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Water Resources Assessment at Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Basins: A Dynamic Systems Approach

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  • Rodrigo Sánchez-Román
  • Marcos Folegatti
  • Alba Orellana González

Abstract

The Piracicaba, Capivari, and Jundiaí River Basins (RB-PCJ) are mainly located in the State of São Paulo, Brazil. Using a dynamics systems simulation model (WRM-PCJ) to assess water resources sustainability, five 50-year simulations were run. WRM-PCJ was developed as a tool to aid decision and policy makers on the RB-PCJ Watershed Committee. The model has 254 variables. The model was calibrated and validated using available information from the 80s. Falkenmark Water Stress Index went from 1,403 m 3 person − 1 year − 1 in 2004 to 734 m 3 P − 1 year − 1 in 2054, and Xu Sustainability Index from 0.44 to 0.20. In 2004, the Keller River Basin Development Phase was Conservation, and by 2054 was Augmentation. The three criteria used to evaluate water resources showed that the watershed is at crucial water resources management turning point. The WRM-PCJ performed well, and it proved to be an excellent tool for decision and policy makers at RB-PCJ. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrigo Sánchez-Román & Marcos Folegatti & Alba Orellana González, 2010. "Water Resources Assessment at Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Basins: A Dynamic Systems Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(4), pages 761-773, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:4:p:761-773
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9470-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
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    1. Alba Orellana González & Rodrigo Sánchez-Román & Marcos Folegatti & Cornélio Zolin, 2011. "PCJ River Basins’ Water Availability Caused by Water Diversion Scenarios to Supply Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3371-3386, October.

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