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Regional and tele-connected impacts of the Tibetan Plateau surface darkening

Author

Listed:
  • Shuchang Tang

    (Peking University)

  • Anouk Vlug

    (University of Innsbruck
    University of Bremen)

  • Shilong Piao

    (Peking University
    Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Fei Li

    (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Tao Wang

    (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Gerhard Krinner

    (Université Grenoble Alpes)

  • Laurent Z. X. Li

    (Sorbonne Université, École Normale Supérieure, École Polytechnique)

  • Xuhui Wang

    (Peking University)

  • Guangjian Wu

    (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yue Li

    (Peking University)

  • Yuan Zhang

    (Sorbonne Université, École Normale Supérieure, École Polytechnique
    CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay
    Sorbonne Université/CNRS)

  • Xu Lian

    (Peking University
    Columbia University)

  • Tandong Yao

    (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Despite knowledge of the presence of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in reorganizing large-scale atmospheric circulation, it remains unclear how surface albedo darkening over TP will impact local glaciers and remote Asian monsoon systems. Here, we use a coupled land-atmosphere global climate model and a glacier model to address these questions. Under a high-emission scenario, TP surface albedo darkening will increase local temperature by 0.24 K by the end of this century. This warming will strengthen the elevated heat pump of TP, increasing South Asian monsoon precipitation while exacerbating the current “South Flood-North Drought” pattern over East Asia. The albedo darkening-induced climate change also leads to an accompanying TP glacier volume loss of 6.9%, which further increases to 25.2% at the equilibrium, with a notable loss in western TP. Our findings emphasize the importance of land-surface change responses in projecting future water resource availability, with important implications for water management policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuchang Tang & Anouk Vlug & Shilong Piao & Fei Li & Tao Wang & Gerhard Krinner & Laurent Z. X. Li & Xuhui Wang & Guangjian Wu & Yue Li & Yuan Zhang & Xu Lian & Tandong Yao, 2023. "Regional and tele-connected impacts of the Tibetan Plateau surface darkening," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-35672-w
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-35672-w
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Evan Miles & Michael McCarthy & Amaury Dehecq & Marin Kneib & Stefan Fugger & Francesca Pellicciotti, 2021. "Health and sustainability of glaciers in High Mountain Asia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
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