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PCJ River Basins’ Water Availability Caused by Water Diversion Scenarios to Supply Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo

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  • Alba Orellana González
  • Rodrigo Sánchez-Román
  • Marcos Folegatti
  • Cornélio Zolin

Abstract

A dynamic systems simulation model of water resources was developed as a tool to help analyze alternatives to water resources management for the Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Water Basins (RB-PCJ), and used to run six 50-year simulations from 2004 to 2054. The model estimates water supply and demand, as well as contamination load by several consumers. Six runs were performed using a constant mean precipitation value, changing water supply and demand and different volumes diverted from RB-PCJ to RB-Alto Tietê. For the Business as Usual scenario, the Sustainability Index went from 0.44 in 2004 to 0.20 by 2054. The Water Sustainability Index changed from 74% in 2004 to 131% by 2054. The Falkenmark Index changed from 1,403 m 3 person − 1 year − 1 in 2004 to 734 m 3 person − 1 year − 1 by 2054. We concluded that sanitation is one of the major problems for the PCJ River Basins. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Alba Orellana González & Rodrigo Sánchez-Román & Marcos Folegatti & Cornélio Zolin, 2011. "PCJ River Basins’ Water Availability Caused by Water Diversion Scenarios to Supply Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3371-3386, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:13:p:3371-3386
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9860-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
    2. Rodrigo Sánchez-Román & Marcos Folegatti & Alba Orellana González, 2010. "Water Resources Assessment at Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Basins: A Dynamic Systems Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(4), pages 761-773, March.
    3. Ines Winz & Gary Brierley & Sam Trowsdale, 2009. "The Use of System Dynamics Simulation in Water Resources Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(7), pages 1301-1323, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shawei He & Keith Hipel & D. Kilgour, 2014. "Water Diversion Conflicts in China: A Hierarchical Perspective," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(7), pages 1823-1837, May.
    2. Richards, Ryan C. & Rerolle, Julia & Aronson, James & Pereira, Paulo Henrique & Gonçalves, Helena & Brancalion, Pedro H.S., 2015. "Governing a pioneer program on payment for watershed services: Stakeholder involvement, legal frameworks and early lessons from the Atlantic forest of Brazil," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 23-32.

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