IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/stapro/v76y2006i6p609-618.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Mixture periodic autoregressive time series models

Author

Listed:
  • Shao, Q.

Abstract

Mixture periodic autoregressive models are introduced to fit periodic time series with asymmetric or multimodal distributions. The stationary conditions of such series are derived, the asymptotic property of maximum likelihood estimators is obtained, and the application of EM algorithm is discussed. The new model class is illustrated by analyzing the particulate matter concentrations in Cleveland, OH.

Suggested Citation

  • Shao, Q., 2006. "Mixture periodic autoregressive time series models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(6), pages 609-618, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:76:y:2006:i:6:p:609-618
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167-7152(05)00362-7
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. I. V. Basawa & Robert Lund, 2001. "Large Sample Properties of Parameter Estimates for Periodic ARMA Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(6), pages 651-663, November.
    2. repec:bla:jtsera:v:25:y:2004:3:p:359-372 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Qin Shao & Robert Lund, 2004. "Computation and Characterization of Autocorrelations and Partial Autocorrelations in Periodic ARMA Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(3), pages 359-372, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiajie Kong & Robert Lund, 2023. "Seasonal count time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 93-124, January.
    2. T. Manouchehri & A. R. Nematollahi, 2019. "Periodic autoregressive models with closed skew-normal innovations," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 1183-1213, September.
    3. Fayçal Hamdi & Saïd Souam, 2018. "Mixture periodic GARCH models: theory and applications," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1925-1956, December.
    4. Abdelhakim Aknouche & Nadia Rabehi, 2010. "On an independent and identically distributed mixture bilinear time‐series model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 113-131, March.
    5. Bentarzi, M. & Hamdi, F., 2008. "Mixture periodic autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 1-16, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yorghos Tripodis & Jeremy Penzer, 2009. "Modelling time series with season-dependent autocorrelation structure," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 559-574.
    2. Christian Francq & Roch Roy & Abdessamad Saidi, 2011. "Asymptotic Properties of Weighted Least Squares Estimation in Weak PARMA Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(6), pages 699-723, November.
    3. Roy, Roch & Saidi, Abdessamad, 2008. "Aggregation and systematic sampling of periodic ARMA processes," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(9), pages 4287-4304, May.
    4. Shao, Q. & Ni, P.P., 2004. "Least-squares estimation and ANOVA for periodic autoregressive time series," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(3), pages 287-297, September.
    5. Aleksandra Grzesiek & Prashant Giri & S. Sundar & Agnieszka WyŁomańska, 2020. "Measures of Cross‐Dependence for Bidimensional Periodic AR(1) Model with α‐Stable Distribution," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(6), pages 785-807, November.
    6. Jiajie Kong & Robert Lund, 2023. "Seasonal count time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 93-124, January.
    7. Anderson, Paul L. & Kavalieris, Laimonis & Meerschaert, Mark M., 2008. "Innovations algorithm asymptotics for periodically stationary time series with heavy tails," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 94-116, January.
    8. Amaral, Luiz Felipe & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Stevenson, Maxwell, 2008. "A smooth transition periodic autoregressive (STPAR) model for short-term load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 603-615.
    9. A.S.M. Arroyo & A. de Juan Fern¨¢ndez, 2014. "Split-then-Combine Method for out-of-sample Combinations of Forecasts," Journal of Business Administration Research, Journal of Business Administration Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(1), pages 19-37, April.
    10. Caporin, Massimiliano & Preś, Juliusz, 2012. "Modelling and forecasting wind speed intensity for weather risk management," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3459-3476.
    11. Francq, Christian & Gautier, Antony, 2004. "Estimation of time-varying ARMA models with Markovian changes in regime," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 243-251, December.
    12. Bibi, Abdelouahab & Lescheb, Ines, 2014. "A note on integrated periodic GARCH processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 121-124.
    13. Abdelouahab Bibi & Christian Francq, 2003. "Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for cyclically time-dependent linear models," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 55(1), pages 41-68, March.
    14. Christian Francq & Antony Gautier, 2004. "Large sample properties of parameter least squares estimates for time‐varying arma models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 765-783, September.
    15. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2285 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Basawa, I. V. & Lund, Robert & Shao, Qin, 2004. "First-order seasonal autoregressive processes with periodically varying parameters," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(4), pages 299-306, May.
    17. Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Landy Rabehasaina, 2020. "Estimation of weak ARMA models with regime changes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 1-52, April.
    18. Amendola, Alessandra & Christian, Francq, 2009. "Concepts and tools for nonlinear time series modelling," MPRA Paper 15140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Bibi, Abdelouahab & Lescheb, Ines, 2010. "Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of least squares estimators for PGARCH and PARMA-PGARCH models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(19-20), pages 1532-1542, October.
    20. Abdelouahab Bibi & Abdelhakim Aknouche, 2010. "Yule–Walker type estimators in periodic bilinear models: strong consistency and asymptotic normality," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 19(1), pages 1-30, March.
    21. Abdelkamel Alj & Christophe Ley & Guy Melard, 2015. "Asymptotic Properties of QML Estimators for VARMA Models with Time-Dependent Coefficients: Part I," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-21, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:76:y:2006:i:6:p:609-618. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/622892/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.