar Soric & Salvador Torra, 2022. "“An application of deep learning for exchange rate forecasting”," AQR Working Papers 202201, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jan 2022.
  30. Tomas Havranek & Ayaz Zeynalov, 2021. "Forecasting tourist arrivals: Google Trends meets mixed-frequency data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(1), pages 129-148, February.
  31. Katerina Volchek & Anyu Liu & Haiyan Song & Dimitrios Buhalis, 2019. "Forecasting tourist arrivals at attractions: Search engine empowered methodologies," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 425-447, May.
  32. Valencia Cárdenas, Marisol & Vanegas López, Juan Gabriel & Correa Morales, Juan Carlos & Restrepo Morales, Jorge Aníbal, 2016. "Comparación de pronósticos para la dinámica del turismo en Medellín, Colombia," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 86, pages 199-230, December.
  33. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2016. "Combination forecasts of tourism demand with machine learning models," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 428-431, April.
  34. Haddad, S. & Benghanem, M. & Mellit, A. & Daffallah, K.O., 2015. "ANNs-based modeling and prediction of hourly flow rate of a photovoltaic water pumping system: Experimental validation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 635-643.
  35. Han Liu & Ying Liu & Yonglian Wang & Changchun Pan, 2019. "Hot topics and emerging trends in tourism forecasting research: A scientometric review," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 448-468, May.
  36. Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2017. "Forecasting Tourist Arrivals in Prague: Google Econometrics," MPRA Paper 83268, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  37. Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Hassani, Hossein & Heravi, Saeed & Huang, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting tourism demand with denoised neural networks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 134-154.
  38. Li, Hengyun & Hu, Mingming & Li, Gang, 2020. "Forecasting tourism demand with multisource big data," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  39. Wanke, Peter & Barros, Carlos Pestana, 2016. "Efficiency drivers in Brazilian insurance: A two-stage DEA meta frontier-data mining approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 8-22.
  40. Binglei Xie & Yu Sun & Xiaolong Huang & Le Yu & Gangyan Xu, 2020. "Travel Characteristics Analysis and Passenger Flow Prediction of Intercity Shuttles in the Pearl River Delta on Holidays," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-23, September.
  41. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A regional perspective on the accuracy of machine learning forecasts of tourism demand based on data characteristics”," IREA Working Papers 201805, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2018.
  42. Jun, Wang & Yuyan, Luo & Lingyu, Tang & Peng, Ge, 2018. "Modeling a combined forecast algorithm based on sequence patterns and near characteristics: An application for tourism demand forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 136-147.
  43. Long Wen & Chang Liu & Haiyan Song, 2019. "Forecasting tourism demand using search query data: A hybrid modelling approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 309-329, May.
  44. Ahmad Nazrul Hakimi Ibrahim & Muhamad Nazri Borhan & Mohd Haniff Osman & Muhamad Razuhanafi Mat Yazid & Munzilah Md. Rohani, 2022. "The Influence of Service Quality on User’s Perceived Satisfaction with Light Rail Transit Service in Klang Valley, Malaysia," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-21, June.
  45. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2016. "Modelling cross-dependencies between Spain’s regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 341-357, August.
  46. Weiwei Zhang & Mingyan Wang, 2021. "An improved deep forest model for prediction of e-commerce consumers’ repurchase behavior," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-16, September.
  47. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
  48. Lingyu, Tang & Jun, Wang & Chunyu, Zhao, 2021. "Mode decomposition method integrating mode reconstruction, feature extraction, and ELM for tourist arrival forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  49. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2020. "Modelling tourism receipts and associated risks, using long-range dependence models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 70-96, February.
  50. Hu, Yi-Chung, 2023. "Air passenger flow forecasting using nonadditive forecast combination with grey prediction," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  51. Moreno-Izquierdo, Luis & Egorova, Galina & Peretó-Rovira, Alexandre & Más-Ferrando , Adrián, 2018. "Exploring the use of artificial intelligence in price maximisation in the tourism sector: its application in the case of Airbnb in the Valencian Community," INVESTIGACIONES REGIONALES - Journal of REGIONAL RESEARCH, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, issue 42, pages 113-128.
  52. Chi-Wei Su & Xian-Li Meng & Ran Tao & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Chinese consumer confidence: A catalyst for the outbound tourism expenditure?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 696-717, May.
  53. Ke Xu & Junli Zhang & Junhao Huang & Hongbo Tan & Xiuli Jing & Tianxiang Zheng, 2024. "Forecasting Visitor Arrivals at Tourist Attractions: A Time Series Framework with the N-BEATS for Sustainable Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-28, September.
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