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Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability in Telangana, India

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  • Raju Guntukula
  • Phanindra Goyari

Abstract

This study has examined the effects of climatic factors on mean yields and yield variability of four primary crops (rice, cotton, jowar and groundnut) in Telangana state by applying the Just and Pope production function over a period of 1956–2015. Using the three-stage feasible generalised least squares estimation procedure, we have estimated the production function of four crops. The empirical results have revealed that the effects of changes in climatic factors vary among crops under study. Maximum temperature has a significant adverse effect on rice, cotton and groundnut yields. Minimum temperature has a substantial positive effect on rice, cotton and groundnut. Further, rainfall is adversely related to cotton and groundnut yields. Maximum temperature has appeared as a risk-reducing factor for all study crops while minimum temperature as a risk-enhancing factor for rice, cotton and jowar. Lastly, rainfall has been found as a risk-enhancing factor for rice and groundnut whereas it is a risk-reducing factor for jowar and cotton. Results from the study have important implications on how Telangana’s farming sector will adapt to climate variability and change for sustainable agricultural development. JEL Codes: C23, Q18, Q51, Q54

Suggested Citation

  • Raju Guntukula & Phanindra Goyari, 2020. "Climate Change Effects on the Crop Yield and Its Variability in Telangana, India," Studies in Microeconomics, , vol. 8(1), pages 119-148, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:miceco:v:8:y:2020:i:1:p:119-148
    DOI: 10.1177/2321022220923197
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    Cited by:

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    2. Zheng Li & Roderick M. Rejesus & Xiaoyong Zheng, 2021. "Nonparametric Estimation and Inference of Production Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1857-1877, October.
    3. Abbas Ali, Chandio & Yuansheg, Jiang & Asad, Amin & Waqar, Akram & Ilhan, Ozturk & Avik, Sinha & Fayyaz, Ahmad, 2021. "Modeling the impact of climatic and non-climatic factors on cereal production: evidence from Indian agricultural sector," MPRA Paper 110065, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    4. Sanjeev Kumar & Ajay K. Singh, 2023. "Modeling the effects of climate change on agricultural productivity: evidence from Himachal Pradesh, India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 521-548, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; crop yields; variability; panel data; Telangana; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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