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A System Dynamics Model to Evaluate Temporary Water Transfers in the Mexican Conchos Basin

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  • Jesús Gastélum
  • Juan Valdés
  • Steven Stewart

Abstract

The flows of the Rio Conchos are of vital economic importance not only to the agricultural sector in the Mexican side of the Rio Grande basin but also for meeting Mexico’s obligation to deliver water to the United States. During the previous decade, a severe drought dramatically decreased the basin’s runoff, generating serious economic, social, and political problems in both countries. A System Dynamics (SD) model designed to serve as a decision-support system (DSS) for water managers has been created. This DSS is a lumped semi-distributed model operating on a monthly basis. This DSS incorporates the most important elements of the Conchos basin’s water resources system: main rivers, irrigation distribution canals, reservoirs, aquifer, and the three Irrigation Districts. The DSS simulates different short and long term scenarios combining inside and outside Irrigation Districts (IDs). Also, different short scenarios are implemented to investigate the benefits of water transfer from México to the United States. This study has prompted awareness with regards to the degree of complexity and uncertainty of the water right allocation process to different economic variables such as crop yield, production costs, crop prices, subsidies, and water distribution efficiencies. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

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  • Jesús Gastélum & Juan Valdés & Steven Stewart, 2010. "A System Dynamics Model to Evaluate Temporary Water Transfers in the Mexican Conchos Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(7), pages 1285-1311, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:7:p:1285-1311
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9497-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Smith, Peter C. & van Ackere, Ann, 2002. "A note on the integration of system dynamics and economic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 1-10, January.
    2. Robinson, John R.C. & Michelsen, Ari M. & Gollehon, Noel R., 2005. "Impact of Water Supply Limitations from Federal Decisions in South Texas," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19464, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Z. Xu & K. Takeuchi & H. Ishidaira & X. Zhang, 2002. "Sustainability Analysis for Yellow River Water Resources Using the System Dynamics Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 16(3), pages 239-261, June.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jesus R. Gastelum & Ganesh Krishnamurthy & Nemesciano Ochoa & Shane Sibbett & Margie Armstrong & Parag Kalaria, 2018. "The Use of System Dynamics Model to Enhance Integrated Resources Planning Implementation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(7), pages 2247-2260, May.
    3. Shrestha, Eleeja & Ahmad, Sajjad & Johnson, Walter & Batista, Jacimaria R., 2012. "The carbon footprint of water management policy options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 201-212.
    4. Elmira Hassanzadeh & Mahdi Zarghami & Yousef Hassanzadeh, 2012. "Determining the Main Factors in Declining the Urmia Lake Level by Using System Dynamics Modeling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(1), pages 129-145, January.
    5. Zarghami, Mahdi & Akbariyeh, Simin, 2012. "System dynamics modeling for complex urban water systems: Application to the city of Tabriz, Iran," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 99-106.
    6. Mehri Abdi-Dehkordi & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Abdolrahim Salavitabar & Erfan Goharian, 2021. "Developing a sustainability assessment framework for integrated management of water resources systems using distributed zoning and system dynamics approaches," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 16246-16282, November.
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    8. Zhiying Shao & Fengping Wu & Fang Li & Yue Zhao & Xia Xu, 2020. "System Dynamics Model for Evaluating Socio-Economic Impacts of Different Water Diversion Quantity from Transboundary River Basins—A Case Study of Xinjiang," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-24, December.

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