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Agricultural Impact of Climate Change: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Special Reference to Southeast Asia

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  • Fan Zhai
  • Juzhong Zhuang

Abstract

Capitalizing on the most recent worldwide estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture production, this paper assesses the economic effects of climate change for Southeast Asian countries through 2080. However, the uneven distribution of productivity losses across global regions would bring significant structural adjustments in world wide agriculture production and trade, leaving the developed country as the net loser. The expected increase of crop import dependence in the coming decades would make most Southeast Asian economies suffer more welfare losses through deterioration of terms of trade. To cope with the potential agricultural damages, Southeast Asia must concentrate on reversing its current trend of declining agricultural productivity. [ ADBI WP no 131]

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  • Fan Zhai & Juzhong Zhuang, 2009. "Agricultural Impact of Climate Change: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Special Reference to Southeast Asia," Working Papers id:1921, eSocialSciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:ess:wpaper:id:1921
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    7. Camila Agudelo-Rivera & Clark Granger-Castaño & Andrés Sánchez-Jabba, 2022. "The Expected Effects of Climate Change on Colombia’s Current Account," Borradores de Economia 1214, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    8. Kumar, Ajay & Sharma, Pritee, 2013. "Impact of climate variation on agricultural productivity and food security in rural India," Economics Discussion Papers 2013-43, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    9. Somayeh Meyghani & Mahdi Khodaparast Mashhadi & Narges Salehnia, 2023. "Long-term effects of temperature and precipitation on economic growth of selected MENA region countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 7325-7343, July.
    10. Ajay Kumar, 2014. "Climate Change and Sugarcane Productivity in India: An Econometric Analysis," Journal of Social and Development Sciences, AMH International, vol. 5(2), pages 111-122.
    11. Qi Cui & Tariq Ali & Wei Xie & Jikun Huang & Jinxia Wang, 2022. "The uncertainty of climate change impacts on China’s agricultural economy based on an integrated assessment approach," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 1-22, March.
    12. Yu, Bingxin & Zhu, Tingju & Breisinger, Clemens & Hai, Nguyen Manh, 2010. "Impacts of climate change on agriculture and policy options for adaptation: The case of Vietnam," IFPRI discussion papers 1015, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    13. Pervez Zamurrad Janjua & Ghulam Samad & Nazakat Ullah Khan, 2010. "Impact of Climate Change on Wheat Production: A Case Study of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 799-822.
    14. Sangam Shrestha & Proloy Deb & Thi Bui, 2016. "Adaptation strategies for rice cultivation under climate change in Central Vietnam," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 15-37, January.
    15. Andualem Begashaw & Mengistu Ketema & Abule Mehare & Mesay Yami & Shiferaw Feleke & Tahirou Abdoulaye, 2024. "Climate Change Adaptation Strategies and Its Impact on Household Vulnerability to Food Insecurity: A Micro-Level Evidence from Southwest Ethiopia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-16, July.
    16. Yu, Bingxin & Zhu, Tingju & Breisinger, Clemens & Manh Hai, Nguyen, 2012. "Examine the Agriculture, Poverty, and Climate Change Nexus in Vietnam," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126876, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    17. Yamaura, Koichi & Sakaue, Shin & Washida, Toyoaki, 2017. "Regional and Sectoral Impacts of Global Warming and Agricultural Production: A Case of CGE Analyses," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 19.
    18. Pradhan, Basanta K. & Ghosh, Joydeep, 2019. "Climate policy vs. agricultural productivity shocks in a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling framework: The case of a developing economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 55-69.

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