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Human Error Contribution in Collision and Grounding of Oil Tankers

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  • Marcelo Ramos Martins
  • Marcos Coelho Maturana

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to present a quantitative analysis of the human failure contribution in the collision and/or grounding of oil tankers, considering the recommendation of the “Guidelines for Formal Safety Assessment” of the International Maritime Organization. Initially, the employed methodology is presented, emphasizing the use of the technique for human error prediction to reach the desired objective. Later, this methodology is applied to a ship operating on the Brazilian coast and, thereafter, the procedure to isolate the human actions with the greatest potential to reduce the risk of an accident is described. Finally, the management and organizational factors presented in the “International Safety Management Code” are associated with these selected actions. Therefore, an operator will be able to decide where to work in order to obtain an effective reduction in the probability of accidents. Even though this study does not present a new methodology, it can be considered as a reference in the human reliability analysis for the maritime industry, which, in spite of having some guides for risk analysis, has few studies related to human reliability effectively applied to the sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcelo Ramos Martins & Marcos Coelho Maturana, 2010. "Human Error Contribution in Collision and Grounding of Oil Tankers," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(4), pages 674-698, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:30:y:2010:i:4:p:674-698
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01392.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A. G. Eleye‐Datubo & A. Wall & J. Wang, 2008. "Marine and Offshore Safety Assessment by Incorporative Risk Modeling in a Fuzzy‐Bayesian Network of an Induced Mass Assignment Paradigm," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(1), pages 95-112, February.
    2. Andrea Bigano & Paul Sheehan, 2006. "Assessing the Risk of Oil Spills in the Mediterranean: the Case of the Route from the Black Sea to Italy," Working Papers 2006.32, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiaoyan Su & Sankaran Mahadevan & Peida Xu & Yong Deng, 2015. "Dependence Assessment in Human Reliability Analysis Using Evidence Theory and AHP," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(7), pages 1296-1316, July.
    2. Weiliang Qiao & Yu Liu & Xiaoxue Ma & Yang Liu, 2020. "Human Factors Analysis for Maritime Accidents Based on a Dynamic Fuzzy Bayesian Network," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(5), pages 957-980, May.
    3. Jiang, Dan & Wu, Bing & Cheng, Zhiyou & Xue, Jie & van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M., 2021. "Towards a probabilistic model for estimation of grounding accidents in fluctuating backwater zone of the Three Gorges Reservoir," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    4. Zhang, Mingyang & Montewka, Jakub & Manderbacka, Teemu & Kujala, Pentti & Hirdaris, Spyros, 2021. "A Big Data Analytics Method for the Evaluation of Ship - Ship Collision Risk reflecting Hydrometeorological Conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    5. Montewka, Jakub & Manderbacka, Teemu & Ruponen, Pekka & Tompuri, Markus & Gil, Mateusz & Hirdaris, Spyros, 2022. "Accident susceptibility index for a passenger ship-a framework and case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    6. Maryam Tabibzadeh & Najmedin Meshkati, 2014. "Learning from the BP Deepwater Horizon accident: risk analysis of human and organizational factors in negative pressure test," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 194-207, June.
    7. Maturana, Marcos Coelho & Martins, Marcelo Ramos & Frutuoso e Melo, Paulo Fernando Ferreira, 2021. "Application of a quantitative human performance model to the operational procedure design of a fuel storage pool cooling system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Kaptan, Mehmet & Uğurlu, Özkan & Wang, Jin, 2021. "The effect of nonconformities encountered in the use of technology on the occurrence of collision, contact and grounding accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    9. Atiq Siddiqui & Manish Verma, 2013. "An Expected Consequence Approach to Route Choice in the Maritime Transportation of Crude Oil," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(11), pages 2041-2055, November.
    10. Ma, Xiaoxue & Deng, Wanyi & Qiao, Weiliang & Lan, He, 2022. "A methodology to quantify the risk propagation of hazardous events for ship grounding accidents based on directed CN," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    11. Patriarca, Riccardo & Ramos, Marilia & Paltrinieri, Nicola & Massaiu, Salvatore & Costantino, Francesco & Di Gravio, Giulio & Boring, Ronald Laurids, 2020. "Human reliability analysis: Exploring the intellectual structure of a research field," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    12. Ung, S.T., 2021. "Navigation Risk estimation using a modified Bayesian Network modeling-a case study in Taiwan," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    13. Wang, Likun & Huang, Ruiling & Shi, Wenming & Zhang, Caiyun, 2021. "Domino effect in marine accidents: Evidence from temporal association rules," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 236-244.
    14. Marcelo Ramos Martins & Marco Aurélio Pestana & Enrique Andrés López Droguett, 2020. "A Methodology for Assessing the Probability of Occurrence of Undesired Events in the Tietê–Paraná Inland Waterway Based on Expert Opinion," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(6), pages 1279-1301, June.
    15. Cai, Mingyou & Zhang, Jinfen & Zhang, Di & Yuan, Xiaoli & Soares, C. Guedes, 2021. "Collision risk analysis on ferry ships in Jiangsu Section of the Yangtze River based on AIS data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    16. Michele Bristow & Liping Fang & Keith W. Hipel, 2012. "System of Systems Engineering and Risk Management of Extreme Events: Concepts and Case Study," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(11), pages 1935-1955, November.
    17. Gino J. Lim & Jaeyoung Cho & Selim Bora & Taofeek Biobaku & Hamid Parsaei, 2018. "Models and computational algorithms for maritime risk analysis: a review," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 271(2), pages 765-786, December.
    18. J Montewka & P Krata & F Goerlandt & A Mazaheri & P Kujala, 2011. "Marine traffic risk modelling – an innovative approach and a case study," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 225(3), pages 307-322, September.
    19. Yamin Huang & P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder, 2020. "Time‐Varying Risk Measurement for Ship Collision Prevention," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(1), pages 24-42, January.

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