IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v32y2018i12d10.1007_s11269-018-2042-1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk Assessment of Agricultural Water Conveyance and Delivery Systems by Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis Method

Author

Listed:
  • Morteza Babaei

    (University of Tehran)

  • Abbas Roozbahani

    (University of Tehran)

  • S. Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany

    (University of Tehran)

Abstract

Improving the efficiency of main Agricultural Water Conveyance and Delivery Systems (AWCDS) has a significant impact on improving water productivity in agriculture. Therefore, risk assessment of mentioned systems is necessary to increase reliability of operational performance. Accordingly, this study for the first time presents a unique framework to assess the adequacy, equity, and efficiency of agricultural water distribution and delivery risk assessment within AWCDS. In this way, the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) technique is employed for risk assessment of “undesirability of supply and delivery”. The west Dez main irrigation canal in Khuzestan province of Iran was determined as the case study of the research. A set of questionnaires filled up by managers and experts of this irrigation district, the failure probabilities of the basic events are gathered in the form of linguistic terms. Due to the uncertainty in these terms, the system’s risk assessment to determine the failure probability of the top event was performed based on Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis method (FFTA). The results of the study showed that the failure probability in the fuzzy approach is 0.55 which is roughly 0.15 more than crisp approach. Also, the rating of the basic events based on their contribution to the occurrence of the top event was carried out using importance measures. Five major events were identified with an emphasis on operational and socio-economic issues related to distribution and delivery of water. Comparing the results of risk assessment with the mathematical model reveals that the latter’s failure probability will be less than the system’s FTA due to non-consideration of some important factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Morteza Babaei & Abbas Roozbahani & S. Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany, 2018. "Risk Assessment of Agricultural Water Conveyance and Delivery Systems by Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(12), pages 4079-4101, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-018-2042-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-2042-1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-018-2042-1
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-018-2042-1?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. Hashemy Shahdany & J. Maestre & P. van Overloop, 2015. "Equitable Water Distribution in Main Irrigation Canals with Constrained Water Supply," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3315-3328, July.
    2. Torres, Jacob M. & Brumbelow, Kelly & Guikema, Seth D., 2009. "Risk classification and uncertainty propagation for virtual water distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(8), pages 1259-1273.
    3. Ching, Jianye & Leu, Sou-Sen, 2009. "Bayesian updating of reliability of civil infrastructure facilities based on condition-state data and fault-tree model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(12), pages 1962-1974.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Panagiotis K. Marhavilas & Michael G. Tegas & Georgios K. Koulinas & Dimitrios E. Koulouriotis, 2020. "A Joint Stochastic/Deterministic Process with Multi-Objective Decision Making Risk-Assessment Framework for Sustainable Constructions Engineering Projects—A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
    2. Avargani, Habib Karimi & Hashemy Shahdany, S. Mehdy & Kamrani, Kazem & Maestre, Jose, M. & Hashemi Garmdareh, S. Ebrahim & Liaghat, Abdolmajid, 2022. "Prioritization of surface water distribution in irrigation districts to mitigate crop yield reduction during water scarcity," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    3. Afsaneh Kaghazchi & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany & Alireza Firoozfar, 2022. "Prioritization of agricultural water distribution operating systems based on the sustainable development indicators," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 23-40, February.
    4. Qingwei Xu & Kaili Xu & Fang Zhou, 2020. "Safety Assessment of Casting Workshop by Cloud Model and Cause and Effect–LOPA to Protect Employee Health," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-18, April.
    5. Karimi Avargani, Habib & Hashemy Shahdany, S. Mehdy & Hashemi Garmdareh, S. Ebrahim & Liaghat, Abdolmajid & Guan, Guanghua & Behzadi, Farhad & Milan, Sami Ghordoyee & Berndtsson, Ronny, 2023. "Operational loss estimation in irrigation canals by integrating hydraulic simulation and crop growth modeling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    6. Saeedeh Abedzadeh & Abbas Roozbahani & Ali Heidari, 2020. "Risk Assessment of Water Resources Development Plans Using Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(8), pages 2549-2569, June.
    7. Barkhordari, Soroush & Hashemy Shahdany, Seied Mehdy, 2021. "Developing a smart operating system for fairly distribution of irrigation water, based on social, economic, and environmental considerations," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    8. Habibeh Sharifi & Abbas Roozbahani & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany, 2021. "Evaluating the Performance of Agricultural Water Distribution Systems Using FIS, ANN and ANFIS Intelligent Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1797-1816, April.
    9. Atiyeh Bozorgi & Abbas Roozbahani & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany & Rouzbeh Abbassi, 2021. "Development of Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment Model for Agricultural Water Supply and Distribution Systems Using Bayesian Network," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(10), pages 3139-3159, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gomes, Wellison J.S. & Beck, André T. & Haukaas, Terje, 2013. "Optimal inspection planning for onshore pipelines subject to external corrosion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 18-27.
    2. S. M. Hashemy Shahdany & A. R. Firoozfar, 2017. "Providing a Reliable Water Level Control in Main Canals under Significant Inflow Fluctuations at Drought Periods within Canal Automation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(11), pages 3343-3354, September.
    3. Hassani, Yousef & Hashemy Shahdany, Seied Mehdy & Maestre, J.M. & Zahraie, Banafsheh & Ghorbani, Mohammad & Henneberry, Shida Rastegari & Kulshreshtha, Suren N., 2019. "An economic-operational framework for optimum agricultural water distribution in irrigation districts without water marketing," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 348-361.
    4. Jolfan, Mohsen Hosseini & Hashemy Shahdany, S. Mehdy & Javadi, Saman & Milan, Sami Ghordoyee & Neshat, Aminreza & Berndtsson, Ronny & Tork, Hamed, 2023. "Modernization in agricultural water distribution system for aquifer storage and recovery – A case study," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    5. Afsaneh Kaghazchi & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany & Alireza Firoozfar, 2022. "Prioritization of agricultural water distribution operating systems based on the sustainable development indicators," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 23-40, February.
    6. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Minimization of Expected User Losses Considering Co-resident Attacks in Cloud System with Task Replication and Cancellation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    7. Barkhordari, Soroush & Hashemy Shahdany, Seied Mehdy, 2021. "Developing a smart operating system for fairly distribution of irrigation water, based on social, economic, and environmental considerations," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    8. Moudi Mahdi, 2024. "Enhancing Disparity in Water Distribution within Irrigation Systems Aimed at Improving the Conflict Domain under Alternative Perspectives: A Reliable Multi-Objective Framework," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-14, August.
    9. Hashemy Shahdany, S. Mehdy & Firoozfar, Alireza & Maestre, J.M. & Mallakpour, Iman & Taghvaeian, Saleh & Karimi, Poolad, 2018. "Operational performance improvements in irrigation canals to overcome groundwater overexploitation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 234-246.
    10. Atiyeh Bozorgi & Abbas Roozbahani & Seied Mehdy Hashemy Shahdany & Rouzbeh Abbassi, 2021. "Development of Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment Model for Agricultural Water Supply and Distribution Systems Using Bayesian Network," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(10), pages 3139-3159, August.
    11. Khakzad, Nima & Khan, Faisal & Amyotte, Paul, 2012. "Dynamic risk analysis using bow-tie approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 36-44.
    12. Gregory Levitin & Liudong Xing & Hong‐Zhong Huang, 2019. "Security of Separated Data in Cloud Systems with Competing Attack Detection and Data Theft Processes," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(4), pages 846-858, April.
    13. Jensen, H.A. & Jerez, D.J., 2018. "A Stochastic Framework for Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis of Large Scale Water Distribution Networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 80-92.
    14. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Xiang, Yanping, 2020. "Optimization of time constrained N-version programming service components with competing task execution and version corruption processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    15. Liu, Aihua & Chen, Ke & Huang, Xiaofei & Li, Didi & Zhang, Xiaochun, 2021. "Dynamic risk assessment model of buried gas pipelines based on system dynamics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    16. M. Islam & Rehan Sadiq & Manuel Rodriguez & Homayoun Najjaran & Alex Francisque & Mina Hoorfar, 2013. "Evaluating Water Quality Failure Potential in Water Distribution Systems: A Fuzzy-TOPSIS-OWA-based Methodology," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2195-2216, May.
    17. Xu, Gaowei & Azhari, Fae, 2022. "Data-driven optimization of repair schemes and inspection intervals for highway bridges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    18. Muhammad Zubair & Gyunyoung Heo, 2013. "Advancement in living probabilistic safety assessment to increase safety of nuclear power plants," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 227(5), pages 534-539, October.
    19. Avargani, Habib Karimi & Hashemy Shahdany, S. Mehdy & Kamrani, Kazem & Maestre, Jose, M. & Hashemi Garmdareh, S. Ebrahim & Liaghat, Abdolmajid, 2022. "Prioritization of surface water distribution in irrigation districts to mitigate crop yield reduction during water scarcity," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    20. Pei, Liang & Chen, Chen & He, Kun & Lu, Xiang, 2022. "System reliability of a gravity dam-foundation system using Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-018-2042-1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.