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Implementation of mathematics model in public health: Albanian case study

Author

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  • Besjana MEMA

    (Mediterranean University of Albania,Fakulty of Informatic, Tirane, Albania)

  • Sabina TOSUNI

    (Alexander Xhuvani University, Faculty of Medical-Technical Sciences, Elbasan, Albania)

Abstract

This article presents a detailed examination of the application of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) mathematical model in analyzing the COVID-19 pandemic in Albania. The study integrates the SIR model with real-world data, including vaccination rates and population statistics, to simulate the dynamics of the pandemic over a specified period. Our focus is on the comparison between the model's predictions and the actual epidemiological data from Albania, considering reported cases, recoveries, and fatalities. The simulation results are visualized through graphical representations, offering insights into the epidemic's progression and the effectiveness of public health interventions. This study also provides a projection for the year 2024, emphasizing the evolving nature of the pandemic and the role of mathematical modeling in public health decision-making. The comparison highlights the strengths and limitations of using the SIR model in real-world scenarios and underscores the importance of adaptive strategies in public health planning. This case study serves as an example of the critical role of mathematical models in understanding and managing public health crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Besjana MEMA & Sabina TOSUNI, 2024. "Implementation of mathematics model in public health: Albanian case study," Smart Cities and Regional Development (SCRD) Journal, Smart-EDU Hub, Faculty of Public Administration, National University of Political Studies & Public Administration, vol. 8(3), pages 41-54, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:pop:journl:v:8:y:2024:i:3:p:41-54
    DOI: https://doi.org/10.25019/rrh8g224
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Carol Y. Lin, 2008. "Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals by KEELING, M. J. and ROHANI, P," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(3), pages 993-993, September.
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