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The effect of incentives and technology on the adoption of electric motorcycles: A stated choice experiment in Vietnam

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  • Jones, Luke R.
  • Cherry, Christopher R.
  • Vu, Tuan A.
  • Nguyen, Quang N.

Abstract

Many Asian cities are experiencing rapid growth in the ownership of personal gasoline-powered motorcycles, a shift away from relatively low-emitting modes of transportation that is contributing to deteriorated air quality. Electric two-wheelers have the potential for significant air pollution reductions as an alternative to gasoline-powered motorcycles; however, they have yet to penetrate many Asian markets. While previous research has examined the adoption of cleaner alternatives to gasoline-powered automobiles (e.g., hybrid electric cars), similar work on motorcycle alternatives is lacking. This study uses a stated preference survey of households in Hanoi, Vietnam to analyze adoption of electric two-wheelers, while focusing on the effects of economic incentives (e.g., differential sales taxes and fuel prices) and technological improvements (e.g., more efficient batteries). A choice model is estimated and market shares are calculated for scenarios involving different levels of electric two-wheeler technology, gasoline prices, and sales tax rates. Results indicate that technological improvements and economic incentives, particularly sales taxes, have significant effects on adoption.

Suggested Citation

  • Jones, Luke R. & Cherry, Christopher R. & Vu, Tuan A. & Nguyen, Quang N., 2013. "The effect of incentives and technology on the adoption of electric motorcycles: A stated choice experiment in Vietnam," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 1-11.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:57:y:2013:i:c:p:1-11
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2013.09.003
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    7. Sánchez-Braza, Antonio & Cansino, José M. & Lerma, Enrique, 2014. "Main drivers for local tax incentives to promote electric vehicles: The Spanish case," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-9.
    8. Cherry, Christopher R. & Yang, Hongtai & Jones, Luke R. & He, Min, 2016. "Dynamics of electric bike ownership and use in Kunming, China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 127-135.
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    10. Yide Liu & Ivan Ka Wai Lai, 2020. "The Effects of Environmental Policy and the Perception of Electric Motorcycles on the Acceptance of Electric Motorcycles: An Empirical Study in Macau," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(1), pages 21582440198, January.
    11. Thanh Tung Ha & Thanh Chuong Nguyen & Sy Sua Tu & Minh Hieu Nguyen, 2023. "Investigation of Influential Factors of Intention to Adopt Electric Vehicles for Motorcyclists in Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, May.
    12. Bansal, Prateek & Daziano, Ricardo A & Guerra, Erick, 2018. "Minorization-Maximization (MM) algorithms for semiparametric logit models: Bottlenecks, extensions, and comparisons," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 17-40.
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    14. Sarmad Zaman Rajper & Johan Albrecht, 2020. "Prospects of Electric Vehicles in the Developing Countries: A Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-19, March.
    15. Singfat Chu, 2018. "Singapore’s Vehicle Quota System and its impact on motorcycles," Transportation, Springer, vol. 45(5), pages 1419-1432, September.
    16. De Gennaro, Michele & Paffumi, Elena & Martini, Giorgio, 2015. "Customer-driven design of the recharge infrastructure and Vehicle-to-Grid in urban areas: A large-scale application for electric vehicles deployment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 294-311.
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    19. Mallikarjun Patil & Bandhan Bandhu Majumdar & Prasanta Kumar Sahu & Long T. Truong, 2021. "Evaluation of Prospective Users’ Choice Decision toward Electric Two-Wheelers Using a Stated Preference Survey: An Indian Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-22, March.
    20. Ziwen Ling & Christopher R. Cherry & Yi Wen, 2021. "Determining the Factors That Influence Electric Vehicle Adoption: A Stated Preference Survey Study in Beijing, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-22, October.
    21. Li, Yanfei & Chang, Youngho, 2019. "Road transport electrification and energy security in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations: Quantitative analysis and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 805-815.
    22. Carlos Lam & Chih-Wei Pai & Chia-Chang Chuang & Yu-Chun Yen & Chia-Chieh Wu & Shih-Hsiang Yu & Kuo-Sheng Hung & Wen-Ta Chiu, 2019. "Rider factors associated with severe injury after a light motorcycle crash: A multicentre study in an emerging economy setting," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-17, June.
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