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Consistent increase in High Asia's runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation

Author

Listed:
  • A. F. Lutz

    (FutureWater, Costerweg 1V
    Utrecht University)

  • W. W. Immerzeel

    (FutureWater, Costerweg 1V
    Utrecht University
    International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development)

  • A. B. Shrestha

    (International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development)

  • M. F. P. Bierkens

    (Utrecht University
    Deltares)

Abstract

The impact of climate change on the water resources and hydrology of High Asia is uncertain. This work uses a cryospheric hydrological model to quantify the hydrology of five major rivers in the region and project future water availability. Runoff is expected to increase until at least 2050 due to an increase in precipitation in the upper catchment of four rivers and increased melt entering the fifth river.

Suggested Citation

  • A. F. Lutz & W. W. Immerzeel & A. B. Shrestha & M. F. P. Bierkens, 2014. "Consistent increase in High Asia's runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(7), pages 587-592, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:4:y:2014:i:7:d:10.1038_nclimate2237
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2237
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    Cited by:

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    2. Hongbao Wu & Xuexia Wang & Hongwei Shui & Hasbagan Ganjurjav & Guozheng Hu & Quanhong Lin & Xiaobo Qin & Qingzhu Gao, 2020. "Spatiotemporal Variations of Water Stable Isotope Compositions in Nujiang Headwaters, Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-15, August.
    3. Zhong, Ruida & Zhao, Tongtiegang & He, Yanhu & Chen, Xiaohong, 2019. "Hydropower change of the water tower of Asia in 21st century: A case of the Lancang River hydropower base, upper Mekong," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 685-696.
    4. Muhammad Umer Masood & Saif Haider & Muhammad Rashid & Mohammed Suleman Aldlemy & Chaitanya B. Pande & Bojan Đurin & Raad Z. Homod & Fahad Alshehri & Ismail Elkhrachy, 2023. "Quantifying the Impacts of Climate and Land Cover Changes on the Hydrological Regime of a Complex Dam Catchment Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-28, October.
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    7. Shijin Wang, 2024. "Opportunities and threats of cryosphere change to the achievement of UN 2030 SDGs," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
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    9. Haijun Deng & N. C. Pepin & Qun Liu & Yaning Chen, 2018. "Understanding the spatial differences in terrestrial water storage variations in the Tibetan Plateau from 2002 to 2016," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 379-393, December.
    10. Zhang, Yi & Cheng, Chuntian & Yang, Tiantian & Jin, Xiaoyu & Jia, Zebin & Shen, Jianjian & Wu, Xinyu, 2022. "Assessment of climate change impacts on the hydro-wind-solar energy supply system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
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    12. Nilanjan Ghosh & Sayanangshu Modak, 2021. "What Governance Lesson Does Mekong Bear for Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) Basin?," Journal of Asian Economic Integration, , vol. 3(2), pages 211-234, September.
    13. Wu, Hao & Xu, Min & Peng, Zhuoyue & Chen, Xiaoping, 2022. "Quantifying the potential impacts of meltwater on cotton yields in the Tarim River Basin, Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    14. Ahmed Rafique & Steven Burian & Daniyal Hassan & Rakhshinda Bano, 2020. "Analysis of Operational Changes of Tarbela Reservoir to Improve the Water Supply, Hydropower Generation, and Flood Control Objectives," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-18, September.
    15. Amarasinghe, Upali A. & Muthuwatta, Lal & Smakhtin, Vladimir & Surinaidu, Lagudu & Natarajan, R. & Chinnasamy, Pennan & Kakumanu, Krishna Reddy & Prathapar, Sanmugam A. & Jain, S. K. & Ghosh, N. C. & , 2016. "Reviving the Ganges water machine: potential and challenges to meet increasing water demand in the Ganges River Basin," IWMI Reports 246417, International Water Management Institute.
    16. Jessica L. Raff & Steven L. Goodbred & Jennifer L. Pickering & Ryan S. Sincavage & John C. Ayers & Md. Saddam Hossain & Carol A. Wilson & Chris Paola & Michael S. Steckler & Dhiman R. Mondal & Jean-Lo, 2023. "Sediment delivery to sustain the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta under climate change and anthropogenic impacts," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    17. Rungruang Janta & Laksanara Khwanchum & Pakorn Ditthakit & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh, 2022. "Water Yield Alteration in Thailand’s Pak Phanang Basin Due to Impacts of Climate and Land-Use Changes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    18. Douglas James Merrey & Abid Hussain & Deepak Dorje Tamang & Bhuwan Thapa & Anjal Prakash, 2018. "Evolving high altitude livelihoods and climate change: a study from Rasuwa District, Nepal," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 10(4), pages 1055-1071, August.
    19. Kirby, Mac & Ahmad, Mobin-ud-Din & Mainuddin, Mohammed & Khaliq, Tasneem & Cheema, M.J.M., 2017. "Agricultural production, water use and food availability in Pakistan: Historical trends, and projections to 2050," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 34-46.
    20. Rajesh Kumar & Shaktiman Singh & Ramesh Kumar & Atar Singh & Anshuman Bhardwaj & Lydia Sam & Surjeet Singh Randhawa & Akhilesh Gupta, 2016. "Development of a Glacio-hydrological Model for Discharge and Mass Balance Reconstruction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(10), pages 3475-3492, August.
    21. Kimberley R. Miner & Paul Andrew Mayewski & Mary Hubbard & Kenny Broad & Heather Clifford & Imogen Napper & Ananta Gajurel & Corey Jaskolski & Wei Li & Mariusz Potocki & John Priscu, 2021. "A Perspective of the Cumulative Risks from Climate Change on Mt. Everest: Findings from the 2019 Expedition," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-13, February.
    22. Prem Sagar Chapagain & Motilal Ghimire & Shova Shrestha, 2019. "Status of natural springs in the Melamchi region of the Nepal Himalayas in the context of climate change," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 263-280, February.
    23. Siyao Ma & Christopher Craig & Daniel Scott & Song Feng, 2021. "Global Climate Resources for Camping and Nature-Based Tourism," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-15, December.

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