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Probabilistic individual load forecasting using pinball loss guided LSTM

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Cited by:

  1. Jonathan Roth & Jayashree Chadalawada & Rishee K. Jain & Clayton Miller, 2021. "Uncertainty Matters: Bayesian Probabilistic Forecasting for Residential Smart Meter Prediction, Segmentation, and Behavioral Measurement and Verification," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-22, March.
  2. Sel, Burakhan & Minner, Stefan, 2022. "A hedging policy for seaborne forward freight markets based on probabilistic forecasts," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
  3. Kim, Minsoo & Park, Taeseop & Jeong, Jaeik & Kim, Hongseok, 2023. "Stochastic optimization of home energy management system using clustered quantile scenario reduction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
  4. Chen, Zhengganzhe & Zhang, Bin & Du, Chenglong & Meng, Wei & Meng, Anbo, 2024. "A novel dynamic spatio-temporal graph convolutional network for wind speed interval prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
  5. Sun, Fangyuan & Kong, Xiangyu & Wu, Jianzhong & Gao, Bixuan & Chen, Ke & Lu, Ning, 2022. "DSM pricing method based on A3C and LSTM under cloud-edge environment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
  6. Bilgili, Mehmet & Pinar, Engin, 2023. "Gross electricity consumption forecasting using LSTM and SARIMA approaches: A case study of Türkiye," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
  7. Kang-Min Koo & Kuk-Heon Han & Kyung-Soo Jun & Gyumin Lee & Jung-Sik Kim & Kyung-Taek Yum, 2021. "Performance Assessment for Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Models on Distinctive Water Uses in Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, May.
  8. Imani, Maryam & Ghassemian, Hassan, 2019. "Residential load forecasting using wavelet and collaborative representation transforms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
  9. Pavlos Nikolaidis & Harris Partaourides, 2021. "A Model Predictive Control for the Dynamical Forecast of Operating Reserves in Frequency Regulation Services," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
  10. Batalla-Bejerano, Joan & Trujillo-Baute, Elisa & Villa-Arrieta, Manuel, 2020. "Smart meters and consumer behaviour: Insights from the empirical literature," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  11. Lemos-Vinasco, Julian & Bacher, Peder & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg, 2021. "Probabilistic load forecasting considering temporal correlation: Online models for the prediction of households’ electrical load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
  12. Zang, Haixiang & Xu, Ruiqi & Cheng, Lilin & Ding, Tao & Liu, Ling & Wei, Zhinong & Sun, Guoqiang, 2021. "Residential load forecasting based on LSTM fusing self-attention mechanism with pooling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  13. Zheng, Zhuang & Sun, Zhankun & Pan, Jia & Luo, Xiaowei, 2021. "An integrated smart home energy management model based on a pyramid taxonomy for residential houses with photovoltaic-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
  14. Lork, Clement & Li, Wen-Tai & Qin, Yan & Zhou, Yuren & Yuen, Chau & Tushar, Wayes & Saha, Tapan K., 2020. "An uncertainty-aware deep reinforcement learning framework for residential air conditioning energy management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
  15. Xue-Bo Jin & Wei-Zhen Zheng & Jian-Lei Kong & Xiao-Yi Wang & Yu-Ting Bai & Ting-Li Su & Seng Lin, 2021. "Deep-Learning Forecasting Method for Electric Power Load via Attention-Based Encoder-Decoder with Bayesian Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.
  16. Saima Akhtar & Sulman Shahzad & Asad Zaheer & Hafiz Sami Ullah & Heybet Kilic & Radomir Gono & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Models: A Review of Challenges, Progress, and the Road Ahead," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-29, May.
  17. Li, Yiyan & Zhang, Si & Hu, Rongxing & Lu, Ning, 2021. "A meta-learning based distribution system load forecasting model selection framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
  18. Sanlei Dang & Long Peng & Jingming Zhao & Jiajie Li & Zhengmin Kong, 2022. "A Quantile Regression Random Forest-Based Short-Term Load Probabilistic Forecasting Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
  19. Xu, Lei & Wang, Shengwei & Tang, Rui, 2019. "Probabilistic load forecasting for buildings considering weather forecasting uncertainty and uncertain peak load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 180-195.
  20. Aslam, Sheraz & Herodotou, Herodotos & Mohsin, Syed Muhammad & Javaid, Nadeem & Ashraf, Nouman & Aslam, Shahzad, 2021. "A survey on deep learning methods for power load and renewable energy forecasting in smart microgrids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  21. Fanidhar Dewangan & Almoataz Y. Abdelaziz & Monalisa Biswal, 2023. "Load Forecasting Models in Smart Grid Using Smart Meter Information: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-55, January.
  22. Cheng, Haoyuan & Lu, Tianguang & Hao, Ran & Li, Jiamei & Ai, Qian, 2024. "Incentive-based demand response optimization method based on federated learning with a focus on user privacy protection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
  23. Morais, Lucas Barros Scianni & Aquila, Giancarlo & de Faria, Victor Augusto Durães & Lima, Luana Medeiros Marangon & Lima, José Wanderley Marangon & de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo, 2023. "Short-term load forecasting using neural networks and global climate models: An application to a large-scale electrical power system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
  24. Wang, Shaomin & Wang, Shouxiang & Chen, Haiwen & Gu, Qiang, 2020. "Multi-energy load forecasting for regional integrated energy systems considering temporal dynamic and coupling characteristics," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  25. Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  26. Roth, Jonathan & Martin, Amory & Miller, Clayton & Jain, Rishee K., 2020. "SynCity: Using open data to create a synthetic city of hourly building energy estimates by integrating data-driven and physics-based methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
  27. Rongheng Lin & Shuo Chen & Zheyu He & Budan Wu & Hua Zou & Xin Zhao & Qiushuang Li, 2024. "Electricity Behavior Modeling and Anomaly Detection Services Based on a Deep Variational Autoencoder Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-20, August.
  28. Jiang, He & Dong, Yawei & Dong, Yao & Wang, Jianzhou, 2024. "Power load forecasting based on spatial–temporal fusion graph convolution network," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  29. Wang, Jianguo & Han, Lincheng & Zhang, Xiuyu & Wang, Yingzhou & Zhang, Shude, 2023. "Electrical load forecasting based on variable T-distribution and dual attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  30. Brusaferri, Alessandro & Matteucci, Matteo & Spinelli, Stefano & Vitali, Andrea, 2022. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting through Bayesian Mixture Density Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  31. Diogo M. F. Izidio & Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto & Luciano Barbosa & João F. L. de Oliveira & Manoel Henrique da Nóbrega Marinho & Guilherme Ferretti Rissi, 2021. "Evolutionary Hybrid System for Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Meters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
  32. Sharma, Abhishek & Jain, Sachin Kumar, 2022. "A novel seasonal segmentation approach for day-ahead load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
  33. Teng, Sin Yong & Máša, Vítězslav & Touš, Michal & Vondra, Marek & Lam, Hon Loong & Stehlík, Petr, 2022. "Waste-to-energy forecasting and real-time optimization: An anomaly-aware approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 142-155.
  34. Benalcazar, Pablo & Kalka, Maciej & Kamiński, Jacek, 2024. "From consumer to prosumer: A model-based analysis of costs and benefits of grid-connected residential PV-battery systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  35. Mingliang Bai & Jinfu Liu & Yujia Ma & Xinyu Zhao & Zhenhua Long & Daren Yu, 2020. "Long Short-Term Memory Network-Based Normal Pattern Group for Fault Detection of Three-Shaft Marine Gas Turbine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-22, December.
  36. He, Yaoyao & Cao, Chaojin & Wang, Shuo & Fu, Hong, 2022. "Nonparametric probabilistic load forecasting based on quantile combination in electrical power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  37. Andrés M. Alonso & Francisco J. Nogales & Carlos Ruiz, 2020. "A Single Scalable LSTM Model for Short-Term Forecasting of Massive Electricity Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-19, October.
  38. Yu, Binbin & Li, Jianjing & Liu, Che & Sun, Bo, 2022. "A novel short-term electrical load forecasting framework with intelligent feature engineering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  39. Qiu, Dawei & Dong, Zihang & Zhang, Xi & Wang, Yi & Strbac, Goran, 2022. "Safe reinforcement learning for real-time automatic control in a smart energy-hub," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
  40. Seok-Jun Bu & Sung-Bae Cho, 2020. "Time Series Forecasting with Multi-Headed Attention-Based Deep Learning for Residential Energy Consumption," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-16, September.
  41. Henni, Sarah & Becker, Jonas & Staudt, Philipp & vom Scheidt, Frederik & Weinhardt, Christof, 2022. "Industrial peak shaving with battery storage using a probabilistic forecasting approach: Economic evaluation of risk attitude," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  42. Xu, Xiuqin & Chen, Ying & Goude, Yannig & Yao, Qiwei, 2021. "Day-ahead probabilistic forecasting for French half-hourly electricity loads and quantiles for curve-to-curve regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
  43. Xing, Zhuoqun & Pan, Yiqun & Yang, Yiting & Yuan, Xiaolei & Liang, Yumin & Huang, Zhizhong, 2024. "Transfer learning integrating similarity analysis for short-term and long-term building energy consumption prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
  44. Wang, Yun & Chen, Tuo & Zou, Runmin & Song, Dongran & Zhang, Fan & Zhang, Lingjun, 2022. "Ensemble probabilistic wind power forecasting with multi-scale features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 734-751.
  45. Prasertsak Charoen & Nathavuth Kitbutrawat & Jasada Kudtongngam, 2022. "A Demand Response Implementation with Building Energy Management System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, February.
  46. Park, Jungyeon & Alvarenga, Estêvão & Jeon, Jooyoung & Li, Ran & Petropoulos, Fotios & Kim, Hokyun & Ahn, Kwangwon, 2024. "Probabilistic forecast-based portfolio optimization of electricity demand at low aggregation levels," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
  47. Hui, Hongxun & Ding, Yi & Song, Yonghua & Rahman, Saifur, 2019. "Modeling and control of flexible loads for frequency regulation services considering compensation of communication latency and detection error," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 161-174.
  48. He Jiang & Weihua Zheng, 2022. "Deep learning with regularized robust long‐ and short‐term memory network for probabilistic short‐term load forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1201-1216, September.
  49. Wang, Wei & Feng, Bin & Huang, Gang & Guo, Chuangxin & Liao, Wenlong & Chen, Zhe, 2023. "Conformal asymmetric multi-quantile generative transformer for day-ahead wind power interval prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
  50. Giancarlo Aquila & Lucas Barros Scianni Morais & Victor Augusto Durães de Faria & José Wanderley Marangon Lima & Luana Medeiros Marangon Lima & Anderson Rodrigo de Queiroz, 2023. "An Overview of Short-Term Load Forecasting for Electricity Systems Operational Planning: Machine Learning Methods and the Brazilian Experience," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-35, November.
  51. Mengran Zhou & Tianyu Hu & Kai Bian & Wenhao Lai & Feng Hu & Oumaima Hamrani & Ziwei Zhu, 2021. "Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and Grey Wolf Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-17, August.
  52. Zhang, Bin & Hu, Weihao & Cao, Di & Ghias, Amer M.Y.M. & Chen, Zhe, 2023. "Novel Data-Driven decentralized coordination model for electric vehicle aggregator and energy hub entities in multi-energy system using an improved multi-agent DRL approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
  53. Tang, Qinghu & Guo, Hongye & Zheng, Kedi & Chen, Qixin, 2024. "Forecasting individual bids in real electricity markets through machine learning framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 363(C).
  54. Wang, Yun & Xu, Houhua & Zou, Runmin & Zhang, Lingjun & Zhang, Fan, 2022. "A deep asymmetric Laplace neural network for deterministic and probabilistic wind power forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 497-517.
  55. Wen, Lulu & Zhou, Kaile & Li, Jun & Wang, Shanyong, 2020. "Modified deep learning and reinforcement learning for an incentive-based demand response model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
  56. Wang, Yun & Xu, Houhua & Song, Mengmeng & Zhang, Fan & Li, Yifen & Zhou, Shengchao & Zhang, Lingjun, 2023. "A convolutional Transformer-based truncated Gaussian density network with data denoising for wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
  57. Wang, Peng & Li, Yanting & Zhang, Guangyao, 2023. "Probabilistic power curve estimation based on meteorological factors and density LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
  58. Jing Liu & Xin-Lei Zhou & Lu-Qi Zhang & Yue-Ping Xu, 2023. "Forecasting Short-term Water Demands with an Ensemble Deep Learning Model for a Water Supply System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(8), pages 2991-3012, June.
  59. He Jiang & Sheng Pan & Yao Dong & Jianzhou Wang, 2024. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting based on penalized temporal fusion transformer," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1465-1491, August.
  60. Li, Guannan & Li, Fan & Ahmad, Tanveer & Liu, Jiangyan & Li, Tao & Fang, Xi & Wu, Yubei, 2022. "Performance evaluation of sequence-to-sequence-Attention model for short-term multi-step ahead building energy predictions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
  61. Hany Habbak & Mohamed Mahmoud & Khaled Metwally & Mostafa M. Fouda & Mohamed I. Ibrahem, 2023. "Load Forecasting Techniques and Their Applications in Smart Grids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-33, February.
  62. Haben, Stephen & Arora, Siddharth & Giasemidis, Georgios & Voss, Marcus & Vukadinović Greetham, Danica, 2021. "Review of low voltage load forecasting: Methods, applications, and recommendations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
  63. Paweł Pełka, 2023. "Analysis and Forecasting of Monthly Electricity Demand Time Series Using Pattern-Based Statistical Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-22, January.
  64. Zhang, Shu & Wang, Yi & Zhang, Yutian & Wang, Dan & Zhang, Ning, 2020. "Load probability density forecasting by transforming and combining quantile forecasts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
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