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Heuristic Optimisation in Financial Modelling

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  • Manfred Gilli
  • Enrico Schumann

Abstract

There is a large number of optimisation problems in theoretical and applied finance that are difficult to solve as they exhibit multiple local optima or are not ‘well- behaved’ in other ways (eg, discontinuities in the objective function). One way to deal with such problems is to adjust and to simplify them, for instance by dropping constraints, until they can be solved with standard numerical methods. This paper argues that an alternative approach is the application of optimisation heuristics like Simulated Annealing or Genetic Algorithms. These methods have been shown to be capable to handle non-convex optimisation problems with all kinds of constraints. To motivate the use of such techniques in finance, the paper presents several actual problems where classical methods fail. Next, several well-known heuristic techniques that may be deployed in such cases are described. Since such presentations are quite general, the paper describes in some detail how a particular problem, portfolio selection, can be tackled by a particular heuristic method, Threshold Accepting. Finally, the stochastics of the solutions obtained from heuristics are discussed. It is shown, again for the example from portfolio selection, how this random character of the solutions can be exploited to inform the distribution of computations.

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  • Manfred Gilli & Enrico Schumann, 2009. "Heuristic Optimisation in Financial Modelling," Working Papers 007, COMISEF.
  • Handle: RePEc:com:wpaper:007
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    3. Gaudard, Ludovic, 2015. "Pumped-storage project: A short to long term investment analysis including climate change," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 91-99.
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    5. T. Gärtner & S. Kaniovski & Y. Kaniovski, 2021. "Numerical estimates of risk factors contingent on credit ratings," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 563-589, October.
    6. Eudald Romo & Luis Ortiz-Gracia, 2021. "SWIFT calibration of the Heston model," Papers 2103.01570, arXiv.org.
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    9. Gregory Gadzinski & Markus Schuller & Shabnam Mousavi, 2022. "Long-lasting heuristics principles for efficient investment decisions," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(4), pages 570-583, March.
    10. Gaudard, Ludovic & Madani, Kaveh, 2019. "Energy storage race: Has the monopoly of pumped-storage in Europe come to an end?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 22-29.
    11. G.A. Vijayalakshmi Pai & Thierry Michel, 2012. "Integrated Metaheuristic Optimization Of 130–30 Investment‐Strategy‐Based Long–Short Portfolios," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 43-74, January.
    12. Mansini, Renata & Ogryczak, Wlodzimierz & Speranza, M. Grazia, 2014. "Twenty years of linear programming based portfolio optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 518-535.
    13. Doering, Jana & Kizys, Renatas & Juan, Angel A. & Fitó, Àngels & Polat, Onur, 2019. "Metaheuristics for rich portfolio optimisation and risk management: Current state and future trends," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 6(C).
    14. Ardia, David & Boudt, Kris & Carl, Peter & Mullen, Katharine M. & Peterson, Brian, 2010. "Differential Evolution (DEoptim) for Non-Convex Portfolio Optimization," MPRA Paper 22135, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Filipa Fernandes & Charalampos Stasinakis & Zivile Zekaite, 2019. "Forecasting government bond spreads with heuristic models: evidence from the Eurozone periphery," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 87-118, November.
    16. Giuseppe Montesi & Giovanni Papiro & Massimiliano Fazzini & Alessandro Ronga, 2020. "Stochastic Optimization System for Bank Reverse Stress Testing," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-44, August.
    17. Billio, Monica & Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele, 2015. "Backward/forward optimal combination of performance measures for equity screening," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 63-83.
    18. Carole Bernard & Massimiliano Caporin & Bertrand Maillet & Xiang Zhang, 2023. "Omega Compatibility: A Meta-analysis," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(2), pages 493-526, August.
    19. Eudald Romo & Luis Ortiz-Gracia, 2021. "SWIFT Calibration of the Heston Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-20, March.
    20. Leonardo Riegel Sant’Anna & Tiago Pascoal Filomena & Pablo Cristini Guedes & Denis Borenstein, 2017. "Index tracking with controlled number of assets using a hybrid heuristic combining genetic algorithm and non-linear programming," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 258(2), pages 849-867, November.
    21. Sana Ben Hamida & Wafa Abdelmalek & Fathi Abid, 2020. "Applying Dynamic Training-Subset Selection Methods Using Genetic Programming for Forecasting Implied Volatility," Papers 2007.07207, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimisation heuristics; Financial Optimisation; Portfolio Optimisation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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