IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v34y2020i15d10.1007_s11269-020-02699-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A New Predictive Model for Evaluating Chlorophyll-a Concentration in Tanes Reservoir by Using a Gaussian Process Regression

Author

Listed:
  • Paulino José García-Nieto

    (University of Oviedo)

  • Esperanza García-Gonzalo

    (University of Oviedo)

  • José Ramón Alonso Fernández

    (Spanish Ministry for the Ecological Transition and Demographic Challenge)

  • Cristina Díaz Muñiz

    (Spanish Ministry for the Ecological Transition and Demographic Challenge)

Abstract

Chlorophyll-a (hereafter referred to as Chl-a) is a recognized indicator for phytoplankton abundance and biomass –hence, an effective estimation of the trophic condition– of water bodies as lakes, reservoirs and oceans. Indeed, Chl-a is the primary molecule responsible for photosynthesis. A strong and robust Bayesian nonparametric technique, termed Gaussian process regression (GPR) approach, for foretelling the dependent variable Chl-a concentration in Tanes reservoir from a dataset concerning to 268 samples is shown in this paper. Ten years (2006–2015) of monitoring water quality variables (biological and physico-chemical independent variables) in the Tanes reservoir were used to build this mathematical GPR-relied model. As an optimizer, the method known as Limited-memory Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (LBFGSB) iterative algorithm was used; this allows the selection of kernel optimal parameters during the GPR training phase, which greatly determines the regression precision. The results of the current investigation can be summarized in two. Firstly, the relevance of each input variable on Chl-a concentration in Tanes reservoir is determined. Secondly, the Chl-a can be successfully predicted using this hybrid LBFGSB/GPR–relied model (R2 and r values were 0.8597 and 0.9306, respectively). The concordance between observed data and the model clearly proves the high efficiency of this innovative approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulino José García-Nieto & Esperanza García-Gonzalo & José Ramón Alonso Fernández & Cristina Díaz Muñiz, 2020. "A New Predictive Model for Evaluating Chlorophyll-a Concentration in Tanes Reservoir by Using a Gaussian Process Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(15), pages 4921-4941, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02699-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-020-02699-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-020-02699-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-020-02699-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marie-Pier Schinck & Chloé L’Ecuyer-Sauvageau & Justin Leroux & Charlène Kermagoret & Jérôme Dupras, 2020. "Risk, Drinking Water and Harmful Algal Blooms: A Contingent Valuation of Water Bans," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(12), pages 3933-3947, September.
    2. Li, Meng & Sadoughi, Mohammadkazem & Hu, Zhen & Hu, Chao, 2020. "A hybrid Gaussian process model for system reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    3. Cai, Haoshu & Jia, Xiaodong & Feng, Jianshe & Li, Wenzhe & Hsu, Yuan-Ming & Lee, Jay, 2020. "Gaussian Process Regression for numerical wind speed prediction enhancement," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 2112-2123.
    4. J. Vilán Vilán & J. Alonso Fernández & P. García Nieto & F. Sánchez Lasheras & F. de Cos Juez & C. Díaz Muñiz, 2013. "Support Vector Machines and Multilayer Perceptron Networks Used to Evaluate the Cyanotoxins Presence from Experimental Cyanobacteria Concentrations in the Trasona Reservoir (Northern Spain)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3457-3476, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Jiawei & Wan, Liangqi, 2024. "Reliability sensitivity analysis for RBSMC: A high-efficiency multiple response Gaussian process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chang, Miaoxin & Huang, Xianzhen & Coolen, Frank PA & Coolen-Maturi, Tahani, 2023. "New reliability model for complex systems based on stochastic processes and survival signature," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 1349-1364.
    2. Chang-ming Ji & Ting Zhou & Hai-tao Huang, 2014. "Operating Rules Derivation of Jinsha Reservoirs System with Parameter Calibrated Support Vector Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(9), pages 2435-2451, July.
    3. García Nieto, P.J. & García-Gonzalo, E. & Sánchez Lasheras, F. & de Cos Juez, F.J., 2015. "Hybrid PSO–SVM-based method for forecasting of the remaining useful life for aircraft engines and evaluation of its reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 219-231.
    4. Li, Ke & Shen, Ruifang & Wang, Zhenguo & Yan, Bowen & Yang, Qingshan & Zhou, Xuhong, 2023. "An efficient wind speed prediction method based on a deep neural network without future information leakage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    5. Zhang, Jiarui & Phaneuf, Daniel J. & Schaeffer, Blake A., 2022. "Property values and cyanobacterial algal blooms: Evidence from satellite monitoring of Inland Lakes," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    6. Koo, A Mi & Kim, Ju-Hee & Yoo, Seung-Hoon, 2022. "Household willingness to pay for a smart water metering and monitoring system: The case of South Korea," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    7. Zhao, Xinyu & Bai, Mingliang & Yang, Xusheng & Liu, Jinfu & Yu, Daren & Chang, Juntao, 2021. "Short-term probabilistic predictions of wind multi-parameter based on one-dimensional convolutional neural network with attention mechanism and multivariate copula distribution estimation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    8. Wang, Yuhao & Gao, Yi & Liu, Yongming & Ghosh, Sayan & Subber, Waad & Pandita, Piyush & Wang, Liping, 2021. "Bayesian-entropy gaussian process for constrained metamodeling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    9. Nadire Cavus & Yakubu Bala Mohammed & Abdulsalam Ya’u Gital & Mohammed Bulama & Adamu Muhammad Tukur & Danlami Mohammed & Muhammad Lamir Isah & Abba Hassan, 2022. "Emotional Artificial Neural Networks and Gaussian Process-Regression-Based Hybrid Machine-Learning Model for Prediction of Security and Privacy Effects on M-Banking Attractiveness," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-21, May.
    10. Yuan, Xiukai & Qian, Yugeng & Chen, Jingqiang & Faes, Matthias G.R. & Valdebenito, Marcos A. & Beer, Michael, 2023. "Global failure probability function estimation based on an adaptive strategy and combination algorithm," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    11. Yan, Bowen & Shen, Ruifang & Li, Ke & Wang, Zhenguo & Yang, Qingshan & Zhou, Xuhong & Zhang, Le, 2023. "Spatio-temporal correlation for simultaneous ultra-short-term wind speed prediction at multiple locations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    12. Mathpati, Yogesh Chandrakant & More, Kalpesh Sanjay & Tripura, Tapas & Nayek, Rajdip & Chakraborty, Souvik, 2023. "MAntRA: A framework for model agnostic reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    13. Sheibani, Mohamadreza & Ou, Ge, 2021. "Adaptive local kernels formulation of mutual information with application to active post-seismic building damage inference," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    14. Zeynep Ceylan, 2020. "Assessment of agricultural energy consumption of Turkey by MLR and Bayesian optimized SVR and GPR models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 944-956, September.
    15. Yang, Mao & Guo, Yunfeng & Fan, Fulin & Huang, Tao, 2024. "Two-stage correction prediction of wind power based on numerical weather prediction wind speed superposition correction and improved clustering," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    16. Zheng, Ling & Zhou, Bin & Or, Siu Wing & Cao, Yijia & Wang, Huaizhi & Li, Yong & Chan, Ka Wing, 2021. "Spatio-temporal wind speed prediction of multiple wind farms using capsule network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 718-730.
    17. Qu, Pengfei & Zhang, Limao & Zhu, Qizhi & Wu, Maozhi, 2023. "Probabilistic reliability assessment of twin tunnels considering fluid–solid coupling with physics-guided machine learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    18. Fidel Díez Díaz & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras & Víctor Moreno & Ferran Moratalla-Navarro & Antonio José Molina de la Torre & Vicente Martín Sánchez, 2021. "GASVeM: A New Machine Learning Methodology for Multi-SNP Analysis of GWAS Data Based on Genetic Algorithms and Support Vector Machines," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-19, March.
    19. Fu, Wenlong & Fu, Yuchen & Li, Bailing & Zhang, Hairong & Zhang, Xuanrui & Liu, Jiarui, 2023. "A compound framework incorporating improved outlier detection and correction, VMD, weight-based stacked generalization with enhanced DESMA for multi-step short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
    20. Duan, Zhu & Liu, Hui & Li, Ye & Nikitas, Nikolaos, 2022. "Time-variant post-processing method for long-term numerical wind speed forecasts based on multi-region recurrent graph network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02699-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.