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Recursive Estimation of the Expectile-Based Shortfall in Functional Ergodic Time Series

Author

Listed:
  • Fatimah A. Almulhim

    (Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Sciences, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia)

  • Mohammed B. Alamari

    (Department of Mathematics, College of Science, King Khalid University, Abha 62529, Saudi Arabia)

  • Mustapha Rachdi

    (AGEIS Laboratory, Université Grenoble Alpes, UFR SHS, BP. 47, CEDEX 09, F-38040 Grenoble, France)

  • Ali Laksaci

    (Department of Mathematics, College of Science, King Khalid University, Abha 62529, Saudi Arabia)

Abstract

This paper considers the Recursive Kernel Estimator (RKE) of the expectile-based conditional shortfall. The estimator is constructed under a functional structure based on the ergodicity assumption. More preciously, we assume that the input-variable is valued in a pseudo-metric space, output-variable is scalar and both are sampled from ergodic functional time series data. We establish the complete convergence rate of the RKE-estimator of the considered functional shortfall model using standard assumptions. We point out that the ergodicity assumption constitutes a relevant alternative structure to the mixing time series dependency. Thus, the results of this paper allows to cover a large class of functional time series for which the mixing assumption is failed to check. Moreover, the obtained results is established in a general way, allowing to particularize this convergence rate for many special situations including the kernel method, the independence case and the multivariate case. Finally, a simulation study is carried out to illustrate the finite sample performance of the RKE-estimator. In order to examine the feasibility of the recursive estimator in practice we consider a real data example based on financial time series data.

Suggested Citation

  • Fatimah A. Almulhim & Mohammed B. Alamari & Mustapha Rachdi & Ali Laksaci, 2024. "Recursive Estimation of the Expectile-Based Shortfall in Functional Ergodic Time Series," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-17, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:24:p:3956-:d:1545194
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    References listed on IDEAS

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