IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v13y2020i5p1098-d327104.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Statistical and Spatial Analysis of Hurricane-induced Roadway Closures and Power Outages

Author

Listed:
  • Mahyar Ghorbanzadeh

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University-Florida State University College of Engineering, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32310, USA)

  • Mohammadreza Koloushani

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University-Florida State University College of Engineering, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32310, USA)

  • Mehmet Baran Ulak

    (Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY 11794, USA)

  • Eren Erman Ozguven

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Florida Agricultural and Mechanical University-Florida State University College of Engineering, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32310, USA)

  • Reza Arghandeh Jouneghani

    (Department of Computing, Mathematics, and Physics, Faculty of Engineering and Science, Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, 5020 Bergen, Norway)

Abstract

Hurricanes lead to substantial infrastructure system damages, such as roadway closures and power outages, in the US annually, especially in states like Florida. As such, this paper aimed to assess the impacts of Hurricane Hermine (2016) and Hurricane Michael (2018) on the City of Tallahassee, the capital of Florida, via exploratory spatial and statistical analyses on power outages and roadway closures. First, a geographical information systems (GIS)-based spatial analysis was conducted to explore the power outages and roadway closure patterns in the city including kernel density estimation (KDE) and density ratio difference (DRD) methods. In order to provide a more detailed assessment on which population segments were more affected, a second step included a statistical analysis to identify the relationships between demographic- and socioeconomic-related variables and the magnitude of power outages and roadway closures caused by these hurricanes. The results indicate that the high-risk locations for roadway closures showed different patterns, whereas power outages seemed to have similar spatial patterns for the hurricanes. The findings of this study can provide useful insights and information for city officials to identify the most vulnerable regions which are under the risk of disruption. This can lead to better infrastructure plans and policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahyar Ghorbanzadeh & Mohammadreza Koloushani & Mehmet Baran Ulak & Eren Erman Ozguven & Reza Arghandeh Jouneghani, 2020. "Statistical and Spatial Analysis of Hurricane-induced Roadway Closures and Power Outages," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-18, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:5:p:1098-:d:327104
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/5/1098/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/5/1098/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ayberk Kocatepe & Mehmet Baran Ulak & Grzegorz Kakareko & Eren Erman Ozguven & Sungmoon Jung & Reza Arghandeh, 2019. "Measuring the accessibility of critical facilities in the presence of hurricane-related roadway closures and an approach for predicting future roadway disruptions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 95(3), pages 615-635, February.
    2. Liu, Haibin & Davidson, Rachel A. & Apanasovich, Tatiyana V., 2008. "Spatial generalized linear mixed models of electric power outages due to hurricanes and ice storms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(6), pages 897-912.
    3. Seung‐Ryong Han & Seth D. Guikema & Steven M. Quiring, 2009. "Improving the Predictive Accuracy of Hurricane Power Outage Forecasts Using Generalized Additive Models," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(10), pages 1443-1453, October.
    4. Xie, Zhixiao & Yan, Jun, 2013. "Detecting traffic accident clusters with network kernel density estimation and local spatial statistics: an integrated approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 64-71.
    5. Mehmet Baran Ulak & Ayberk Kocatepe & Lalitha Madhavi Konila Sriram & Eren Erman Ozguven & Reza Arghandeh, 2018. "Assessment of the hurricane-induced power outages from a demographic, socioeconomic, and transportation perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1489-1508, July.
    6. Ulak, Mehmet Baran & Ozguven, Eren Erman & Spainhour, Lisa & Vanli, Omer Arda, 2017. "Spatial investigation of aging-involved crashes: A GIS-based case study in Northwest Florida," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 71-91.
    7. Diana Mitsova & Monica Escaleras & Alka Sapat & Ann-Margaret Esnard & Alberto J. Lamadrid, 2019. "The Effects of Infrastructure Service Disruptions and Socio-Economic Vulnerability on Hurricane Recovery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-16, January.
    8. Faturechi, Reza & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2014. "Travel time resilience of roadway networks under disaster," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 47-64.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alam, Md. Shaharier & Kim, Kyusik & Horner, Mark W. & Alisan, Onur & Antwi, Richard & Ozguven, Eren Erman, 2024. "Large-scale modeling of hurricane flooding and disrupted infrastructure impacts on accessibility to critical facilities," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    2. Mirosław Kornatka & Anna Gawlak, 2021. "An Analysis of the Operation of Distribution Networks Using Kernel Density Estimators," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-12, October.
    3. Jinghui (Jove) Hou & Laura Arpan & Yijie Wu & Richard Feiock & Eren Ozguven & Reza Arghandeh, 2020. "The Road toward Smart Cities: A Study of Citizens’ Acceptance of Mobile Applications for City Services," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-15, May.
    4. Yürüşen, Nurseda Y. & Uzunoğlu, Bahri & Talayero, Ana P. & Estopiñán, Andrés Llombart, 2021. "Apriori and K-Means algorithms of machine learning for spatio-temporal solar generation balancing," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 702-717.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dimitris N. Trakas & Mathaios Panteli & Nikos D. Hatziargyriou & Pierluigi Mancarella, 2019. "Spatial Risk Analysis of Power Systems Resilience During Extreme Events," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 195-211, January.
    2. Hughes, William & Zhang, Wei & Cerrai, Diego & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios & Wanik, David & Anagnostou, Emmanouil, 2022. "A Hybrid Physics-Based and Data-Driven Model for Power Distribution System Infrastructure Hardening and Outage Simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    3. Roshanak Nateghi & Seth D. Guikema & Yue (Grace) Wu & C. Bayan Bruss, 2016. "Critical Assessment of the Foundations of Power Transmission and Distribution Reliability Metrics and Standards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(1), pages 4-15, January.
    4. Seung‐Ryong Han & David Rosowsky & Seth Guikema, 2014. "Integrating Models and Data to Estimate the Structural Reliability of Utility Poles During Hurricanes," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(6), pages 1079-1094, June.
    5. Wenjuan Sun & Paolo Bocchini & Brian D. Davison, 2020. "Applications of artificial intelligence for disaster management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2631-2689, September.
    6. Seth D. Guikema & Steven M. Quiring & Seung‐Ryong Han, 2010. "Prestorm Estimation of Hurricane Damage to Electric Power Distribution Systems," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(12), pages 1744-1752, December.
    7. Hui Hou & Shiwen Yu & Hongbin Wang & Yong Huang & Hao Wu & Yan Xu & Xianqiang Li & Hao Geng, 2019. "Risk Assessment and Its Visualization of Power Tower under Typhoon Disaster Based on Machine Learning Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, January.
    8. D. Brent McRoberts & Steven M. Quiring & Seth D. Guikema, 2018. "Improving Hurricane Power Outage Prediction Models Through the Inclusion of Local Environmental Factors," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(12), pages 2722-2737, December.
    9. Otto, Räisänen & Susanne, Suvanto & Jouni, Haapaniemi & Jukka, Lassila, 2023. "Crown snow load outage risk model for overhead lines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
    10. Roshanak Nateghi & Seth Guikema & Steven M. Quiring, 2014. "Power Outage Estimation for Tropical Cyclones: Improved Accuracy with Simpler Models," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(6), pages 1069-1078, June.
    11. Hughes, William & Zhang, Wei & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios C. & Wanik, David & Pensado, Osvaldo & Yuan, Hao & Zhang, Jintao, 2021. "Damage modeling framework for resilience hardening strategy for overhead power distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    12. Oh, Seongmun & Jufri, Fauzan Hanif & Choi, Min-Hee & Jung, Jaesung, 2022. "A study of tropical cyclone impact on the power distribution grid in South Korea for estimating damage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    13. Hou, Hui & Liu, Chao & Wei, Ruizeng & He, Huan & Wang, Lei & Li, Weibo, 2023. "Outage duration prediction under typhoon disaster with stacking ensemble learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    14. Zhai, Chengwei & Chen, Thomas Ying-jeh & White, Anna Grace & Guikema, Seth David, 2021. "Power outage prediction for natural hazards using synthetic power distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    15. Sang-Guk Yum & Kiyoung Son & Seunghyun Son & Ji-Myong Kim, 2020. "Identifying Risk Indicators for Natural Hazard-Related Power Outages as a Component of Risk Assessment: An Analysis Using Power Outage Data from Hurricane Irma," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-15, September.
    16. Milan Janić, 2018. "Modelling the resilience of rail passenger transport networks affected by large-scale disruptive events: the case of HSR (high speed rail)," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 1101-1137, July.
    17. Gina L. Tonn & Seth D. Guikema & Celso M. Ferreira & Steven M. Quiring, 2016. "Hurricane Isaac: A Longitudinal Analysis of Storm Characteristics and Power Outage Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(10), pages 1936-1947, October.
    18. Yaxin Fan & Xinyan Zhu & Bing She & Wei Guo & Tao Guo, 2018. "Network-constrained spatio-temporal clustering analysis of traffic collisions in Jianghan District of Wuhan, China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, April.
    19. Wang, Cheng & Wang, Gang & Guo, Ziru & Dai, Lingjun & Liu, Hongyu & Li, Yufeng & Chen, Hao & Zhao, Yongxiang & Zhang, Yanan & Cheng, Hai, 2020. "Effects of land-use change on the distribution of the wintering red-crowned crane (Grus japonensis) in the coastal area of northern Jiangsu Province, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    20. Mert Ersen & Ali Hakan Büyüklü & Semra Taşabat Erpolat, 2021. "Analysis of Fatal and Injury Traffic Accidents in Istanbul Sarıyer District with Spatial Statistics Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-39, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:5:p:1098-:d:327104. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.