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Un exemple d'estimation de la demande de transport urbain

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  • Stéphanie Souche

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

An example in urban transport demand estimation. - In order to better understand tomorrow's cities, we need to work on urban transport demand estimation. In this paper, we aim at defining an urban mobility demand model built on the main structural variables currently identified in the literature. By applying it to three Chinese cities, we obtain different evolution scenarios that underline the dominance of the two following variables: average user cost for a trip (in individual cars or public transport) and urban density. Surprisingly enough, the demand estimation functions appear to be independant from the country group variable, though this may be explained by the limited data available. Nevertheless, this application to the Chinese environnement gives us a first empirical result to work on.

Suggested Citation

  • Stéphanie Souche, 2009. "Un exemple d'estimation de la demande de transport urbain," Post-Print halshs-00579638, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00579638
    DOI: 10.3917/reru.094.0759
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00579638
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