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Susceptibility Analysis of Geohazards in the Longmen Mountain Region after the Wenchuan Earthquake

Author

Listed:
  • Shuai Li

    (College of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China)

  • Zhongyun Ni

    (College of Earth Sciences, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
    School of Geography, Archaeology & Irish Studies, National University of Ireland, H91 CF50 Galway, Ireland)

  • Yinbing Zhao

    (College of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
    School of Geography, Archaeology & Irish Studies, National University of Ireland, H91 CF50 Galway, Ireland
    Human Geography Research Center of Qinghai Tibet Plateau and Its Eastern Margin, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China)

  • Wei Hu

    (College of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China)

  • Zhenrui Long

    (Sichuan Research Institute of Ecological Restoration of Land Space and Geohazard Prevention and Control, Sichuan Provincial Department of Natural Resources, Chengdu 610063, China)

  • Haiyu Ma

    (College of Information, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China)

  • Guoli Zhou

    (College of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China)

  • Yuhao Luo

    (College of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China)

  • Chuntao Geng

    (College of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China)

Abstract

Multitemporal geohazard susceptibility analysis can not only provide reliable results but can also help identify the differences in the mechanisms of different elements under different temporal and spatial backgrounds, so as to better accurately prevent and control geohazards. Here, we studied the 12 counties (cities) that were severely affected by the Wenchuan earthquake of 12 May 2008. Our study was divided into four time periods: 2008, 2009–2012, 2013, and 2014–2017. Common geohazards in the study area, such as landslides, collapses and debris flows, were taken into account. We constructed a geohazard susceptibility index evaluation system that included topography, geology, land cover, meteorology, hydrology, and human activities. Then we used a random forest model to study the changes in geohazard susceptibility during the Wenchuan earthquake, the following ten years, and its driving mechanisms. We had four main findings. (1) The susceptibility of geohazards from 2008 to 2017 gradually increased and their spatial distribution was significantly correlated with the main faults and rivers. (2) The Yingxiu-Beichuan Fault, the western section of the Jiangyou-Dujiangyan Fault, and the Minjiang and Fujiang rivers were highly susceptible to geohazards, and changes in geohazard susceptibility mainly occurred along the Pingwu-Qingchuan Fault, the eastern section of the Jiangyou-Dujiangyan Fault, and the riparian areas of the Mianyuan River, Zagunao River, Tongkou River, Baicao River, and other secondary rivers. (3) The relative contribution of topographic factors to geohazards in the four different periods was stable, geological factors slowly decreased, and meteorological and hydrological factors increased. In addition, the impact of land cover in 2008 was more significant than during other periods, and the impact of human activities had an upward trend from 2008 to 2017. (4) Elevation and slope had significant topographical effects, coupled with the geological environmental effects of engineering rock groups and faults, and river-derived effects, which resulted in a spatial aggregation of geohazard susceptibility. We attributed the dynamic changes in the areas that were highly susceptible to geohazards around the faults and rivers to the changes in the intensity of earthquakes and precipitation in different periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuai Li & Zhongyun Ni & Yinbing Zhao & Wei Hu & Zhenrui Long & Haiyu Ma & Guoli Zhou & Yuhao Luo & Chuntao Geng, 2022. "Susceptibility Analysis of Geohazards in the Longmen Mountain Region after the Wenchuan Earthquake," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-30, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:6:p:3229-:d:767490
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    Cited by:

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    2. Yan-Ning Wang & Han Chen & Bin-Song Jiang & Jing-Rui Peng & Jun Chen, 2022. "Cause Analysis and Preventive Measures of Guizhou D2809 Train Derailment Accident in Guizhou, China on 4 June 2022," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(24), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Hao Mei & Jin Yang & Mingshun Xiang & Xiaofeng Yang & Chunjian Wang & Wenheng Li & Suhua Yang, 2022. "Evaluation and Optimization Model of Rural Settlement Habitability in the Upper Reaches of the Minjiang River, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-18, November.
    4. Shuai Li & Haiyu Ma & Di Yang & Wei Hu & Hao Li, 2023. "The Main Drivers of Wetland Evolution in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Plain," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-25, February.

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