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The Microstructure of Stochastic Volatility Models with Self-Exciting Jump Dynamics

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  • Ulrich Horst
  • Wei Xu

Abstract

We provide a general probabilistic framework within which we establish scaling limits for a class of continuous-time stochastic volatility models with self-exciting jump dynamics. In the scaling limit, the joint dynamics of asset returns and volatility is driven by independent Gaussian white noises and two independent Poisson random measures that capture the arrival of exogenous shocks and the arrival of self-excited shocks, respectively. Various well-studied stochastic volatility models with and without self-exciting price/volatility co-jumps are obtained as special cases under different scaling regimes. We analyze the impact of external shocks on the market dynamics, especially their impact on jump cascades and show in a mathematically rigorous manner that many small external shocks may tigger endogenous jump cascades in asset returns and stock price volatility.

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  • Ulrich Horst & Wei Xu, 2019. "The Microstructure of Stochastic Volatility Models with Self-Exciting Jump Dynamics," Papers 1911.12969, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1911.12969
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Guanxing Fu & Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2020. "Portfolio Liquidation Games with Self-Exciting Order Flow," Papers 2011.05589, arXiv.org.
    2. Guanxing Fu & Ulrich Horst & Xiaonyu Xia, 2022. "Portfolio liquidation games with self‐exciting order flow," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 1020-1065, October.
    3. M.E. Mancino & S. Scotti & G. Toscano, 2020. "Is the Variance Swap Rate Affine in the Spot Variance? Evidence from S&P500 Data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 288-316, July.
    4. Fu, Guanxing & Horst, Ulrich & Xia, Xiaonyu, 2022. "Portfolio Liquidation Games with Self-Exciting Order Flow," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 327, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    5. Horst, Ulrich & Xu, Wei, 2021. "Functional limit theorems for marked Hawkes point measures," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 94-131.

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