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Recent results in the theory and applications of CARMA processes

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  • P. Brockwell

Abstract

Just as ARMA processes play a central role in the representation of stationary time series with discrete time parameter, $$(Y_n)_{n\in \mathbb {Z}}$$ ( Y n ) n ∈ Z , CARMA processes play an analogous role in the representation of stationary time series with continuous time parameter, $$(Y(t))_{t\in \mathbb {R}}$$ ( Y ( t ) ) t ∈ R . Lévy-driven CARMA processes permit the modelling of heavy-tailed and asymmetric time series and incorporate both distributional and sample-path information. In this article we provide a review of the basic theory and applications, emphasizing developments which have occurred since the earlier review in Brockwell ( 2001a , In D. N. Shanbhag and C. R. Rao (Eds.), Handbook of Statistics 19; Stochastic Processes: Theory and Methods (pp. 249–276), Amsterdam: Elsevier). Copyright The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo 2014

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  • P. Brockwell, 2014. "Recent results in the theory and applications of CARMA processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 66(4), pages 647-685, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:aistmt:v:66:y:2014:i:4:p:647-685
    DOI: 10.1007/s10463-014-0468-7
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    3. Peter J. Brockwell & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2017. "Continuous auto-regressive moving average random fields on ℝ-super-n," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 79(3), pages 833-857, June.
    4. Basse-O’Connor, Andreas & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot & Pedersen, Jan & Rohde, Victor, 2019. "Multivariate stochastic delay differential equations and CAR representations of CARMA processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(10), pages 4119-4143.
    5. Vicky Fasen‐Hartmann & Sebastian Kimmig, 2020. "Robust estimation of stationary continuous‐time arma models via indirect inference," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 620-651, September.
    6. Chambers, MJ & McCrorie, JR & Thornton, MA, 2017. "Continuous Time Modelling Based on an Exact Discrete Time Representation," Economics Discussion Papers 20497, University of Essex, Department of Economics.
    7. Valerie Girardin & Rachid Senoussi, 2020. "Filling the gap between Continuous and Discrete Time Dynamics of Autoregressive Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 590-602, July.
    8. Sikora, Grzegorz & Michalak, Anna & Bielak, Łukasz & Miśta, Paweł & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2019. "Stochastic modeling of currency exchange rates with novel validation techniques," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1202-1215.
    9. Bai, Shuyang & Ginovyan, Mamikon S. & Taqqu, Murad S., 2016. "Limit theorems for quadratic forms of Lévy-driven continuous-time linear processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(4), pages 1036-1065.
    10. Manuel D. Ortigueira, 2022. "A New Look at the Initial Condition Problem," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, May.
    11. Reiichiro Kawai, 2017. "Sample Path Generation of Lévy-Driven Continuous-Time Autoregressive Moving Average Processes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 175-211, March.
    12. Claudia Klüppelberg & Viet Son Pham, 2021. "Estimation of causal continuous‐time autoregressive moving average random fields," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(1), pages 132-163, March.
    13. Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2020. "On non-stationary solutions to MSDDEs: Representations and the cointegration space," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(5), pages 3154-3173.
    14. Jürgen Kampf & Georgiy Shevchenko & Evgeny Spodarev, 2021. "Nonparametric estimation of the kernel function of symmetric stable moving average random functions," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(2), pages 337-367, April.
    15. Benth, Fred Espen & Karbach, Sven, 2023. "Multivariate continuous-time autoregressive moving-average processes on cones," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 299-337.
    16. Szarek, Dawid & Bielak, Łukasz & Wyłomańska, Agnieszka, 2020. "Long-term prediction of the metals’ prices using non-Gaussian time-inhomogeneous stochastic process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
    17. Müller, Gernot & Seibert, Armin, 2019. "Bayesian estimation of stable CARMA spot models for electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 267-277.
    18. Peter J. Brockwell & Yasumasa Matsuda, 2015. "Levy-driven CARMA Random Fields on Rn," TERG Discussion Papers 339, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
    19. Lingohr, Daniel & Müller, Gernot, 2019. "Stochastic modeling of intraday photovoltaic power generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 175-186.

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