IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2011.05589.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Portfolio Liquidation Games with Self-Exciting Order Flow

Author

Listed:
  • Guanxing Fu
  • Ulrich Horst
  • Xiaonyu Xia

Abstract

We analyze novel portfolio liquidation games with self-exciting order flow. Both the N-player game and the mean-field game are considered. We assume that players' trading activities have an impact on the dynamics of future market order arrivals thereby generating an additional transient price impact. Given the strategies of her competitors each player solves a mean-field control problem. We characterize open-loop Nash equilibria in both games in terms of a novel mean-field FBSDE system with unknown terminal condition. Under a weak interaction condition we prove that the FBSDE systems have unique solutions. Using a novel sufficient maximum principle that does not require convexity of the cost function we finally prove that the solution of the FBSDE systems do indeed provide existence and uniqueness of open-loop Nash equilibria.

Suggested Citation

  • Guanxing Fu & Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2020. "Portfolio Liquidation Games with Self-Exciting Order Flow," Papers 2011.05589, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.05589
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2011.05589
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alexander Schied & Tao Zhang, 2019. "A Market Impact Game Under Transient Price Impact," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 102-121, February.
    2. Obizhaeva, Anna A. & Wang, Jiang, 2013. "Optimal trading strategy and supply/demand dynamics," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 1-32.
    3. Emmanuel Bacry & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2015. "Hawkes processes in finance," Papers 1502.04592, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    4. David Evangelista & Yuri Thamsten, 2020. "On finite population games of optimal trading," Papers 2004.00790, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    5. Paulwin Graewe & Ulrich Horst, 2016. "Optimal Trade Execution with Instantaneous Price Impact and Stochastic Resilience," Papers 1611.03435, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
    6. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 183-218, January.
    7. Alexander Schied & Elias Strehle & Tao Zhang, 2015. "High-frequency limit of Nash equilibria in a market impact game with transient price impact," Papers 1509.08281, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    8. Buckdahn, Rainer & Li, Juan & Peng, Shige, 2009. "Mean-field backward stochastic differential equations and related partial differential equations," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(10), pages 3133-3154, October.
    9. Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2013. "Limit theorems for nearly unstable Hawkes processes," Papers 1310.2033, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    10. Ulrich Horst & Wei Xu, 2019. "The Microstructure of Stochastic Volatility Models with Self-Exciting Jump Dynamics," Papers 1911.12969, arXiv.org.
    11. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Post-Print hal-00971369, HAL.
    12. Horst, Ulrich, 2005. "Stationary equilibria in discounted stochastic games with weakly interacting players," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 83-108, April.
    13. E. Bacry & S. Delattre & M. Hoffmann & J. F. Muzy, 2013. "Modelling microstructure noise with mutually exciting point processes," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 65-77, January.
    14. Philippe Casgrain & Sebastian Jaimungal, 2020. "Mean‐field games with differing beliefs for algorithmic trading," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 995-1034, July.
    15. Jim Gatheral & Alexander Schied, 2011. "Optimal Trade Execution Under Geometric Brownian Motion In The Almgren And Chriss Framework," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 353-368.
    16. Emmanuel Bacry & Sylvain Delattre & Marc Hoffmann & Jean-François Muzy, 2013. "Modelling microstructure noise with mutually exciting point processes," Post-Print hal-01313995, HAL.
    17. Antje Fruth & Torsten Schöneborn & Mikhail Urusov, 2014. "Optimal Trade Execution And Price Manipulation In Order Books With Time-Varying Liquidity," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 651-695, October.
    18. Aurélien Alfonsi & Pierre Blanc, 2016. "Dynamic optimal execution in a mixed-market-impact Hawkes price model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 183-218, January.
    19. Samuel Drapeau & Peng Luo & Alexander Schied & Dewen Xiong, 2019. "An FBSDE approach to market impact games with stochastic parameters," Papers 2001.00622, arXiv.org.
    20. Graewe, Paulwin & Horst, Ulrich & Séré, Eric, 2018. "Smooth solutions to portfolio liquidation problems under price-sensitive market impact," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(3), pages 979-1006.
    21. Peter Kratz, 2014. "An Explicit Solution of a Nonlinear-Quadratic Constrained Stochastic Control Problem with Jumps: Optimal Liquidation in Dark Pools with Adverse Selection," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(4), pages 1198-1220, November.
    22. Bertsimas, Dimitris & Lo, Andrew W., 1998. "Optimal control of execution costs," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 1-50, April.
    23. Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2019. "Multi-dimensional optimal trade execution under stochastic resilience," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 889-923, October.
    24. Bruce Ian Carlin & Miguel Sousa Lobo & S. Viswanathan, 2007. "Episodic Liquidity Crises: Cooperative and Predatory Trading," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 62(5), pages 2235-2274, October.
    25. Omar Euch & Masaaki Fukasawa & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "The microstructural foundations of leverage effect and rough volatility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 241-280, April.
    26. Ulrich Horst & Jinniao Qiu & Qi Zhang, 2014. "A Constrained Control Problem with Degenerate Coefficients and Degenerate Backward SPDEs with Singular Terminal Condition," Papers 1407.0108, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
    27. Paulwin Graewe & Ulrich Horst & Jinniao Qiu, 2013. "A Non-Markovian Liquidation Problem and Backward SPDEs with Singular Terminal Conditions," Papers 1309.0461, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
    28. Xuancheng Huang & Sebastian Jaimungal & Mojtaba Nourian, 2019. "Mean-Field Game Strategies for Optimal Execution," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 153-185, March.
    29. Kruse, T. & Popier, A., 2016. "Minimal supersolutions for BSDEs with singular terminal condition and application to optimal position targeting," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(9), pages 2554-2592.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Paulwin Graewe & Ulrich Horst & Ronnie Sircar, 2021. "A Maximum Principle approach to deterministic Mean Field Games of Control with Absorption," Papers 2104.06152, arXiv.org.
    2. Peter Bank & 'Alvaro Cartea & Laura Korber, 2023. "Optimal execution and speculation with trade signals," Papers 2306.00621, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    3. Eyal Neuman & Moritz Vo{ss}, 2021. "Trading with the Crowd," Papers 2106.09267, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    4. Moritz Voß, 2022. "A two-player portfolio tracking game," Mathematics and Financial Economics, Springer, volume 16, number 6, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fu, Guanxing & Horst, Ulrich & Xia, Xiaonyu, 2022. "Portfolio Liquidation Games with Self-Exciting Order Flow," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 327, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    2. Guanxing Fu & Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2022. "Portfolio liquidation games with self‐exciting order flow," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 1020-1065, October.
    3. Guanxing Fu & Paul P. Hager & Ulrich Horst, 2023. "Mean-Field Liquidation Games with Market Drop-out," Papers 2303.05783, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    4. Julia Ackermann & Thomas Kruse & Mikhail Urusov, 2021. "Càdlàg semimartingale strategies for optimal trade execution in stochastic order book models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 757-810, October.
    5. Julia Ackermann & Thomas Kruse & Mikhail Urusov, 2020. "C\`adl\`ag semimartingale strategies for optimal trade execution in stochastic order book models," Papers 2006.05863, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    6. Guanxing Fu & Paul P. Hager & Ulrich Horst, 2024. "A Mean-Field Game of Market Entry: Portfolio Liquidation with Trading Constraints," Papers 2403.10441, arXiv.org.
    7. Da Fonseca, José & Malevergne, Yannick, 2021. "A simple microstructure model based on the Cox-BESQ process with application to optimal execution policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    8. Julia Ackermann & Thomas Kruse & Mikhail Urusov, 2020. "Optimal trade execution in an order book model with stochastic liquidity parameters," Papers 2006.05843, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
    9. Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2019. "Multi-dimensional optimal trade execution under stochastic resilience," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 889-923, October.
    10. Ulrich Horst & Evgueni Kivman, 2021. "Optimal trade execution under small market impact and portfolio liquidation with semimartingale strategies," Papers 2103.05957, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    11. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Papers 2005.05730, arXiv.org.
    12. Paulwin Graewe & Ulrich Horst, 2016. "Optimal Trade Execution with Instantaneous Price Impact and Stochastic Resilience," Papers 1611.03435, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2017.
    13. Max O. Souza & Yuri Thamsten, 2021. "On regularized optimal execution problems and their singular limits," Papers 2101.02731, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    14. Sadoghi, Amirhossein & Vecer, Jan, 2022. "Optimal liquidation problem in illiquid markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(3), pages 1050-1066.
    15. Amirhossein Sadoghi & Jan Vecer, 2022. "Optimal liquidation problem in illiquid markets," Post-Print hal-03696768, HAL.
    16. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2020. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Working Papers hal-02998555, HAL.
    17. Antoine Fosset & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Michael Benzaquen, 2021. "Non-parametric Estimation of Quadratic Hawkes Processes for Order Book Events," Post-Print hal-02998555, HAL.
    18. Dupret, Jean-Loup & Hainaut, Donatien, 2023. "Optimal liquidation under indirect price impact with propagator," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023012, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    19. Ulrich Horst & Evgueni Kivman, 2024. "Optimal trade execution under small market impact and portfolio liquidation with semimartingale strategies," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 759-812, July.
    20. José Da Fonseca & Riadh Zaatour, 2017. "Correlation and Lead–Lag Relationships in a Hawkes Microstructure Model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 260-285, March.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.05589. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.