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Assessing the impacts of temperature variations on rice yield in China

Author

Listed:
  • Shuai Chen

    (Peking University)

  • Xiaoguang Chen

    (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics)

  • Jintao Xu

    (Peking University)

Abstract

Using a unique county-level panel on single-season paddy rice yield and daily weather outcomes from 1996 to 2009, we examined the impacts of weather variations on paddy rice yield in China. We have five key findings: (i) in contrast to nearly all previous studies focusing on rice production in tropical and subtropical regions, we discovered that higher daily minimum temperature during the vegetative stage increased paddy rice yield; (ii) consistent with previous assessments, we found that higher daily maximum temperature during the vegetative and ripening stages reduced paddy rice yield; (iii) the impacts of sunshine duration and rainfall on paddy rice yield differed across the plant’s growth stages; (iv) estimated weather effects on yield differed by rice variety; and (v) weather variations caused a net economic loss of $17.4–53.0 million to China’s single-season paddy rice sector during the sample period, depending on econometric estimation strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuai Chen & Xiaoguang Chen & Jintao Xu, 2016. "Assessing the impacts of temperature variations on rice yield in China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 138(1), pages 191-205, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:138:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-016-1707-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1707-0
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    1. Chen, Shuai & Chen, Xiaoguang & Xu, Jintao, 2016. "Impacts of climate change on agriculture: Evidence from China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 105-124.
    2. Maximilian Auffhammer & V. Ramanathan & Jeffrey Vincent, 2012. "Climate change, the monsoon, and rice yield in India," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 111(2), pages 411-424, March.
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    7. Michael J. Roberts & Wolfram Schlenker, 2013. "Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(6), pages 2265-2295, October.
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    3. Wenjian He & Yiyang Liu & Huaping Sun & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary, 2020. "How Does Climate Change Affect Rice Yield in China?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, September.
    4. Chen, Xiaoguang & Khanna, Madhu & Yang, Lu, 2021. "Rising Temperatures Reduce Economic Output of Food Processing Firms in China," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 313797, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
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    6. Chen, Xiaoguang & Chen, Shuai, 2018. "China feels the heat: negative impacts of high temperatures on China’s rice sector," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(4), October.

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