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On the drivers of the fertility rebound

Author

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  • Georgios Mavropoulos

    (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia)

  • Theodore Panagiotidis

    (Department of Economics, University of Macedonia)

Abstract

This paper investigates empirically the fertility rebound in low- and high-income OECD countries for the period 1970 to 2016. The focus is on the turning points of the rebound for the two country groups. We estimate the turning points in terms of GDP per capita, labour productivity, and female labour force participation. Results suggest that the rebound, (1) is statistically significant for low- and high-income OECD countries in terms of GDP per capita and labour productivity, (2) is present for female labour force participation mostly for the higher income country group and, (3) differences in the turning points are minimized for the two country groups when labour productivity is considered. Labour productivity emerges as the most important economic driver for the fertility rebound.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgios Mavropoulos & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2021. "On the drivers of the fertility rebound," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 821-845, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:54:y:2021:i:3:d:10.1007_s10644-020-09297-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10644-020-09297-2
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fertility rebound; Economic development; Labour productivity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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