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Modelling southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina using an individual-based model coupled with a dynamic energy budget

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  • Merel Goedegebuure
  • Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
  • Stuart P Corney
  • Clive R McMahon
  • Mark A Hindell

Abstract

Higher trophic-level species are an integral component of any marine ecosystem. Despite their importance, methods for representing these species in end-to-end ecosystem models often have limited representation of life histories, energetics and behaviour. We built an individual-based model coupled with a dynamic energy budget for female southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina to demonstrate a method for detailed representation of marine mammals. We aimed to develop a model which could i) simulate energy use and life histories, as well as breeding traits of southern elephant seals in an emergent manner, ii) project a stable population over time, and iii) have realistic population dynamics and structure based on emergent life history features (such as age at first breeding, lifespan, fecundity and (yearling) survival). We evaluated the model’s ability to represent a stable population over long time periods (>10 generations), including the sensitivity of the emergent properties to variations in key parameters. Analyses indicated that the model is sensitive to changes in resource availability and energy requirements for the transition from pup to juvenile, and juvenile to adult stage. This was particularly the case for breeding success and yearling survival. This model is suitable for use as a standalone tool for investigating the impacts of changes to behaviour and population responses of southern elephant seals.

Suggested Citation

  • Merel Goedegebuure & Jessica Melbourne-Thomas & Stuart P Corney & Clive R McMahon & Mark A Hindell, 2018. "Modelling southern elephant seals Mirounga leonina using an individual-based model coupled with a dynamic energy budget," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-37, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0194950
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0194950
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Arnould-Pétré, Margot & Guillaumot, Charlène & Danis, Bruno & Féral, Jean-Pierre & Saucède, Thomas, 2021. "Individual-based model of population dynamics in a sea urchin of the Kerguelen Plateau (Southern Ocean), Abatus cordatus, under changing environmental conditions," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 440(C).
    2. Desforges, Jean-Pierre & Marques, Gonçalo M. & Beumer, Larissa T. & Chimienti, Marianna & Blake, John & Rowell, Janice E. & Adamczewski, Jan & Schmidt, Niels Martin & van Beest, Floris M., 2019. "Quantification of the full lifecycle bioenergetics of a large mammal in the high Arctic," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 401(C), pages 27-39.
    3. Chimienti, Marianna & Desforges, Jean-Pierre & Beumer, Larissa T. & Nabe-Nielsen, Jacob & van Beest, Floris M. & Schmidt, Niels Martin, 2020. "Energetics as common currency for integrating high resolution activity patterns into dynamic energy budget-individual based models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 434(C).
    4. Guillaumot, Charlène & Saucède, Thomas & Morley, Simon A. & Augustine, Starrlight & Danis, Bruno & Kooijman, Sebastiaan, 2020. "Can DEB models infer metabolic differences between intertidal and subtidal morphotypes of the Antarctic limpet Nacella concinna (Strebel, 1908)?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 430(C).

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